Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 14, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Raptors	51%	116	126	110.5	114	111.8
	27	Jazz	49%	115	118	105.4	112	114.3

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+13

-15

112

UTA

-16

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.13 56.3%

UTA

1.15 57.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamison Battle #77 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	36.5	7	32%	6	0	1	2	0	3	0	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 25	25.3	17	57%	2	5	1	0	2	3	0	2	2-3	67%	6-10	60%	1-4	25%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	25.1	20	63%	5	5	1	0	2	2	1	4	6-6	100%	4-5	80%	2-8	25%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	24.3	20	53%	10	3	1	0	1	1	1	9	3-6	50%	7-14	50%	1-2	50%
Colin Castleton #11 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	23.6	13	108%	7	2	0	0	4	4	2	5	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-1	100%

Orlando Robinson #21 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	34.3	14	50%	10	5	0	2	2	4	3	7	6-8	75%	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	26.6	11	61%	2	5	3	2	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-4	75%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	23.9	18	69%	5	0	0	0	1	2	1	4	4-6	67%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	20.5	6	60%	4	3	2	0	1	4	1	3	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	DND – Rest
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Flexor
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial Proximal MCL Tear
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	56%	51	28	9	6	15	26	10	41	26-35	74%	32-59	54%	12-32	38%

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26 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamison Battle #77 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	36.5	7	32%	6	0	1	2	0	3	0	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 25	25.3	17	57%	2	5	1	0	2	3	0	2	2-3	67%	6-10	60%	1-4	25%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	25.1	20	63%	5	5	1	0	2	2	1	4	6-6	100%	4-5	80%	2-8	25%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	24.3	20	53%	10	3	1	0	1	1	1	9	3-6	50%	7-14	50%	1-2	50%
Colin Castleton #11 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	23.6	13	108%	7	2	0	0	4	4	2	5	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-1	100%

Orlando Robinson #21 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	34.3	14	50%	10	5	0	2	2	4	3	7	6-8	75%	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	26.6	11	61%	2	5	3	2	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-4	75%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	23.9	18	69%	5	0	0	0	1	2	1	4	4-6	67%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	20.5	6	60%	4	3	2	0	1	4	1	3	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	DND – Rest
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Flexor
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial Proximal MCL Tear
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	56%	51	28	9	6	15	26	10	41	26-35	74%	32-59	54%	12-32	38%

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27 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaiah Collier #13 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 20	36.1	16	62%	5	8	1	0	1	1	1	4	4-5	80%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	33.0	18	64%	11	3	2	1	2	3	3	8	5-6	83%	2-6	33%	3-5	60%
Cody Williams #5 · PF · 6'8" 190 · 20	26.2	6	60%	4	0	0	0	2	4	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26	20.2	8	29%	1	2	0	0	3	1	1	0	2-3	67%	3-10	30%	0-3	0%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 28	18.6	16	53%	5	0	0	0	2	1	0	5	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	4-8	50%

Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 24	24.1	14	58%	4	1	2	0	2	4	0	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-8	25%
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 33	22.8	19	79%	2	3	2	0	2	1	1	1	7-9	78%	3-6	50%	2-3	67%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 21	21.3	13	93%	1	0	2	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
KJ Martin #99 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	21.0	2	33%	1	3	1	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	16.7	6	50%	1	3	2	1	1	4	0	1	2-4	50%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Svi Mykhailiuk #19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Contusion
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fibula; Fracture
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	57%	35	23	12	2	16	25	6	29	24-31	77%	23-51	45%	16-38	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.13 56.3%

UTA

1.15 57.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

73%

UTA

61%

Midrange

TOR

39%

UTA

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

18.0

38%

56%

UTA

24.0

42%

63%

Free Throws

TOR

74%

UTA

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Quickley	20	63%	10.0 / 16
S. Barnes	20	53%	10.0 / 19
A. Lawson	18	69%	9.0 / 13
R. Barrett	17	57%	8.5 / 15
O. Robinson	14	50%	7.0 / 14
C. Castleton	13	108%	6.5 / 6
J. Shead	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Battle	7	32%	3.5 / 11
G. Temple	6	60%	3.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Clarkson	19	79%	9.5 / 12
K. Filipowski	18	64%	9.0 / 14
I. Collier	16	62%	8.0 / 13
L. Markkanen	16	53%	8.0 / 15
J. Juzang	14	58%	7.0 / 12
B. Sensabaugh	13	93%	6.5 / 7
C. Sexton	8	29%	4.0 / 14
C. Williams	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Springer	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Martin	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.5 24 110.3	TOR 110.5 +5.2 UTA 105.4
Pace	9 100.6 7 100.8	TOR 111.8 UTA 114.3 +2.5
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 13 14.7	TOR 12.9 UTA 12.6 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 52.2% 21 53.3%	TOR 54.9% +2.1% UTA 52.8%
TO %	26 14.5% 30 16.2%	TOR 12.4% −1.8% UTA 14.2%
ORB %	4 27.3% 6 26.9%	TOR 25.6% +12.8% UTA 12.8%
FTrt	25 23.2 7 25.2	TOR 38.5 +3.7 UTA 34.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 68.5% 18 63.3%	TOR 63.6% +4.6% UTA 59.0%
STL %	18 8.0% 30 6.6%	TOR 7.9% UTA 10.7% +2.8%
BLK %	27 8.4% 25 8.5%	TOR 11.8% +8.4% UTA 3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.5 and 2.5.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 53.8% 20 55.4%	TOR 56.3% UTA 57.3% +1.0%
Rim FG%	28 60.2% 15 63.8%	TOR 73.1% +12.2% UTA 60.9%
Mid FG%	21 41.5% 17 43.1%	TOR 39.4% +7.3% UTA 32.1%
3P %	23 34.8% 22 35.0%	TOR 37.5% UTA 42.1% +4.6%
FT %	29 74.8% 22 77.4%	TOR 74.3% UTA 77.4% +3.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.2% 27 28.8%	TOR 28.6% +2.7% UTA 25.8%
Mid Att. %	17 26.5% 15 26.2%	TOR 36.3% UTA 31.5% −4.8%
3P Att. %	29 37.3% 7 44.9%	TOR 35.2% UTA 42.7% +7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	UTA
Possessions	114	112
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	126	118
Rebounds	51	35
Assists	28	23
Steals	9	12
Blocks	6	2
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	16 (1)
Fouls	26	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (2)	29 (7)
Field Goals	44-91	39-89
At-the-Rim FG	19-26	14-23
Midrange FG	13-33	9-28
2-Point FG	32-59	23-51
3-Point FG	12-32	16-38
Free Throws	26-35	24-31
Fast Break Pts	27	22
2nd Chance Pts	16	11
Points in Paint	64	42
Pts off Turnovers	20	18
Bench Points	49	54
Biggest Lead	15	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg