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All Games Friday, March 14, 2025
FinalWin Prob.pScore
2
Celtics
68%112
103
17
Heat
32%105
91
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
110.89386.8
MIA logo MIA
98.99299.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.103
100%
91
0%
Q4 - 0:20.7HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup103
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.1CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving layup103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.4CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound101
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.8HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot101
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)101
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)98
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 1:28HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound98
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 1:32CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot98
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 1:47CelticsNeemias Queta defensive rebound98
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 1:49HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point putback layup98
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 1:51HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound98
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 1:55HeatJrue Holiday blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving hook shot98
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 2:20CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 298
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 2:20CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 297
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 2:20HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)96
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 2:37CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound96
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 2:41HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot96
99.5%
86
0.5%
Q4 - 2:58CelticsAl Horford makes two point driving hook shot (Jayson Tatum assists)96
98.6%
86
1.4%
Q4 - 3:09CelticsNeemias Queta defensive rebound94
98.2%
86
1.8%
Q4 - 3:10HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving finger roll layup94
97.9%
86
2.1%
Q4 - 3:24CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 294
97.1%
86
2.9%
Q4 - 3:24CelticsDerrick White misses regular free throw 1 of 293
96.9%
86
3.1%
Q4 - 3:24HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)93
97.9%
86
2.1%
Q4 - 3:33CelticsNeemias Queta defensive rebound93
95.1%
86
4.9%
Q4 - 3:37HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point stepback jump shot93
94.6%
86
5.4%
Q4 - 3:54CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)93
93.2%
86
6.8%
Q4 - 4:22HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point stepback jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)90
87.7%
86
12.3%
Q4 - 4:38CelticsAl Horford makes two point putback layup90
93.4%
83
6.6%
Q4 - 4:39CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound88
91.2%
83
8.8%
Q4 - 4:41CelticsAl Horford misses two point cutting layup88
88.6%
83
11.4%
Q4 - 4:59HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving dunk88
91.2%
83
8.8%
Q4 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound88
91.7%
81
8.3%
Q4 - 5:12CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot88
92.5%
81
7.5%
Q4 - 5:29HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)88
94.1%
81
5.9%
Q4 - 5:29HeatHeat offensive rebound88
91.8%
81
8.2%
Q4 - 5:30HeatJrue Holiday blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving floating jump shot88
93.5%
81
6.5%
Q4 - 5:51HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound88
91.9%
81
8.1%
Q4 - 5:57CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot88
92.6%
81
7.4%
Q4 - 6:04CelticsNeemias Queta defensive rebound88
92.8%
81
7.2%
Q4 - 6:07HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot88
92.1%
81
7.9%
Q4 - 6:13HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound88
90.3%
81
9.7%
Q4 - 6:16CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot88
91.2%
81
8.8%
Q4 - 6:25HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)88
92.9%
81
7.1%
Q4 - 6:42CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound88
92.9%
81
7.1%
Q4 - 6:42HeatNeemias Queta blocks Bam Adebayo's three point jump shot88
92.2%
81
7.8%
Q4 - 7:04CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)88
89.4%
81
10.6%
Q4 - 7:04CelticsCeltics offensive rebound88
92.1%
81
7.9%
Q4 - 7:05CelticsNeemias Queta misses two point tip layup88
90.3%
81
9.7%
Q4 - 7:05CelticsNeemias Queta offensive rebound88
92.1%
81
7.9%
Q4 - 7:06CelticsDerrick White misses two point fadeaway jump shot88
90.3%
81
9.7%
Q4 - 7:18HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Payton Pritchard draws the foul)88
92.1%
81
7.9%
Q4 - 7:37HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot88
92.1%
81
7.9%
Q4 - 7:54CelticsNeemias Queta turnover (offensive foul)88
93.4%
79
6.6%
Q4 - 7:54CelticsNeemias Queta offensive foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)88
95.2%
79
4.8%
Q4 - 7:58CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound88
95.2%
79
4.8%
Q4 - 7:58HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot88
94.7%
79
5.3%
Q4 - 8:07HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound88
92.8%
79
7.2%
Q4 - 8:09CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point pullup jump shot88
93.3%
79
6.7%
Q4 - 8:34HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)88
94.4%
79
5.6%
Q4 - 8:42HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound88
92.8%
79
7.2%
Q4 - 8:45CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot88
93.4%
79
6.6%
Q4 - 9:00CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound88
94.5%
79
5.5%
Q4 - 9:05HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot88
93.4%
79
6.6%
Q4 - 9:19CelticsNeemias Queta makes regular free throw 2 of 288
92.2%
79
7.8%
Q4 - 9:19CelticsNeemias Queta makes regular free throw 1 of 287
91.7%
79
8.3%
Q4 - 9:19HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Neemias Queta draws the foul)86
91.2%
79
8.8%
Q4 - 9:32HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (traveling)86
90.7%
79
9.3%
Q4 - 9:33HeatHeat offensive rebound86
88.2%
79
11.8%
Q4 - 9:34HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving layup86
90.0%
79
10.0%
Q4 - 9:47CelticsDerrick White makes three point pullup jump shot86
88.2%
79
11.8%
Q4 - 10:00HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)83
83.0%
79
17.0%
Q4 - 10:00CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound83
83.0%
79
17.0%
Q4 - 10:02CelticsSam Hauser misses three point running jump shot83
79.5%
79
20.5%
Q4 - 10:10CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound83
82.1%
79
17.9%
Q4 - 10:10HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot83
81.0%
79
19.0%
Q4 - 10:22CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point cutting layup (Derrick White assists)83
78.3%
79
21.7%
Q4 - 10:32CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound81
75.0%
79
25.0%
Q4 - 10:35HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving hook shot81
73.6%
79
26.4%
Q4 - 10:56CelticsDerrick White makes three point pullup jump shot81
70.2%
79
29.8%
Q4 - 11:10HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 278
61.0%
79
39.0%
Q4 - 11:10HeatAndrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 278
62.2%
78
37.8%
Q4 - 11:10CelticsNeemias Queta shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)78
58.7%
78
41.3%
Q4 - 11:13CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)78
60.9%
78
39.1%
Q4 - 11:15CelticsCeltics offensive rebound78
65.8%
78
34.2%
Q4 - 11:16CelticsKel'el Ware blocks Payton Pritchard's two point driving layup78
62.4%
78
37.6%
Q4 - 11:26CelticsNeemias Queta offensive rebound78
65.8%
78
34.2%
Q4 - 11:29CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot78
62.4%
78
37.6%
Q4 - 11:46HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 278
65.8%
78
34.2%
Q4 - 11:46HeatKel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 278
66.9%
77
33.1%
Q4 - 11:46CelticsSam Hauser shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)78
63.5%
77
36.5%
Q4 - 11:46HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound78
65.6%
77
34.4%
Q4 - 11:46HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving layup78
68.9%
77
31.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.78
65.6%
77
34.4%
Q3 - 0:06.5CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point fadeaway jump shot78
66.3%
77
33.7%
Q3 - 0:27.2HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)76
61.8%
77
38.2%
Q3 - 0:29.4HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound76
57.1%
77
42.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot76
58.5%
77
41.5%
Q3 - 0:50.2HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)76
61.7%
77
38.3%
Q3 - 1:02CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot76
57.9%
77
42.1%
Q3 - 1:24HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)73
48.9%
77
51.1%
Q3 - 1:32HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound73
57.9%
74
42.1%
Q3 - 1:37CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot73
59.3%
74
40.7%
Q3 - 1:51HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)73
62.4%
74
37.6%
Q3 - 2:00CelticsNeemias Queta turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)73
66.5%
72
33.5%
Q3 - 2:13HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Payton Pritchard steals)73
70.6%
72
29.4%
Q3 - 2:32CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point running pullup jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)73
66.5%
72
33.5%
Q3 - 2:37CelticsNeemias Queta defensive rebound70
58.8%
72
41.2%
Q3 - 2:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot70
57.4%
72
42.6%
Q3 - 3:07CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)70
54.6%
72
45.4%
Q3 - 3:28HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 267
47.0%
72
53.0%
Q3 - 3:28HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 267
47.5%
71
52.5%
Q3 - 3:28CelticsNeemias Queta shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)67
48.0%
70
52.0%
Q3 - 3:42CelticsNeemias Queta turnover (offensive foul)67
50.4%
70
49.6%
Q3 - 3:42CelticsNeemias Queta offensive foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)67
55.4%
70
44.6%
Q3 - 3:54HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot67
55.3%
70
44.7%
Q3 - 4:07CelticsJrue Holiday personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)67
63.6%
67
36.4%
Q3 - 4:20CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point driving reverse layup67
63.6%
67
36.4%
Q3 - 4:33HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)65
60.1%
67
39.9%
Q3 - 4:57CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup65
55.8%
67
44.2%
Q3 - 5:13CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound63
52.9%
67
47.1%
Q3 - 5:16HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot63
51.7%
67
48.3%
Q3 - 5:29HeatHeat defensive rebound63
48.8%
67
51.2%
Q3 - 5:30CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot63
50.0%
67
50.0%
Q3 - 5:51HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)63
52.9%
67
47.1%
Q3 - 6:13CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point running layup63
61.0%
64
39.0%
Q3 - 6:17HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Jrue Holiday steals)61
57.8%
64
42.2%
Q3 - 6:28CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)61
53.7%
64
46.3%
Q3 - 6:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)59
50.3%
64
49.7%
Q3 - 6:53CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)59
57.3%
61
42.7%
Q3 - 7:13CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point running jump shot (Derrick White assists)59
58.0%
61
42.0%
Q3 - 7:17CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound56
51.4%
61
48.6%
Q3 - 7:21HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot56
50.2%
61
49.8%
Q3 - 7:32CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)56
47.4%
61
52.6%
Q3 - 7:43CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound56
51.4%
61
48.6%
Q3 - 7:45HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup56
50.2%
61
49.8%
Q3 - 8:03CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)56
48.2%
61
51.8%
Q3 - 8:03HeatHeat defensive rebound56
48.2%
61
51.8%
Q3 - 8:05CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot56
49.5%
61
50.5%
Q3 - 8:27HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)56
52.3%
61
47.7%
Q3 - 8:47CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point fadeaway jump shot56
58.5%
58
41.5%
Q3 - 9:08CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound54
56.7%
58
43.3%
Q3 - 9:08HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point cutting layup54
55.5%
58
44.5%
Q3 - 9:11HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound54
52.7%
58
47.3%
Q3 - 9:13HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot54
55.5%
58
44.5%
Q3 - 9:24HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound54
52.7%
58
47.3%
Q3 - 9:27CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot54
53.9%
58
46.1%
Q3 - 9:41HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)54
56.7%
58
43.3%
Q3 - 9:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound54
62.4%
55
37.6%
Q3 - 9:52CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot54
63.6%
55
36.4%
Q3 - 10:02HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)54
66.5%
55
33.5%
Q3 - 10:28CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 154
62.9%
55
37.1%
Q3 - 10:28HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)53
62.5%
55
37.5%
Q3 - 10:28CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound53
63.6%
55
36.4%
Q3 - 10:28HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving layup53
62.4%
55
37.6%
Q3 - 10:37CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)53
59.8%
55
40.2%
Q3 - 10:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 153
63.6%
55
36.4%
Q3 - 10:50CelticsJrue Holiday shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)53
64.1%
54
35.9%
Q3 - 10:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound53
68.7%
52
31.3%
Q3 - 10:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot53
71.1%
52
28.9%
Q3 - 10:57HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound53
68.7%
52
31.3%
Q3 - 11:02CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot53
70.1%
52
29.9%
Q3 - 11:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)53
72.0%
52
28.0%
Q3 - 11:44CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point pullup jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)53
74.3%
50
25.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.50
69.4%
50
30.6%
Q2 - 0:01.5HeatHeat offensive rebound50
67.5%
50
32.5%
Q2 - 0:01.5HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot50
69.3%
50
30.7%
Q2 - 0:13.1CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 250
67.4%
50
32.6%
Q2 - 0:13.1CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 249
67.0%
50
33.0%
Q2 - 0:13.1HeatAndrew Wiggins personal foul (Al Horford draws the foul)48
66.4%
50
33.6%
Q2 - 0:31.8HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot48
64.5%
50
35.5%
Q2 - 0:42.9HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound48
67.4%
48
32.6%
Q2 - 0:46.5CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot48
68.2%
48
31.8%
Q2 - 1:09HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (out of bounds lost ball)48
70.5%
48
29.5%
Q2 - 1:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound48
68.1%
48
31.9%
Q2 - 1:22CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot48
68.8%
48
31.2%
Q2 - 1:35HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Neemias Queta draws the foul)48
70.4%
48
29.6%
Q2 - 1:35CelticsCeltics offensive rebound48
70.4%
48
29.6%
Q2 - 1:37CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot48
68.8%
48
31.2%
Q2 - 1:53HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point running layup (Davion Mitchell assists)48
70.4%
48
29.6%
Q2 - 1:54HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound48
73.1%
46
26.9%
Q2 - 2:00CelticsTyler Herro blocks Jrue Holiday's two point driving layup48
73.8%
46
26.2%
Q2 - 2:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup48
75.4%
46
24.6%
Q2 - 2:23CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point running jump shot (Al Horford assists)48
77.2%
44
22.8%
Q2 - 2:29HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)45
73.2%
44
26.8%
Q2 - 2:31HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound45
70.5%
44
29.5%
Q2 - 2:33HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot45
72.4%
44
27.6%
Q2 - 2:42CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 245
70.5%
44
29.5%
Q2 - 2:42CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 244
70.1%
44
29.9%
Q2 - 2:42HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)43
69.7%
44
30.3%
Q2 - 3:05HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)43
68.9%
44
31.1%
Q2 - 3:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound43
73.0%
41
27.0%
Q2 - 3:17CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot43
73.8%
41
26.2%
Q2 - 3:30HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot43
75.6%
41
24.4%
Q2 - 3:31HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound43
77.2%
39
22.8%
Q2 - 3:34HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point running jump shot43
78.8%
39
21.2%
Q2 - 3:38HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound43
77.2%
39
22.8%
Q2 - 3:42CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Derrick White's two point fadeaway jump shot43
77.9%
39
22.1%
Q2 - 4:05HeatPelle Larsson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)43
79.5%
39
20.5%
Q2 - 4:19CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)43
77.4%
39
22.6%
Q2 - 4:22CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound40
73.7%
39
26.3%
Q2 - 4:24CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot40
71.9%
39
28.1%
Q2 - 4:31CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound40
73.7%
39
26.3%
Q2 - 4:32HeatAl Horford blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving finger roll layup40
72.9%
39
27.1%
Q2 - 4:52CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point pullup jump shot (Al Horford assists)40
71.1%
39
28.9%
Q2 - 4:54CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound37
66.8%
39
33.2%
Q2 - 4:59CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point jump shot37
64.8%
39
35.2%
Q2 - 5:08CelticsJrue Holiday offensive rebound37
67.5%
39
32.5%
Q2 - 5:11CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point fadeaway jump shot37
65.4%
39
34.6%
Q2 - 5:13CelticsCeltics offensive rebound37
67.5%
39
32.5%
Q2 - 5:13CelticsTyler Herro blocks Jrue Holiday's two point driving layup37
65.4%
39
34.6%
Q2 - 5:34HeatPelle Larsson makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)37
67.5%
39
32.5%
Q2 - 5:41HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound37
69.3%
37
30.7%
Q2 - 5:45CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot37
70.1%
37
29.9%
Q2 - 6:00HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point stepback jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)37
72.0%
37
28.0%
Q2 - 6:10CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)37
75.9%
34
24.1%
Q2 - 6:28HeatKel'el Ware makes two point hook shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)37
78.2%
34
21.8%
Q2 - 6:42HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound37
79.5%
32
20.5%
Q2 - 6:46CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot37
80.2%
32
19.8%
Q2 - 7:00CelticsJordan Walsh defensive rebound37
81.6%
32
18.4%
Q2 - 7:02HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot37
80.8%
32
19.2%
Q2 - 7:10HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound37
79.5%
32
20.5%
Q2 - 7:14CelticsDerrick White misses three point stepback jump shot37
80.1%
32
19.9%
Q2 - 7:37HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 237
81.3%
32
18.7%
Q2 - 7:37HeatAndrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 237
81.7%
31
18.3%
Q2 - 7:37CelticsLuke Kornet shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)37
80.5%
31
19.5%
Q2 - 7:44CelticsDerrick White turnover (lost ball) (Kel'el Ware steals)37
81.2%
31
18.8%
Q2 - 8:00HeatDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 237
82.8%
31
17.2%
Q2 - 8:00HeatDavion Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 237
83.2%
30
16.8%
Q2 - 8:00CelticsJordan Walsh shooting foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)37
82.2%
30
17.8%
Q2 - 8:01HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound37
82.5%
30
17.5%
Q2 - 8:04CelticsDerrick White misses two point driving floating jump shot37
83.0%
30
17.0%
Q2 - 8:16CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound37
84.1%
30
15.9%
Q2 - 8:16HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving floating jump shot37
83.6%
30
16.4%
Q2 - 8:22CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point running alley-oop layup (Derrick White assists)37
82.5%
30
17.5%
Q2 - 8:27HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)35
81.2%
30
18.8%
Q2 - 8:32HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound35
79.4%
30
20.6%
Q2 - 8:35CelticsLuke Kornet misses three point pullup jump shot35
79.9%
30
20.1%
Q2 - 9:01HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point pullup jump shot35
80.7%
30
19.3%
Q2 - 9:15CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)35
83.6%
27
16.4%
Q2 - 9:22HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound35
83.6%
27
16.4%
Q2 - 9:26CelticsJordan Walsh misses three point running jump shot35
84.1%
27
15.9%
Q2 - 9:30CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound35
85.0%
27
15.0%
Q2 - 9:34HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot35
84.6%
27
15.4%
Q2 - 9:55CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point pullup jump shot35
83.6%
27
16.4%
Q2 - 10:08HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Payton Pritchard steals)32
80.9%
27
19.1%
Q2 - 10:15HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound32
79.3%
27
20.7%
Q2 - 10:18CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot32
79.8%
27
20.2%
Q2 - 10:39HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point stepback jump shot32
80.9%
27
19.1%
Q2 - 11:00CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (out of bounds lost ball)32
82.3%
25
17.7%
Q2 - 11:00CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound32
83.7%
25
16.3%
Q2 - 11:04HeatDavion Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 132
83.3%
25
16.7%
Q2 - 11:04CelticsSam Hauser shooting foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)32
82.6%
25
17.4%
Q2 - 11:06HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound32
84.7%
23
15.3%
Q2 - 11:12CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot32
85.1%
23
14.9%
Q2 - 11:23HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (traveling)32
86.0%
23
14.0%
Q2 - 11:44CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot32
84.8%
23
15.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.30
83.6%
23
16.4%
Q1 - 0:00.1CelticsCeltics offensive rebound30
83.4%
23
16.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point stepback jump shot30
82.5%
23
17.5%
Q1 - 0:14.5HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)30
83.4%
23
16.6%
Q1 - 0:28.9HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound30
85.8%
20
14.2%
Q1 - 0:31.9CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot30
86.2%
20
13.8%
Q1 - 0:38.7CelticsCeltics defensive rebound30
86.9%
20
13.1%
Q1 - 0:39.3HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving layup30
86.6%
20
13.4%
Q1 - 1:02CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)30
85.8%
20
14.2%
Q1 - 1:20HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Andrew Wiggins assists)27
83.4%
20
16.6%
Q1 - 1:35CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)27
84.7%
18
15.3%
Q1 - 1:35HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound27
84.7%
18
15.3%
Q1 - 1:35CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving finger roll layup27
85.0%
18
15.0%
Q1 - 2:00HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Payton Pritchard steals)27
85.8%
18
14.2%
Q1 - 2:04CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)27
84.3%
18
15.7%
Q1 - 2:06CelticsPayton Pritchard offensive rebound27
85.6%
18
14.4%
Q1 - 2:06CelticsNeemias Queta misses two point tip layup27
84.7%
18
15.3%
Q1 - 2:06CelticsNeemias Queta offensive rebound27
85.6%
18
14.4%
Q1 - 2:11CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot27
84.7%
18
15.3%
Q1 - 2:25HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving layup27
85.6%
18
14.4%
Q1 - 2:41CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup27
86.5%
16
13.5%
Q1 - 3:00HeatTyler Herro makes three point fadeaway jump shot25
85.6%
16
14.4%
Q1 - 3:25CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds lost ball)25
87.3%
13
12.7%
Q1 - 3:34HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 225
88.4%
13
11.6%
Q1 - 3:34HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 225
88.6%
12
11.4%
Q1 - 3:34CelticsPayton Pritchard shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)25
88.8%
11
11.2%
Q1 - 3:43CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving layup25
89.1%
11
10.9%
Q1 - 4:04CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound23
86.5%
11
13.5%
Q1 - 4:06HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot23
86.2%
11
13.8%
Q1 - 4:20CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point stepback jump shot23
85.4%
11
14.6%
Q1 - 4:37CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound20
83.6%
11
16.4%
Q1 - 4:40HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 220
83.5%
11
16.5%
Q1 - 4:40HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 220
82.8%
11
17.2%
Q1 - 4:40CelticsLuke Kornet shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)20
82.0%
11
18.0%
Q1 - 4:44CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Davion Mitchell steals)20
82.4%
11
17.6%
Q1 - 4:59HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 120
83.5%
11
16.5%
Q1 - 4:59CelticsLuke Kornet shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)20
83.7%
10
16.3%
Q1 - 5:03HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound20
84.8%
8
15.2%
Q1 - 5:06CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot20
85.1%
8
14.9%
Q1 - 5:14CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound20
85.6%
8
14.4%
Q1 - 5:16HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving layup20
85.3%
8
14.7%
Q1 - 5:34HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound20
84.5%
8
15.5%
Q1 - 5:37CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point running pullup jump shot20
84.7%
8
15.3%
Q1 - 5:42HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Luke Kornet steals)20
85.3%
8
14.7%
Q1 - 5:52CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 220
84.3%
8
15.7%
Q1 - 5:52CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 219
84.2%
8
15.8%
Q1 - 5:52HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)18
84.0%
8
16.0%
Q1 - 6:02CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound18
83.3%
8
16.7%
Q1 - 6:05HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot18
83.0%
8
17.0%
Q1 - 6:32CelticsDerrick White makes two point pullup jump shot18
82.0%
8
18.0%
Q1 - 6:43HeatAndrew Wiggins personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)16
81.0%
8
19.0%
Q1 - 6:55CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound16
80.8%
8
19.2%
Q1 - 6:59HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point pullup jump shot16
80.5%
8
19.5%
Q1 - 7:17CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point floating jump shot (Derrick White assists)16
79.6%
8
20.4%
Q1 - 7:23CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound14
78.7%
8
21.3%
Q1 - 7:28HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot14
78.3%
8
21.7%
Q1 - 7:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
77.5%
8
22.5%
Q1 - 7:38CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point stepback jump shot14
77.8%
8
22.2%
Q1 - 7:51CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound14
78.2%
8
21.8%
Q1 - 7:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running pullup jump shot14
77.9%
8
22.1%
Q1 - 8:01HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound14
77.2%
8
22.8%
Q1 - 8:03CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot14
77.4%
8
22.6%
Q1 - 8:19HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)14
77.8%
8
22.2%
Q1 - 8:32HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound14
78.1%
6
21.9%
Q1 - 8:39CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot14
78.2%
6
21.8%
Q1 - 8:53HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup14
78.3%
6
21.7%
Q1 - 9:05CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot14
78.3%
4
21.7%
Q1 - 9:13CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound12
77.5%
4
22.5%
Q1 - 9:16HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot12
77.2%
4
22.8%
Q1 - 9:33CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot12
76.2%
4
23.8%
Q1 - 9:43CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound9
74.7%
4
25.3%
Q1 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot9
74.5%
4
25.5%
Q1 - 10:04CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)9
73.3%
4
26.7%
Q1 - 10:18HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (out of bounds bad pass)6
71.9%
4
28.1%
Q1 - 10:24CelticsAl Horford turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)6
71.1%
4
28.9%
Q1 - 10:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup6
71.5%
4
28.5%
Q1 - 10:35HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound6
71.8%
2
28.2%
Q1 - 10:39HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup6
72.1%
2
27.9%
Q1 - 10:54CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)6
71.2%
2
28.8%
Q1 - 11:04CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound3
70.3%
2
29.7%
Q1 - 11:08HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot3
70.1%
2
29.9%
Q1 - 11:27CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)3
69.3%
2
30.7%
Q1 - 11:44HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving floating jump shot0
68.7%
2
31.3%
Q1 - 12:00Luke Kornet vs. Bam Adebayo (Tyler Herro gains possession)0
68.4%
0
31.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.11 55.4%
MIA
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
11
19
58%
MIA
16
30
53%
Midrange
BOS
6
14
43%
MIA
5
11
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
19
28.5
50
38%
57%
MIA
13
19.5
34
38%
57%
Free Throws
BOS
12
13
92%
MIA
10
17
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum2856%14.0 / 25
J. Holiday2583%12.5 / 15
D. White1847%9.0 / 19
P. Pritchard1146%5.5 / 12
A. Horford956%4.5 / 8
S. Hauser675%3.0 / 4
L. Kornet467%2.0 / 3
N. Queta233%1.0 / 3
J. Walsh0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Wiggins2350%11.5 / 23
T. Herro1959%9.5 / 16
J. Jaquez1359%6.5 / 11
D. Mitchell1267%6.0 / 9
B. Adebayo956%4.5 / 8
K. Ware770%3.5 / 5
D. Robinson650%3.0 / 6
P. Larsson250%1.0 / 2
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
79
+14
-14
93
MIA
75
+10
-17
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.11 55.4%
MIA
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
119.5
112.4
BOS 110.8
MIA 98.9 +11.8
Pace
96.6
97.2
BOS 86.8
MIA 99.0 +12.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
14.9
BOS 16.6
MIA 14.5 +2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.1%
54.4%
BOS 54.8% +0.8%
MIA 54.0%
TO %
11.7%
12.8%
BOS 14.5% +3.4%
MIA 17.9%
ORB %
25.6%
22.3%
BOS 22.5% +4.6%
MIA 17.9%
FTrt
21.2
23.2
BOS 15.7
MIA 22.7 +7.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
65.3%
BOS 50.0%
MIA 52.9% +2.9%
STL %
7.4%
8.3%
BOS 8.6%
MIA 10.9% +2.3%
BLK %
10.5%
7.6%
BOS 9.8%
MIA 12.1% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.8%
56.0%
BOS 55.4% +1.9%
MIA 53.5%
Rim FG%
67.3%
62.5%
BOS 57.9% +4.6%
MIA 53.3%
Mid FG%
43.9%
44.4%
BOS 42.9%
MIA 45.5% +2.6%
3P %
36.8%
36.7%
BOS 38.0%
MIA 38.2% +0.2%
FT %
79.9%
79.1%
BOS 92.3% +33.5%
MIA 58.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
26.2%
29.6%
BOS 22.9%
MIA 40.0% +17.1%
Mid Att. %
20.2%
27.5%
BOS 16.9%
MIA 14.7% +2.2%
3P Att. %
53.6%
42.9%
BOS 60.2% +14.9%
MIA 45.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes25.722.3
Points10391
Rebounds4138
Assists1818
Steals810
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)17 (1)
Fouls1712
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)31 (2)
Field Goals36-8334-75
At-the-Rim FG11-1916-30
Midrange FG6-145-11
2-Point FG17-3321-41
3-Point FG19-5013-34
Free Throws12-1310-17
Fast Break Pts139
2nd Chance Pts118
Points in Paint3036
Pts off Turnovers1916
Bench Points1921
Biggest Lead145

BOXSCORE

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2 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jayson Tatum
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 27
36.9
28
56%
4
5
1
0
5
2
0
4
7-7
100%
3-9
33%
5-12
42%
Derrick White
#9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 31
36.6
18
47%
5
4
2
0
2
0
1
4
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
3-11
27%
Jrue Holiday
#4 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 35
35.3
25
83%
4
3
1
2
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
71%
5-8
63%
Al Horford
#42 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 39
31.6
9
56%
9
5
0
1
1
1
3
6
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
Luke Kornet
#40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30
21.6
4
67%
4
1
1
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
Payton Pritchard
#11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 27
27.2
11
46%
3
0
3
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-9
33%
Neemias Queta
#88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 26
22.6
2
33%
8
0
0
1
3
4
3
5
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Sam Hauser
#30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 27
21.1
6
75%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
Jordan Walsh
#27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 21
7.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Baylor Scheierman
#55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
Torrey Craig
#12 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 34
DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Norris
#44 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Tillman
#26 · C · 6'7" 245 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaylen Brown
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 28
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Posterior Impingement
Kristaps Porziņģis
#8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Illness; Non-Covid
JD Davison
#20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 22
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Peterson
#13 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
55%
41
18
8
4
14
17
9
32
12-13
92%
17-33
52%
19-50
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.