Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 14, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Clippers	60%	115	121	122.2	99	95.5
	18	Hawks	40%	111	98	98.0	100	103.7

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

+10

-13

ATL

+17

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.26 63.0%

ATL

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	36.3	25	78%	8	7	2	2	6	2	0	8	5-6	83%	4-6	67%	4-8	50%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	35.9	25	54%	6	2	5	0	3	3	2	4	2-4	50%	10-17	59%	1-4	25%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	30.1	18	90%	6	2	0	0	2	2	1	5	2-3	67%	8-9	89%	0-0	-
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 36	22.7	11	69%	7	2	1	1	1	1	3	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 31	22.4	0	0%	3	1	1	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%

Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 28	23.2	12	67%	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-3	67%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 28	22.5	14	58%	2	0	1	1	0	3	1	1	4-5	80%	5-6	83%	0-4	0%
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	21.2	12	86%	3	3	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Ben Simmons #25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 29	17.4	2	25%	2	4	2	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 25	2.2	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	2.2	2	100%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 37	1.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Soreness
Seth Lundy #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trentyn Flowers #9 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	63%	40	27	14	5	13	15	7	33	15-20	75%	35-59	59%	12-27	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

7 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	36.3	25	78%	8	7	2	2	6	2	0	8	5-6	83%	4-6	67%	4-8	50%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	35.9	25	54%	6	2	5	0	3	3	2	4	2-4	50%	10-17	59%	1-4	25%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	30.1	18	90%	6	2	0	0	2	2	1	5	2-3	67%	8-9	89%	0-0	-
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 36	22.7	11	69%	7	2	1	1	1	1	3	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 31	22.4	0	0%	3	1	1	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%

Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 28	23.2	12	67%	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-3	67%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 28	22.5	14	58%	2	0	1	1	0	3	1	1	4-5	80%	5-6	83%	0-4	0%
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	21.2	12	86%	3	3	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Ben Simmons #25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 29	17.4	2	25%	2	4	2	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 25	2.2	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	2.2	2	100%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 37	1.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Soreness
Seth Lundy #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trentyn Flowers #9 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	63%	40	27	14	5	13	15	7	33	15-20	75%	35-59	59%	12-27	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	36.5	15	68%	7	1	2	0	3	4	2	5	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	34.5	17	43%	4	7	0	0	7	0	3	1	3-4	75%	4-12	33%	2-6	33%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	31.6	18	69%	10	3	1	3	0	1	4	6	6-6	100%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	31.4	6	23%	6	5	3	0	3	3	2	4	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	0-4	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	11.4	5	63%	4	0	0	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%

Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	26.6	9	56%	3	4	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-5	20%
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	21.2	12	60%	4	2	2	1	0	2	0	4	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	17.4	6	75%	2	2	0	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	16.4	10	63%	4	0	0	0	0	3	1	3	0-1	0%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	13.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Medial Femoral Condyle; Fracture
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Family Reasons
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	50%	44	25	8	6	18	18	13	31	15-17	88%	28-55	51%	9-33	27%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.26 63.0%

ATL

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

70%

ATL

64%

Midrange

LAC

41%

ATL

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

18.0

44%

67%

ATL

13.5

27%

41%

Free Throws

LAC

75%

ATL

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	25	78%	12.5 / 16
K. Leonard	25	54%	12.5 / 23
I. Zubac	18	90%	9.0 / 10
D. Jones	14	58%	7.0 / 12
A. Coffey	12	67%	6.0 / 9
B. Bogdanović	12	86%	6.0 / 7
N. Batum	11	69%	5.5 / 8
B. Simmons	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Christie	2	100%	1.0 / 1
K. Dunn	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
O. Okongwu	18	69%	9.0 / 13
T. Young	17	43%	8.5 / 20
Z. Risacher	15	68%	7.5 / 11
C. LeVert	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Barlow	10	63%	5.0 / 8
T. Mann	9	56%	4.5 / 8
D. Daniels	6	23%	3.0 / 13
V. Krejčí	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Gueye	5	63%	2.5 / 4
G. Niang	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 114.3 17 113.7	LAC 122.2 +24.2 ATL 98.0
Pace	24 98.1 3 103.4	LAC 95.5 ATL 103.7 +8.2
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.1 30 13.3	LAC 15.1 ATL 13.9 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.4% 17 54.6%	LAC 61.6% +14.4% ATL 47.2%
TO %	22 14.0% 23 14.1%	LAC 12.9% −3.0% ATL 15.9%
ORB %	19 24.4% 10 26.3%	LAC 18.4% ATL 28.3% +9.9%
FTrt	9 25.1 8 25.2	LAC 23.3 +4.0 ATL 19.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 60.5% 5 68.3%	LAC 57.4% ATL 67.6% +10.2%
STL %	2 9.5% 4 9.4%	LAC 14.1% +6.1% ATL 8.0%
BLK %	16 9.3% 11 9.7%	LAC 9.1% ATL 10.2% +1.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 17 56.5%	LAC 63.0% +13.5% ATL 49.5%
Rim FG%	13 64.2% 20 62.9%	LAC 70.3% +6.7% ATL 63.6%
Mid FG%	10 45.3% 11 44.5%	LAC 40.9% +9.1% ATL 31.8%
3P %	7 37.3% 18 35.8%	LAC 44.4% +17.1% ATL 27.3%
FT %	7 79.7% 18 77.5%	LAC 75.0% ATL 88.2% +13.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.6% 6 34.1%	LAC 43.0% +5.5% ATL 37.5%
Mid Att. %	28 29.7% 10 24.8%	LAC 25.6% ATL 25.0% −0.6%
3P Att. %	25 38.7% 19 41.0%	LAC 31.4% ATL 37.5% +6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAC	ATL
Possessions	99	100
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	121	98
Rebounds	40	44
Assists	27	25
Steals	14	8
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	18 (0)
Fouls	15	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	31 (1)
Field Goals	47-86	37-88
At-the-Rim FG	26-37	21-33
Midrange FG	9-22	7-22
2-Point FG	35-59	28-55
3-Point FG	12-27	9-33
Free Throws	15-20	15-17
Fast Break Pts	25	18
2nd Chance Pts	4	8
Points in Paint	64	52
Pts off Turnovers	26	15
Bench Points	42	37
Biggest Lead	23	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg