Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Bucks	49%	115	114	115.2	99	91.7
	14	Pacers	51%	116	115	117.3	98	106.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	37.5	15	44%	3	11	0	0	3	1	0	3	5-6	83%	2-7	29%	2-7	29%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	36.0	23	96%	7	1	1	0	1	1	2	5	3-3	100%	7-7	100%	2-4	50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	34.1	19	63%	17	7	0	1	3	3	2	15	1-3	33%	9-13	69%	0-1	0%
Taurean Prince #12 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 31	33.6	18	56%	6	3	1	0	2	2	1	5	0-0	-	3-8	38%	4-8	50%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 30	30.6	9	45%	4	2	0	0	3	1	0	4	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%

AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	20.2	6	60%	1	4	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	19.5	9	64%	1	0	1	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	16.6	9	64%	2	4	0	0	2	3	0	2	4-5	80%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	11.9	6	100%	3	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamaree Bouyea #15 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 26	INACTIVE
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	INACTIVE
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	60%	44	32	4	2	15	19	6	38	14-19	74%	29-48	60%	14-36	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

15 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	37.5	15	44%	3	11	0	0	3	1	0	3	5-6	83%	2-7	29%	2-7	29%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	36.0	23	96%	7	1	1	0	1	1	2	5	3-3	100%	7-7	100%	2-4	50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	34.1	19	63%	17	7	0	1	3	3	2	15	1-3	33%	9-13	69%	0-1	0%
Taurean Prince #12 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 31	33.6	18	56%	6	3	1	0	2	2	1	5	0-0	-	3-8	38%	4-8	50%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 30	30.6	9	45%	4	2	0	0	3	1	0	4	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%

AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	20.2	6	60%	1	4	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	19.5	9	64%	1	0	1	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	16.6	9	64%	2	4	0	0	2	3	0	2	4-5	80%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	11.9	6	100%	3	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamaree Bouyea #15 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 26	INACTIVE
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	INACTIVE
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	60%	44	32	4	2	15	19	6	38	14-19	74%	29-48	60%	14-36	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	37.4	25	78%	12	5	1	0	3	3	2	10	2-3	67%	7-8	88%	3-7	43%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	31.7	14	64%	3	10	2	0	1	0	1	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	31.4	9	41%	4	1	1	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-4	25%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 25	28.6	12	86%	2	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	28.5	13	50%	6	2	0	2	1	4	1	5	2-3	67%	4-4	100%	1-8	13%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	21.6	17	61%	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	4	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	3-5	60%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	19.4	10	63%	3	0	1	0	0	3	0	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	14.9	0	0%	1	1	1	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27	5.5	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	61%	38	30	11	3	9	20	5	33	14-18	78%	31-48	65%	13-39	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	IND
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.20 60.0%

IND

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

23

31

74%

IND

19

25

76%

Midrange

MIL

6

17

35%

IND

12

23

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

14

21.0

36

39%

58%

IND

13

19.5

39

33%

50%

Free Throws

MIL

14

19

74%

IND

14

18

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Lopez	23	96%	11.5 / 12
G. Antetokounmpo	19	63%	9.5 / 15
T. Prince	18	56%	9.0 / 16
D. Lillard	15	44%	7.5 / 17
K. Kuzma	9	45%	4.5 / 10
G. Trent	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Porter	9	64%	4.5 / 7
A. Green	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Sims	6	100%	3.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	25	78%	12.5 / 16
B. Mathurin	17	61%	8.5 / 14
T. Haliburton	14	64%	7.0 / 11
M. Turner	13	50%	6.5 / 13
A. Nembhard	12	86%	6.0 / 7
T. McConnell	12	67%	6.0 / 9
T. Bryant	10	63%	5.0 / 8
A. Nesmith	9	41%	4.5 / 11
O. Toppin	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Sheppard	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 115.2 9 115.3	MIL 115.2 IND 117.3 +2.2
Pace	14 99.9 6 100.9	MIL 91.7 IND 106.4 +14.7
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.6 24 14.0	MIL 15.7 IND 13.5 −2.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.8% 4 56.2%	MIL 59.5% +1.5% IND 58.0%
TO %	7 12.7% 3 12.0%	MIL 14.0% IND 9.5% −4.5%
ORB %	30 19.3% 29 21.3%	MIL 15.4% +3.8% IND 11.6%
FTrt	3 26.8 17 24.1	MIL 22.6 +1.9 IND 20.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 60.7% 8 67.1%	MIL 74.4% +6.2% IND 68.2%
STL %	27 7.3% 10 8.3%	MIL 4.0% IND 11.2% +7.2%
BLK %	20 9.1% 8 10.2%	MIL 4.2% IND 6.3% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.6% 7 57.6%	MIL 60.0% IND 60.5% +0.5%
Rim FG%	5 66.9% 6 66.7%	MIL 74.2% IND 76.0% +1.8%
Mid FG%	13 44.1% 6 45.8%	MIL 35.3% IND 52.2% +16.9%
3P %	1 38.7% 9 36.8%	MIL 38.9% +5.6% IND 33.3%
FT %	28 75.0% 9 78.9%	MIL 73.7% IND 77.8% +4.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 30.0% 17 31.4%	MIL 36.9% +8.2% IND 28.7%
Mid Att. %	21 27.5% 24 28.6%	MIL 20.2% −6.2% IND 26.4%
3P Att. %	15 42.4% 21 40.0%	MIL 42.9% IND 44.8% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	IND
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	25.9	22.1
Points	114	115
Rebounds	44	38
Assists	32	30
Steals	4	11
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	9 (1)
Fouls	19	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (5)	5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (2)	33 (0)
Field Goals	43-84	44-87
At-the-Rim FG	23-31	19-25
Midrange FG	6-17	12-23
2-Point FG	29-48	31-48
3-Point FG	14-36	13-39
Free Throws	14-19	14-18
Fast Break Pts	3	31
2nd Chance Pts	10	9
Points in Paint	52	48
Pts off Turnovers	12	23
Bench Points	30	42
Biggest Lead	4	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg