Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Wizards	19%	108	103	100.0	103	106.5
	11	Pistons	81%	121	123	120.6	102	100.1

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+14

-13

104

DET

+19

-12

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.99 49.5%

DET

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	31.0	5	31%	8	1	1	1	0	3	2	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	31.0	12	60%	5	2	3	1	0	4	1	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	25.5	15	47%	5	3	2	0	1	1	0	5	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	3-9	33%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	22.8	8	33%	7	2	0	1	4	1	2	5	3-6	50%	1-6	17%	1-3	33%
Khris Middleton #32 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	22.5	8	40%	3	0	0	0	2	2	1	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%

Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	31.3	15	68%	3	3	0	0	3	3	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	25.8	10	50%	6	3	0	0	1	0	1	5	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	22.0	14	64%	8	2	1	0	1	3	3	5	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	20.8	16	73%	2	2	0	1	1	1	1	1	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	2-3	67%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	2.5	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	INACTIVE
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23	INACTIVE
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	50%	47	20	7	4	13	18	12	35	16-20	80%	24-53	45%	13-39	33%

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28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	31.0	5	31%	8	1	1	1	0	3	2	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	31.0	12	60%	5	2	3	1	0	4	1	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	25.5	15	47%	5	3	2	0	1	1	0	5	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	3-9	33%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	22.8	8	33%	7	2	0	1	4	1	2	5	3-6	50%	1-6	17%	1-3	33%
Khris Middleton #32 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	22.5	8	40%	3	0	0	0	2	2	1	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%

Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	31.3	15	68%	3	3	0	0	3	3	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	25.8	10	50%	6	3	0	0	1	0	1	5	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	22.0	14	64%	8	2	1	0	1	3	3	5	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	20.8	16	73%	2	2	0	1	1	1	1	1	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	2-3	67%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	2.5	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	INACTIVE
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23	INACTIVE
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	50%	47	20	7	4	13	18	12	35	16-20	80%	24-53	45%	13-39	33%

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11 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 23	31.5	27	54%	8	10	1	0	3	5	1	7	4-5	80%	10-18	56%	1-5	20%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 33	30.7	12	50%	8	1	3	0	2	1	1	7	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-4	50%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 21	24.7	15	63%	13	0	0	2	1	2	5	8	1-2	50%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Tim Hardaway Jr. #8 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 33	23.3	11	69%	4	1	2	0	0	0	0	4	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	3-7	43%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22	20.1	8	50%	5	1	0	2	1	4	4	1	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%

Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 31	23.1	11	46%	1	4	1	1	1	2	0	1	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	2-6	33%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 28	22.0	14	70%	4	2	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	4-6	67%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 24	20.8	7	58%	7	4	0	0	0	2	4	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Simone Fontecchio #19 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 29	18.4	8	80%	5	2	0	0	1	0	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Ronald Holland II #00 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 20	17.9	4	29%	4	2	0	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	2.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 26	2.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	2.5	6	150%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment \| On Assignment
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibula; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	56%	61	29	7	5	12	18	18	43	11-15	73%	32-66	48%	16-38	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	DET
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	DET

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.99 49.5%

DET

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

48%

DET

52%

Midrange

WAS

42%

DET

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

19.5

33%

50%

DET

24.0

42%

63%

Free Throws

WAS

80%

DET

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Smart	16	73%	8.0 / 11
J. Poole	15	47%	7.5 / 16
B. Carrington	15	68%	7.5 / 11
R. Holmes	14	64%	7.0 / 11
K. George	12	60%	6.0 / 10
C. Kispert	10	50%	5.0 / 10
A. Sarr	8	33%	4.0 / 12
K. Middleton	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. Champagnie	5	31%	2.5 / 8
A. Gill	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Martin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Cunningham	27	54%	13.5 / 25
J. Duren	15	63%	7.5 / 12
M. Beasley	14	70%	7.0 / 10
T. Harris	12	50%	6.0 / 12
T. Hardaway	11	69%	5.5 / 8
D. Schröder	11	46%	5.5 / 12
A. Thompson	8	50%	4.0 / 8
S. Fontecchio	8	80%	4.0 / 5
I. Stewart	7	58%	3.5 / 6
L. Waters	6	150%	3.0 / 2
R. Holland	4	29%	2.0 / 7
P. Reed	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 14 114.5	WAS 100.0 DET 120.6 +20.6
Pace	4 101.8 12 100.3	WAS 106.5 +6.5 DET 100.1
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 21 14.3	WAS 13.5 −0.9 DET 14.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 16 54.7%	WAS 47.3% DET 53.8% +6.5%
TO %	27 14.6% 21 14.0%	WAS 11.4% DET 9.8% −1.6%
ORB %	25 22.7% 11 26.2%	WAS 21.8% DET 34.0% +12.2%
FTrt	26 22.9 12 24.8	WAS 21.7 +7.3 DET 14.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 21 61.8%	WAS 54.1% DET 60.4% +6.3%
STL %	25 7.4% 20 7.9%	WAS 6.8% DET 6.9% +0.1%
BLK %	12 9.6% 6 10.4%	WAS 6.1% DET 9.4% +3.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 16 56.6%	WAS 49.5% DET 56.4% +6.9%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 16 63.7%	WAS 48.3% DET 52.3% +4.0%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 16 43.5%	WAS 41.7% +0.8% DET 40.9%
3P %	29 33.5% 17 36.2%	WAS 33.3% DET 42.1% +8.8%
FT %	16 77.8% 20 77.4%	WAS 80.0% +6.7% DET 73.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 5 34.4%	WAS 31.5% DET 42.3% +10.8%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 14 26.2%	WAS 26.1% DET 21.2% −4.9%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 22 39.4%	WAS 42.4% +5.9% DET 36.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	DET
Possessions	103	102
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.5
Points	103	123
Rebounds	47	61
Assists	20	29
Steals	7	7
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	18	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	18 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (2)	43 (1)
Field Goals	37-92	48-104
At-the-Rim FG	14-29	23-44
Midrange FG	10-24	9-22
2-Point FG	24-53	32-66
3-Point FG	13-39	16-38
Free Throws	16-20	11-15
Fast Break Pts	24	7
2nd Chance Pts	14	20
Points in Paint	44	58
Pts off Turnovers	12	18
Bench Points	55	50
Biggest Lead	0	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg