Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 14, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Lakers	18%	107	126	124.8	101	92.5
	5	Nuggets	82%	121	131	127.2	103	113.4

Scoring Opportunities

LAL

+21

-8

114

DEN

+15

-12

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.11 55.3%

DEN

1.24 61.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 27	39.3	37	64%	8	13	4	0	4	3	0	8	7-7	100%	9-16	56%	4-10	40%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	36.9	32	57%	2	1	0	0	0	5	1	1	1-2	50%	8-14	57%	5-13	38%
Jordan Goodwin #30 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 26	33.6	10	63%	6	2	1	1	0	2	3	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 26	24.4	9	56%	7	7	3	0	1	4	4	3	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Alex Len #27 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	12.0	2	50%	5	1	0	0	0	3	4	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Shake Milton #20 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	28.3	16	73%	5	3	1	0	2	1	1	4	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	1-2	50%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 36	23.7	7	32%	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Christian Koloko #10 · C · 6'11" 225 · 25	19.5	8	57%	7	2	0	1	1	5	2	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 20	15.7	5	42%	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 26	6.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Dorian Finney-Smith #17 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Injury Management
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Injury Management, Right Ankle Sprain
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery Recovery
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; -
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Strain
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar; Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	55%	47	32	10	2	8	25	19	28	13-16	81%	34-65	52%	15-40	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 27	39.3	37	64%	8	13	4	0	4	3	0	8	7-7	100%	9-16	56%	4-10	40%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	36.9	32	57%	2	1	0	0	0	5	1	1	1-2	50%	8-14	57%	5-13	38%
Jordan Goodwin #30 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 26	33.6	10	63%	6	2	1	1	0	2	3	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 26	24.4	9	56%	7	7	3	0	1	4	4	3	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Alex Len #27 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	12.0	2	50%	5	1	0	0	0	3	4	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Shake Milton #20 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	28.3	16	73%	5	3	1	0	2	1	1	4	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	1-2	50%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 36	23.7	7	32%	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Christian Koloko #10 · C · 6'11" 225 · 25	19.5	8	57%	7	2	0	1	1	5	2	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 20	15.7	5	42%	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 26	6.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Dorian Finney-Smith #17 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Injury Management
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Injury Management, Right Ankle Sprain
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery Recovery
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; -
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Strain
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar; Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	55%	47	32	10	2	8	25	19	28	13-16	81%	34-65	52%	15-40	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	39.4	26	72%	4	5	0	1	2	2	0	4	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	5-9	56%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	37.8	28	61%	7	5	3	1	4	5	1	6	12-17	71%	8-12	67%	0-4	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	34.5	22	100%	5	6	1	0	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	7-7	100%	2-3	67%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	33.3	13	54%	4	2	0	0	1	3	0	4	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	31.5	17	77%	7	4	0	1	0	1	1	6	9-10	90%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%

Russell Westbrook #4 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 36	27.8	17	53%	6	7	1	0	4	2	1	5	0-0	-	4-10	40%	3-6	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	17.0	4	40%	5	0	0	1	0	0	5	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	16.5	4	29%	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	1	2-4	50%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	62%	39	30	7	5	12	15	9	30	30-38	79%	31-54	57%	13-31	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	DEN

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.11 55.3%

DEN

1.24 61.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAL

51%

DEN

70%

Midrange

LAL

55%

DEN

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAL

22.5

38%

56%

DEN

19.5

42%

63%

Free Throws

LAL

81%

DEN

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Reaves	37	64%	18.5 / 29
D. Knecht	32	57%	16.0 / 28
S. Milton	16	73%	8.0 / 11
J. Goodwin	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Vanderbilt	9	56%	4.5 / 8
C. Koloko	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Morris	7	32%	3.5 / 11
B. James	5	42%	2.5 / 6
A. Len	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Reddish	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	28	61%	14.0 / 23
J. Murray	26	72%	13.0 / 18
C. Braun	22	100%	11.0 / 11
A. Gordon	17	77%	8.5 / 11
R. Westbrook	17	53%	8.5 / 16
M. Porter	13	54%	6.5 / 12
Z. Nnaji	4	40%	2.0 / 5
P. Watson	4	29%	2.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 114.9 4 118.9	LAL 124.8 DEN 127.2 +2.4
Pace	20 98.4 8 100.6	LAL 92.5 DEN 113.4 +20.9
Avg. Poss. Time	7 15.0 22 14.2	LAL 15.6 DEN 12.7 −2.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 55.7% 2 57.3%	LAL 53.8% DEN 59.4% +5.6%
TO %	14 13.3% 15 13.3%	LAL 7.4% −3.2% DEN 10.6%
ORB %	24 23.3% 7 26.7%	LAL 38.8% +14.5% DEN 24.3%
FTrt	1 27.1 5 25.9	LAL 15.2 DEN 44.7 +29.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 63.5% 4 68.3%	LAL 65.3% DEN 68.2% +2.9%
STL %	21 7.8% 19 7.9%	LAL 9.9% +3.1% DEN 6.8%
BLK %	24 8.7% 21 9.0%	LAL 3.7% DEN 7.7% +4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 57.6% 2 58.8%	LAL 55.3% DEN 61.8% +6.5%
Rim FG%	1 68.0% 7 66.2%	LAL 51.2% DEN 70.3% +19.1%
Mid FG%	18 42.1% 8 45.5%	LAL 54.5% +25.1% DEN 29.4%
3P %	14 36.6% 5 37.6%	LAL 37.5% DEN 41.9% +4.4%
FT %	13 78.5% 23 77.0%	LAL 81.3% +2.4% DEN 78.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 31.4% 1 38.3%	LAL 41.0% DEN 43.5% +2.6%
Mid Att. %	12 26.1% 13 26.1%	LAL 21.0% DEN 20.0% −1.0%
3P Att. %	13 42.5% 30 35.6%	LAL 38.1% +1.6% DEN 36.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	LAL	DEN
Possessions	101	103
Possession Minutes	26.2	21.8
Points	126	131
Rebounds	47	39
Assists	32	30
Steals	10	7
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls	25	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (2)	9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	30 (6)
Field Goals	49-105	44-85
At-the-Rim FG	22-43	26-37
Midrange FG	12-22	5-17
2-Point FG	34-65	31-54
3-Point FG	15-40	13-31
Free Throws	13-16	30-38
Fast Break Pts	15	27
2nd Chance Pts	20	11
Points in Paint	62	58
Pts off Turnovers	19	13
Bench Points	36	25
Biggest Lead	11	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg