Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 10, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Mavericks	42%	113	133	135.7	98	91.9
	19	Spurs	58%	116	129	131.6	98	105.0

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+16

-10

104

SAS

+16

-9

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.28 63.9%

SAS

1.23 61.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Naji Marshall #13 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 27	39.4	23	61%	5	3	1	0	5	0	1	4	6-6	100%	7-11	64%	1-5	20%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 35	36.0	26	76%	2	3	0	0	0	2	1	1	7-7	100%	5-6	83%	3-8	38%
Kessler Edwards #20 · C · 6'8" 203 · 25	34.6	22	79%	11	3	1	0	0	3	4	7	4-4	100%	9-11	82%	0-1	0%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	28.3	12	38%	4	5	1	0	2	0	0	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-11	18%
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	23.7	10	56%	2	1	0	0	1	5	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-4	50%

Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 32	37.3	28	78%	7	6	1	0	2	3	2	5	6-6	100%	5-8	63%	4-8	50%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	20.6	9	75%	6	3	0	1	0	3	2	4	1-3	33%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29	20.1	3	75%	3	1	1	1	0	2	0	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 26	NWT - Not With Team \| Right Knee Sprain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain/ACL tear
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Stress Fracture
Kai Jones #23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tightness
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	64%	40	25	5	2	10	18	10	30	27-30	90%	35-50	70%	12-38	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

24 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Naji Marshall #13 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 27	39.4	23	61%	5	3	1	0	5	0	1	4	6-6	100%	7-11	64%	1-5	20%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 35	36.0	26	76%	2	3	0	0	0	2	1	1	7-7	100%	5-6	83%	3-8	38%
Kessler Edwards #20 · C · 6'8" 203 · 25	34.6	22	79%	11	3	1	0	0	3	4	7	4-4	100%	9-11	82%	0-1	0%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	28.3	12	38%	4	5	1	0	2	0	0	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-11	18%
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	23.7	10	56%	2	1	0	0	1	5	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-4	50%

Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 32	37.3	28	78%	7	6	1	0	2	3	2	5	6-6	100%	5-8	63%	4-8	50%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	20.6	9	75%	6	3	0	1	0	3	2	4	1-3	33%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29	20.1	3	75%	3	1	1	1	0	2	0	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 26	NWT - Not With Team \| Right Knee Sprain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain/ACL tear
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Stress Fracture
Kai Jones #23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tightness
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	64%	40	25	5	2	10	18	10	30	27-30	90%	35-50	70%	12-38	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

19 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	38.0	29	97%	8	0	1	1	1	2	6	2	1-3	33%	8-8	100%	4-6	67%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	34.3	24	55%	4	3	1	0	0	6	1	3	1-1	100%	7-14	50%	3-8	38%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 27	33.8	14	50%	4	8	0	0	3	3	0	4	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	22.4	6	60%	2	9	1	0	1	2	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	16.7	3	75%	5	1	0	1	0	0	0	5	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 20	29.6	14	44%	5	6	2	0	2	5	1	4	4-8	50%	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	28.9	28	82%	5	0	1	0	1	2	3	2	4-5	80%	6-10	60%	4-6	67%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	14.9	5	42%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	11.0	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	10.2	3	38%	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-on-chronic Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	61%	38	29	6	2	9	24	12	26	14-24	58%	32-53	60%	17-41	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	SAS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.28 63.9%

SAS

1.23 61.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

76%

SAS

64%

Midrange

DAL

59%

SAS

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

18.0

32%

47%

SAS

25.5

41%

62%

Free Throws

DAL

90%

SAS

58%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Dinwiddie	28	78%	14.0 / 18
K. Thompson	26	76%	13.0 / 17
N. Marshall	23	61%	11.5 / 19
K. Edwards	22	79%	11.0 / 14
M. Christie	12	38%	6.0 / 16
D. Exum	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Powell	9	75%	4.5 / 6
C. Martin	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
H. Barnes	29	97%	14.5 / 15
K. Johnson	28	82%	14.0 / 17
D. Vassell	24	55%	12.0 / 22
D. Fox	14	50%	7.0 / 14
S. Castle	14	44%	7.0 / 16
C. Paul	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Champagnie	5	42%	2.5 / 6
B. Biyombo	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Wesley	3	75%	1.5 / 2
S. Mamukelashvili	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 113.6 19 113.5	DAL 135.7 +4.1 SAS 131.6
Pace	11 100.3 13 100.1	DAL 91.9 SAS 105.0 +13.2
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.4 20 14.3	DAL 15.7 SAS 13.7 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.9% 18 54.4%	DAL 60.2% SAS 61.2% +1.0%
TO %	12 13.2% 11 13.2%	DAL 9.8% SAS 7.9% −1.9%
ORB %	23 23.4% 20 24.3%	DAL 27.8% SAS 28.6% +0.8%
FTrt	4 26.3 22 23.4	DAL 34.1 +8.6 SAS 25.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 60.1% 3 68.5%	DAL 53.2% SAS 59.2% +6.0%
STL %	22 7.7% 14 8.2%	DAL 5.1% SAS 6.1% +1.0%
BLK %	10 9.7% 5 10.5%	DAL 3.8% SAS 4.0% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.9% 18 56.3%	DAL 63.9% +2.5% SAS 61.4%
Rim FG%	8 66.0% 14 63.9%	DAL 75.8% +12.2% SAS 63.6%
Mid FG%	15 43.7% 20 41.8%	DAL 58.8% +14.4% SAS 44.4%
3P %	15 36.4% 20 35.7%	DAL 31.6% SAS 41.5% +9.9%
FT %	24 77.0% 21 77.4%	DAL 90.0% +31.7% SAS 58.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 31.4% 8 33.7%	DAL 37.5% SAS 46.8% +9.3%
Mid Att. %	27 29.6% 4 22.2%	DAL 19.3% SAS 9.6% −9.7%
3P Att. %	24 38.9% 8 44.1%	DAL 43.2% SAS 43.6% +0.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	SAS
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	133	129
Rebounds	40	38
Assists	25	29
Steals	5	6
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	18	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (6)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	26 (1)
Field Goals	47-88	49-94
At-the-Rim FG	25-33	28-44
Midrange FG	10-17	4-9
2-Point FG	35-50	32-53
3-Point FG	12-38	17-41
Free Throws	27-30	14-24
Fast Break Pts	5	9
2nd Chance Pts	24	17
Points in Paint	62	64
Pts off Turnovers	15	14
Bench Points	40	53
Biggest Lead	7	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg