Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 14, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Hornets	43%	111	145	146.5	99	93.6
	20	Spurs	57%	114	134	136.7	98	104.0

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+17

-18

SAS

+20

-13

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.48 74.0%

SAS

1.26 63.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 28	32.7	13	72%	1	1	1	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-7	43%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	29.1	27	96%	3	15	1	0	4	0	1	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	7-11	64%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	28.8	21	62%	7	8	0	1	1	1	1	6	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	2-7	29%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	28.6	14	88%	10	3	1	0	3	2	2	8	4-4	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	28.4	20	91%	1	3	4	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	6-9	67%

Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	27.4	26	100%	3	5	0	0	4	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	6-7	86%
Marcus Garrett #28 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	18.9	5	36%	1	3	0	1	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	1-2	50%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	18.6	5	63%	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jusuf Nurkić #11 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	12.8	14	88%	3	1	0	0	2	4	0	3	2-2	100%	6-6	100%	0-1	0%
Wendell Moore Jr. #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	8.6	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 23	6.0	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Damion Baugh #7 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Repair
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Herniation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	145	74%	34	42	7	2	18	17	8	26	17-19	89%	25-39	64%	26-46	57%

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25 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 28	32.7	13	72%	1	1	1	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-7	43%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	29.1	27	96%	3	15	1	0	4	0	1	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	7-11	64%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	28.8	21	62%	7	8	0	1	1	1	1	6	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	2-7	29%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	28.6	14	88%	10	3	1	0	3	2	2	8	4-4	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	28.4	20	91%	1	3	4	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	6-9	67%

Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	27.4	26	100%	3	5	0	0	4	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	6-7	86%
Marcus Garrett #28 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	18.9	5	36%	1	3	0	1	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	1-2	50%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	18.6	5	63%	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jusuf Nurkić #11 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	12.8	14	88%	3	1	0	0	2	4	0	3	2-2	100%	6-6	100%	0-1	0%
Wendell Moore Jr. #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	8.6	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 23	6.0	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Damion Baugh #7 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Repair
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Herniation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	145	74%	34	42	7	2	18	17	8	26	17-19	89%	25-39	64%	26-46	57%

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20 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	31.4	22	69%	3	3	1	1	0	3	1	2	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	3-7	43%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	28.9	26	72%	3	1	1	1	4	2	1	2	3-4	75%	7-10	70%	3-7	43%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	21.5	0	0%	2	4	3	1	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	21.4	10	56%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	17.5	3	50%	1	3	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%

Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	23.6	10	63%	4	3	2	0	2	1	1	3	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	22.4	12	50%	5	3	1	0	0	1	2	3	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	1-4	25%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	19.9	12	75%	5	2	0	0	1	1	2	3	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	17.1	13	54%	3	1	2	2	0	2	3	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-7	43%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	16.1	14	58%	4	2	2	0	0	1	4	0	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	6.7	2	100%	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	6.7	3	150%	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	6.7	7	117%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-2	100%
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-on-chronic Bone Bruise
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendon Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	63%	36	27	14	5	13	17	17	19	17-22	77%	27-49	55%	21-46	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.48 74.0%

SAS

1.26 63.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

71%

SAS

60%

Midrange

CHA

53%

SAS

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

39.0

57%

85%

SAS

31.5

46%

68%

Free Throws

CHA

89%

SAS

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Ball	27	96%	13.5 / 14
N. Smith	26	100%	13.0 / 13
M. Bridges	21	62%	10.5 / 17
J. Green	20	91%	10.0 / 11
M. Williams	14	88%	7.0 / 8
J. Nurkić	14	88%	7.0 / 8
D. Jeffries	13	72%	6.5 / 9
M. Garrett	5	36%	2.5 / 7
S. Curry	5	63%	2.5 / 4
W. Moore	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. Diabaté	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Castle	26	72%	13.0 / 18
D. Vassell	22	69%	11.0 / 16
J. Sochan	14	58%	7.0 / 12
S. Mamukelashvili	13	54%	6.5 / 12
K. Johnson	12	50%	6.0 / 12
J. Champagnie	12	75%	6.0 / 8
H. Barnes	10	56%	5.0 / 9
B. Wesley	10	63%	5.0 / 8
M. Branham	7	117%	3.5 / 3
C. Paul	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. McLaughlin	3	150%	1.5 / 1
H. Ingram	2	100%	1.0 / 1
B. Biyombo	0	-	0.0 / 0

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 106.7 19 113.5	CHA 146.5 +9.7 SAS 136.7
Pace	23 98.2 13 100.1	CHA 93.6 SAS 104.0 +10.4
Avg. Poss. Time	8 14.9 20 14.3	CHA 15.4 SAS 13.8 −1.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 18 54.4%	CHA 75.3% +13.7% SAS 61.6%
TO %	28 15.1% 11 13.2%	CHA 17.6% SAS 11.8% −5.8%
ORB %	8 26.5% 20 24.3%	CHA 29.6% SAS 39.5% +9.9%
FTrt	27 22.2 22 23.4	CHA 22.4 SAS 23.2 +0.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 63.5% 3 68.5%	CHA 82.4% +26.1% SAS 56.3%
STL %	24 7.5% 14 8.2%	CHA 7.1% SAS 14.3% +7.2%
BLK %	18 9.2% 5 10.5%	CHA 4.1% SAS 12.8% +8.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.5% 18 56.3%	CHA 74.0% +10.8% SAS 63.2%
Rim FG%	30 59.7% 14 63.9%	CHA 70.8% +10.8% SAS 60.0%
Mid FG%	29 38.5% 20 41.8%	CHA 53.3% +5.9% SAS 47.4%
3P %	28 33.9% 20 35.7%	CHA 56.5% +10.8% SAS 45.7%
FT %	14 78.3% 21 77.4%	CHA 89.5% +12.2% SAS 77.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 30.7% 8 33.7%	CHA 28.2% SAS 31.6% +3.3%
Mid Att. %	16 26.3% 4 22.2%	CHA 17.6% −2.4% SAS 20.0%
3P Att. %	11 43.0% 8 44.1%	CHA 54.1% +5.7% SAS 48.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	SAS
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.6
Points	145	134
Rebounds	34	36
Assists	42	27
Steals	7	14
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	18 (2)	13 (1)
Fouls	17	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (9)	17 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (3)	19 (0)
Field Goals	51-85	48-95
At-the-Rim FG	17-24	18-30
Midrange FG	8-15	9-19
2-Point FG	25-39	27-49
3-Point FG	26-46	21-46
Free Throws	17-19	17-22
Fast Break Pts	12	27
2nd Chance Pts	22	16
Points in Paint	46	46
Pts off Turnovers	23	30
Bench Points	50	73
Biggest Lead	31	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg