Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Clippers	71%	115	120	121.2	99	101.6
	25	Pelicans	29%	107	127	129.6	98	95.5

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

+13

-11

101

NOP

+15

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.19 59.4%

NOP

1.34 66.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	39.9	25	66%	4	17	2	0	6	3	0	4	9-9	100%	2-4	50%	4-11	36%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	38.4	19	73%	11	5	0	4	1	3	5	6	1-2	50%	9-12	75%	0-0	-
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	36.3	29	69%	8	3	2	1	1	2	1	7	1-3	33%	8-12	67%	4-8	50%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 31	31.2	11	50%	3	5	3	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-2	50%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 36	28.4	8	44%	2	0	1	2	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-8	25%

Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 28	25.7	11	69%	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	2	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 28	19.8	9	56%	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	15.8	8	44%	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 25	4.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Soreness
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Seth Lundy #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trentyn Flowers #9 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Ben Simmons #25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	34	34	10	8	11	16	11	23	14-18	78%	32-50	64%	14-42	33%

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7 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	39.9	25	66%	4	17	2	0	6	3	0	4	9-9	100%	2-4	50%	4-11	36%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	38.4	19	73%	11	5	0	4	1	3	5	6	1-2	50%	9-12	75%	0-0	-
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	36.3	29	69%	8	3	2	1	1	2	1	7	1-3	33%	8-12	67%	4-8	50%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 31	31.2	11	50%	3	5	3	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-2	50%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 36	28.4	8	44%	2	0	1	2	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-8	25%

Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 28	25.7	11	69%	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	2	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 28	19.8	9	56%	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	15.8	8	44%	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 25	4.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Soreness
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Seth Lundy #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trentyn Flowers #9 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Ben Simmons #25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	34	34	10	8	11	16	11	23	14-18	78%	32-50	64%	14-42	33%

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25 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	36.0	21	53%	4	3	2	0	3	2	0	4	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	3-7	43%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33	32.6	23	68%	3	7	3	0	3	4	1	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	5-9	56%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	32.6	22	69%	10	12	0	1	5	2	1	9	6-6	100%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Bruce Brown #00 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 29	29.8	12	67%	5	5	0	0	0	1	1	4	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	26.5	9	56%	8	1	0	2	3	0	6	2	3-5	60%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	24.7	14	117%	2	4	2	0	4	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-5	80%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	22.5	11	79%	3	1	0	1	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 24	20.4	15	107%	4	1	0	2	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	1-1	100%
Mo Bamba #4 · C · 7'0" 231 · 27	15.1	0	0%	7	0	0	1	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	INACTIVE
Lester Quinones #22 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Rotator Cuff
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Kelly Olynyk #13 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	67%	46	34	7	7	19	16	12	34	16-18	89%	30-54	56%	17-31	55%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	NOP

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.19 59.4%

NOP

1.34 66.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

69%

NOP

67%

Midrange

LAC

58%

NOP

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

21.0

33%

50%

NOP

25.5

55%

82%

Free Throws

LAC

78%

NOP

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	29	69%	14.5 / 21
J. Harden	25	66%	12.5 / 19
I. Zubac	19	73%	9.5 / 13
K. Dunn	11	50%	5.5 / 11
D. Jones	11	69%	5.5 / 8
A. Coffey	9	56%	4.5 / 8
N. Batum	8	44%	4.0 / 9
B. Bogdanović	8	44%	4.0 / 9
K. Brown	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	23	68%	11.5 / 17
Z. Williamson	22	69%	11.0 / 16
T. Murphy	21	53%	10.5 / 20
K. Matković	15	107%	7.5 / 7
J. Alvarado	14	117%	7.0 / 6
B. Brown	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Hawkins	11	79%	5.5 / 7
Y. Missi	9	56%	4.5 / 8
M. Bamba	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 114.3 25 109.6	LAC 121.2 NOP 129.6 +8.4
Pace	24 98.1 15 99.8	LAC 101.6 +6.1 NOP 95.5
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.1 17 14.4	LAC 14.2 −0.9 NOP 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.4% 26 51.9%	LAC 57.6% NOP 65.3% +7.7%
TO %	22 14.0% 20 13.9%	LAC 9.9% −7.1% NOP 17.0%
ORB %	19 24.4% 9 26.3%	LAC 24.4% NOP 34.3% +9.9%
FTrt	9 25.1 15 24.4	LAC 19.6 NOP 21.2 +1.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 60.5% 13 63.6%	LAC 73.9% +1.6% NOP 72.3%
STL %	2 9.5% 8 8.5%	LAC 10.1% +3.0% NOP 7.1%
BLK %	16 9.3% 7 10.4%	LAC 14.8% +0.8% NOP 14.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 26 53.8%	LAC 59.4% NOP 66.8% +7.4%
Rim FG%	13 64.2% 26 61.0%	LAC 69.2% +2.5% NOP 66.7%
Mid FG%	10 45.3% 23 40.7%	LAC 58.3% +25.0% NOP 33.3%
3P %	7 37.3% 24 34.7%	LAC 33.3% NOP 54.8% +21.5%
FT %	7 79.7% 27 75.4%	LAC 77.8% NOP 88.9% +11.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.6% 9 33.6%	LAC 28.3% NOP 42.4% +14.1%
Mid Att. %	28 29.7% 22 27.9%	LAC 26.1% NOP 21.2% −4.9%
3P Att. %	25 38.7% 26 38.6%	LAC 45.7% +9.2% NOP 36.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAC	NOP
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	120	127
Rebounds	34	46
Assists	34	34
Steals	10	7
Blocks	8	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls	16	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (0)	34 (2)
Field Goals	46-92	47-85
At-the-Rim FG	18-26	24-36
Midrange FG	14-24	6-18
2-Point FG	32-50	30-54
3-Point FG	14-42	17-31
Free Throws	14-18	16-18
Fast Break Pts	15	18
2nd Chance Pts	11	23
Points in Paint	58	60
Pts off Turnovers	25	19
Bench Points	28	40
Biggest Lead	2	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg