Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 10, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Blazers	19%	108	120	118.8	101	100.6
	3	Warriors	81%	122	130	130.0	100	100.4

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+19

-19

101

GSW

+14

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.19 59.4%

GSW

1.34 67.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	40.6	34	94%	16	6	2	0	6	2	1	15	7-7	100%	6-8	75%	5-7	71%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26	38.6	32	73%	2	2	2	0	3	0	0	2	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	6-10	60%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	36.8	7	39%	1	2	4	1	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	31.9	15	68%	9	6	0	4	0	3	6	3	2-4	50%	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	29.4	9	41%	7	8	0	0	5	2	3	4	2-3	67%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	29.5	12	46%	2	4	1	0	3	2	2	0	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	14.6	2	20%	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	11.3	9	113%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-3	100%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	7.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-1	0%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinitis
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	43	31	9	5	19	13	15	28	14-17	82%	26-49	53%	18-42	43%

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23 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	40.6	34	94%	16	6	2	0	6	2	1	15	7-7	100%	6-8	75%	5-7	71%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26	38.6	32	73%	2	2	2	0	3	0	0	2	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	6-10	60%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	36.8	7	39%	1	2	4	1	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	31.9	15	68%	9	6	0	4	0	3	6	3	2-4	50%	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	29.4	9	41%	7	8	0	0	5	2	3	4	2-3	67%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	29.5	12	46%	2	4	1	0	3	2	2	0	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	14.6	2	20%	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	11.3	9	113%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-3	100%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	7.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-1	0%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinitis
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	43	31	9	5	19	13	15	28	14-17	82%	26-49	53%	18-42	43%

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3 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	35.0	15	54%	10	10	3	0	1	0	4	6	7-8	88%	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	34.0	24	71%	2	3	2	0	4	0	1	1	7-7	100%	1-3	33%	5-11	45%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23	29.8	20	83%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	4-4	100%	5-5	100%	2-5	40%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 35	28.3	4	50%	4	7	4	0	3	1	0	4	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 25	25.4	11	55%	7	2	1	3	1	5	1	6	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-5	60%

Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	28.4	26	81%	2	1	1	1	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	7-10	70%	4-6	67%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	25.0	20	100%	2	7	2	1	3	2	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	6-9	67%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 29	19.8	6	50%	6	3	2	0	1	1	2	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	14.5	4	33%	5	2	0	0	3	5	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Kevin Knox II #31 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taran Armstrong #1 · NA · 6'5" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #12 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Low Back; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	67%	40	35	16	5	17	16	12	28	19-21	90%	24-44	55%	21-41	51%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	POR	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.19 59.4%

GSW

1.34 67.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

62%

GSW

59%

Midrange

POR

40%

GSW

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

27.0

43%

64%

GSW

31.5

51%

77%

Free Throws

POR

82%

GSW

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	34	94%	17.0 / 18
A. Simons	32	73%	16.0 / 22
D. Clingan	15	68%	7.5 / 11
S. Henderson	12	46%	6.0 / 13
S. Sharpe	9	41%	4.5 / 11
J. Walker	9	113%	4.5 / 4
T. Camara	7	39%	3.5 / 9
D. Reath	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Banton	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Payton	26	81%	13.0 / 16
S. Curry	24	71%	12.0 / 17
M. Moody	20	83%	10.0 / 12
B. Hield	20	100%	10.0 / 10
J. Butler	15	54%	7.5 / 14
Q. Post	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Looney	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Green	4	50%	2.0 / 4
G. Santos	4	33%	2.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 110.9 16 114.2	POR 118.8 GSW 130.0 +11.2
Pace	16 99.5 17 99.4	POR 100.6 +0.2 GSW 100.4
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.3 18 14.3	POR 14.3 −0.0 GSW 14.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 52.1% 20 53.6%	POR 58.2% GSW 65.3% +7.1%
TO %	29 15.1% 13 13.2%	POR 16.2% GSW 16.0% −0.2%
ORB %	2 29.2% 5 27.3%	POR 34.9% +4.9% GSW 30.0%
FTrt	13 24.6 14 24.4	POR 18.7 GSW 24.7 +6.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.7% 1 71.4%	POR 70.5% GSW 77.8% +7.3%
STL %	13 8.2% 3 9.4%	POR 8.9% GSW 16.0% +7.1%
BLK %	9 10.0% 13 9.5%	POR 11.4% +1.2% GSW 10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 54.1% 21 55.3%	POR 59.4% GSW 67.0% +7.6%
Rim FG%	27 60.7% 21 62.7%	POR 62.1% +3.3% GSW 58.8%
Mid FG%	28 39.1% 25 39.9%	POR 40.0% GSW 40.0%
3P %	26 34.2% 16 36.4%	POR 42.9% GSW 51.2% +8.3%
FT %	26 76.2% 25 76.3%	POR 82.4% GSW 90.5% +8.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 36.6% 23 30.1%	POR 31.9% GSW 40.0% +8.1%
Mid Att. %	3 21.6% 7 23.1%	POR 22.0% GSW 11.8% −10.2%
3P Att. %	17 41.8% 2 46.9%	POR 46.2% GSW 48.2% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	GSW
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	120	130
Rebounds	43	40
Assists	31	35
Steals	9	16
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	17 (1)
Fouls	13	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (4)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (0)	28 (2)
Field Goals	44-91	45-85
At-the-Rim FG	18-29	20-34
Midrange FG	8-20	4-10
2-Point FG	26-49	24-44
3-Point FG	18-42	21-41
Free Throws	14-17	19-21
Fast Break Pts	12	20
2nd Chance Pts	22	17
Points in Paint	42	46
Pts off Turnovers	17	25
Bench Points	23	56
Biggest Lead	7	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg