Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 14, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Kings	43%	114	106	111.6	95	103.4
	16	Suns	57%	117	122	129.8	94	86.9

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+15

-19

PHX

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.16 58.2%

PHX

1.31 65.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 27	42.0	18	47%	8	5	0	0	4	2	2	6	2-2	100%	8-10	80%	0-8	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	37.2	14	54%	8	2	2	0	1	1	3	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-8	25%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	36.2	21	66%	3	2	1	0	2	3	0	3	5-6	83%	5-7	71%	2-6	33%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	33.8	23	82%	0	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	3-5	60%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	30.1	12	50%	11	12	3	1	2	2	1	10	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	0-2	0%

Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	21.6	7	117%	1	1	1	0	2	3	0	1	3-3	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	16.3	3	38%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	12.3	6	50%	5	2	0	0	3	3	5	0	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	6.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	1.3	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	58%	40	25	7	1	19	18	12	28	18-20	90%	32-49	65%	8-32	25%

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13 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 27	42.0	18	47%	8	5	0	0	4	2	2	6	2-2	100%	8-10	80%	0-8	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	37.2	14	54%	8	2	2	0	1	1	3	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-8	25%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	36.2	21	66%	3	2	1	0	2	3	0	3	5-6	83%	5-7	71%	2-6	33%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	33.8	23	82%	0	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	3-5	60%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	30.1	12	50%	11	12	3	1	2	2	1	10	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	0-2	0%

Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	21.6	7	117%	1	1	1	0	2	3	0	1	3-3	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	16.3	3	38%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	12.3	6	50%	5	2	0	0	3	3	5	0	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	6.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	1.3	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	58%	40	25	7	1	19	18	12	28	18-20	90%	32-49	65%	8-32	25%

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16 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Booker #1 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 28	37.2	22	61%	4	13	1	0	3	1	1	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	4-10	40%
Kevin Durant #35 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 36	36.4	22	65%	4	6	1	2	4	0	2	2	4-4	100%	3-9	33%	4-6	67%
Ryan Dunn #0 · SF · 6'7" 216 · 22	33.5	16	47%	5	3	4	0	1	3	2	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-9	22%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 32	26.4	15	75%	3	2	1	0	1	2	0	3	1-3	33%	1-2	50%	4-7	57%
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 35	15.7	2	33%	5	1	1	0	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Oso Ighodaro #4 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 23	32.3	11	79%	6	1	1	1	1	3	1	5	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 29	24.4	20	125%	2	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	6-6	100%
Royce O'Neale #00 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 32	20.6	9	113%	3	1	2	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Collin Gillespie #12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 26	11.5	5	63%	1	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
TyTy Washington Jr. #14 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 23	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bol Bol #11 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 25	0.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cody Martin #17 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vasilije Micić #18 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Damion Lee #10 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Bridges #15 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Grayson Allen #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Strain
Nick Richards #2 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	66%	34	33	12	3	11	15	7	27	16-19	84%	17-36	47%	24-43	56%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	PHX
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	PHX

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.16 58.2%

PHX

1.31 65.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

69%

PHX

29%

Midrange

SAC

64%

PHX

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

12.0

25%

38%

PHX

36.0

56%

84%

Free Throws

SAC

90%

PHX

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	23	82%	11.5 / 14
Z. LaVine	21	66%	10.5 / 16
M. Monk	18	47%	9.0 / 19
K. Murray	14	54%	7.0 / 13
D. Sabonis	12	50%	6.0 / 12
K. Ellis	7	117%	3.5 / 3
J. Valančiūnas	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. LaRavia	3	38%	1.5 / 4
I. Jones	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Fultz	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Booker	22	61%	11.0 / 18
K. Durant	22	65%	11.0 / 17
T. Jones	20	125%	10.0 / 8
R. Dunn	16	47%	8.0 / 17
B. Beal	15	75%	7.5 / 10
O. Ighodaro	11	79%	5.5 / 7
R. O'Neale	9	113%	4.5 / 4
C. Gillespie	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Plumlee	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 115.9 13 114.8	SAC 111.6 PHX 129.8 +18.2
Pace	19 98.9 21 98.2	SAC 103.4 +16.5 PHX 86.9
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 4 15.1	SAC 13.9 −2.6 PHX 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 6 56.1%	SAC 54.3% PHX 67.1% +12.8%
TO %	6 12.6% 16 13.4%	SAC 17.5% PHX 13.8% −3.7%
ORB %	16 25.4% 26 22.6%	SAC 30.8% +10.8% PHX 20.0%
FTrt	21 23.5 19 24.1	SAC 24.7 +0.6 PHX 24.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.5% 6 67.3%	SAC 62.5% PHX 80.5% +18.0%
STL %	23 7.6% 28 7.3%	SAC 7.4% PHX 12.8% +5.4%
BLK %	23 8.8% 17 9.2%	SAC 2.8% PHX 6.1% +3.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 5 57.8%	SAC 58.2% PHX 65.6% +7.4%
Rim FG%	2 67.6% 3 67.3%	SAC 68.8% +40.2% PHX 28.6%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 1 48.2%	SAC 63.6% +11.9% PHX 51.7%
3P %	19 35.7% 3 37.8%	SAC 25.0% PHX 55.8% +30.8%
FT %	4 80.6% 2 81.0%	SAC 90.0% +5.8% PHX 84.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 26.8% 30 21.8%	SAC 19.8% +10.9% PHX 8.9%
Mid Att. %	29 34.1% 30 34.2%	SAC 40.7% PHX 36.7% −4.0%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 9 44.0%	SAC 39.5% PHX 54.4% +14.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.02 and 3.02.

Game Totals	SAC	PHX
Possessions	95	94
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.9
Points	106	122
Rebounds	40	34
Assists	25	33
Steals	7	12
Blocks	1	3
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	11 (3)
Fouls	18	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	27 (0)
Field Goals	40-81	41-79
At-the-Rim FG	11-16	2-7
Midrange FG	21-33	15-29
2-Point FG	32-49	17-36
3-Point FG	8-32	24-43
Free Throws	18-20	16-19
Fast Break Pts	15	8
2nd Chance Pts	12	17
Points in Paint	44	28
Pts off Turnovers	16	38
Bench Points	18	45
Biggest Lead	3	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg