Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Nuggets30%112140
1Thunder70%120127
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
40.0
38.1
34
65%
4
6
2
1
0
0
2
2
9-9
100%
8-15
5-11
53%
49%
3-7
43%
Nikola Jokić
C · 6'11" 284 · 30.1
39.6
38.3
35
79%
18
8
1
2
1
1
2
16
4-5
80%
14-18
8-13
78%
59%
1-2
50%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 218 · 26.7
38.2
35.7
17
71%
6
2
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
4-6
5-9
67%
56%
3-6
50%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
35.9
33.3
14
55%
5
5
0
1
1
1
2
3
4-4
100%
2-6
5-8
33%
57%
2-5
40%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.3
32.7
27.8
16
74%
5
7
0
1
1
2
2
3
1-2
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
47%
3-5
60%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'7" 200 · 22.5
24.4
15.7
16
114%
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
4-4
100%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'2" 202 · 25.4
17.9
12.2
8
100%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
2-3
67%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 24.2
11.3
18.6
0
0%
3
3
1
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
56%
0-0
-
Vlatko Čančar
F · 6'9" 215 · 27.9
4.2
0
0-1
53%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.6
4.0
0
1-1
63%
PJ Hall
C · 6'10" 245 · 23.0
3.7
0
0-1
49%
Dario Šarić
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30.9
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.7
2.8
0
0-0
46%
Spencer Jones
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
2.0
0
0-0
47%
Trey Alexander
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.9
2.0
0
0-0
44%
DaRon Holmes II
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
Julian Strawther
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.9
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 195 · 26.7
36.2
33.7
25
75%
3
7
1
2
2
3
1
2
6-6
100%
5-7
9-16
71%
57%
3-7
43%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.9
34.3
29.2
26
81%
7
0
4
1
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
8-14
57%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'1" 208 · 22.9
28.9
18.8
8
32%
4
1
0
0
2
1
0
4
2-3
67%
3-6
3-5
50%
61%
0-5
0%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
25.7
27.4
20
56%
7
2
0
1
0
0
2
5
4-4
100%
8-15
5-7
53%
61%
0-1
0%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'5" 211 · 23.9
13.6
28.6
12
55%
2
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
6-10
57%
57%
1-3
33%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.3
29.1
18.0
12
75%
3
8
3
1
1
1
3
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
59%
2-3
67%
Aaron Wiggins
G · 6'5" 190 · 26.2
22.0
24.2
8
50%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
4-6
25%
61%
2-4
50%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 31.0
20.3
17.4
13
77%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
54%
2-4
50%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.7
16.2
18.5
3
30%
2
3
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
56%
1-3
33%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.7
10.3
17.6
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-3
0%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'9" 185 · 21.8
1.8
12.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
60%
0-0
-
Dillon Jones
F · 6'5" 235 · 23.4
1.8
11.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 30.3
14.0
1
1-2
57%
Adam Flagler
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.3
Nikola Topić
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.6
Ajay Mitchell
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.7
Branden Carlson
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.7
Alex Ducas
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.