FinalWin Prob.pScore
1637%110
91
1063%115
125
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
92.99899.0
MEM logo MEM
128.99796.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.91
125
Q4 - 0:19.1GrizzliesGrizzlies turnover (shot clock violation)91
125
Q4 - 0:41.5GrizzliesGG Jackson defensive rebound91
125
Q4 - 0:43.8HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot91
125
Q4 - 0:56.5GrizzliesGG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 291
125
Q4 - 0:56.5GrizzliesGG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 291
124
Q4 - 0:56.5HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (GG Jackson draws the foul)91
123
Q4 - 1:01GrizzliesJohn Konchar defensive rebound91
123
Q4 - 1:03HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot91
123
Q4 - 1:18GrizzliesCam Spencer makes three point jump shot (Lamar Stevens assists)91
123
Q4 - 1:27GrizzliesJohn Konchar defensive rebound91
120
Q4 - 1:30HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot91
120
Q4 - 1:41Heat 60 second timeout91
120
Q4 - 1:44HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound91
120
Q4 - 1:46GrizzliesGG Jackson misses three point pullup jump shot91
120
Q4 - 1:52GrizzliesLamar Stevens defensive rebound91
120
Q4 - 1:55HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot91
120
Q4 - 2:10GrizzliesGG Jackson makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)91
120
Q4 - 2:21GrizzliesMarvin Bagley III defensive rebound91
117
Q4 - 2:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot91
117
Q4 - 2:38GrizzliesLamar Stevens makes regular free throw 1 of 191
117
Q4 - 2:38Grizzlies lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, John Konchar, GG Jackson, Cam Spencer, Lamar Stevens)91
116
Q4 - 2:38HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Lamar Stevens draws the foul)91
116
Q4 - 2:38GrizzliesLamar Stevens makes two point driving floating jump shot91
116
Q4 - 2:52HeatKel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)91
114
Q4 - 3:04GrizzliesJaylen Wells makes regular free throw 1 of 188
114
Q4 - 3:04HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Jaylen Wells draws the foul)88
113
Q4 - 3:04GrizzliesJaylen Wells makes two point driving layup (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)88
113
Q4 - 3:18HeatKel'el Ware makes two point running alley-oop layup (Kyle Anderson assists)88
111
Q4 - 3:26HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound86
111
Q4 - 3:26GrizzliesZach Edey misses two point putback layup86
111
Q4 - 3:26GrizzliesZach Edey offensive rebound86
111
Q4 - 3:29GrizzliesCam Spencer misses two point fadeaway jump shot86
111
Q4 - 3:32GrizzliesCam Spencer offensive rebound86
111
Q4 - 3:33GrizzliesJaylen Wells misses three point jump shot86
111
Q4 - 3:47HeatKel'el Ware makes two point driving dunk (Kyle Anderson assists)86
111
Q4 - 3:52GrizzliesZach Edey turnover (offensive foul)84
111
Q4 - 3:52GrizzliesZach Edey offensive foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)84
111
Q4 - 3:58Grizzlies lineup change (Zach Edey, Cam Spencer, Jaylen Wells, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lamar Stevens)84
111
Q4 - 3:58HeatPelle Larsson personal foul (Luke Kennard draws the foul)84
111
Q4 - 4:01GrizzliesZach Edey defensive rebound84
111
Q4 - 4:03HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point cutting finger roll layup84
111
Q4 - 4:13GrizzliesLuke Kennard makes two point stepback jump shot84
111
Q4 - 4:30GrizzliesLamar Stevens defensive rebound84
109
Q4 - 4:33HeatKel'el Ware misses regular free throw 2 of 284
109
Q4 - 4:33HeatKel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 284
109
Q4 - 4:33Grizzlies lineup change (Zach Edey, Luke Kennard, Jaylen Wells, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lamar Stevens)84
109
Q4 - 4:33GrizzliesZach Edey personal foul (Loose ball) (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)84
109
Q4 - 4:33HeatHeat defensive rebound84
109
Q4 - 4:34GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot84
109
Q4 - 4:45GrizzliesJaylen Wells defensive rebound84
109
Q4 - 4:48HeatKyle Anderson misses three point jump shot84
109
Q4 - 5:00GrizzliesZach Edey personal foul (Loose ball) (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)84
109
Q4 - 5:00HeatHeat defensive rebound84
109
Q4 - 5:00GrizzliesJaylen Wells misses two point driving floating jump shot84
109
Q4 - 5:13GrizzliesJaylen Wells defensive rebound84
109
Q4 - 5:16HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot84
109
Q4 - 5:36GrizzliesLuke Kennard makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)84
109
Q4 - 5:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 284
107
Q4 - 5:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 283
107
Q4 - 5:58Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)82
107
Q4 - 5:58Grizzlies 60 second timeout82
107
Q4 - 5:58GrizzliesJaylen Wells shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)82
107
Q4 - 6:21GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaylen Wells assists)82
107
Q4 - 6:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 282
105
Q4 - 6:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 281
105
Q4 - 6:35GrizzliesLuke Kennard shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)80
105
Q4 - 6:42HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound80
105
Q4 - 6:46GrizzliesLuke Kennard misses three point jump shot80
105
Q4 - 6:48Stoppage (Out of bounds)80
105
Q4 - 7:00HeatPelle Larsson makes two point driving floating jump shot80
105
Q4 - 7:13Jaren Jackson Jr. kicked ball violation78
105
Q4 - 7:22GrizzliesZach Edey makes two point turnaround hook shot78
105
Q4 - 7:45Grizzlies lineup change (Zach Edey, Luke Kennard, Jaren Jackson Jr., Jaylen Wells, Scotty Pippen Jr.)78
103
Q4 - 7:45Grizzlies 60 second timeout78
103
Q4 - 7:45HeatPelle Larsson makes two point putback layup78
103
Q4 - 7:46HeatPelle Larsson offensive rebound76
103
Q4 - 7:47HeatPelle Larsson misses two point driving floating jump shot76
103
Q4 - 8:03HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound76
103
Q4 - 8:06GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses two point driving hook shot76
103
Q4 - 8:24HeatKyle Anderson makes two point tip layup76
103
Q4 - 8:24HeatKyle Anderson offensive rebound74
103
Q4 - 8:27HeatKel'el Ware misses two point turnaround hook shot74
103
Q4 - 8:37HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound74
103
Q4 - 8:42GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot74
103
Q4 - 8:55HeatKyle Anderson makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)74
103
Q4 - 9:13GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot72
103
Q4 - 9:27HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 172
101
Q4 - 9:27GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)71
101
Q4 - 9:27HeatKel'el Ware makes two point turnaround hook shot (Pelle Larsson assists)71
101
Q4 - 9:37HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound69
101
Q4 - 9:40GrizzliesLuke Kennard misses three point jump shot69
101
Q4 - 10:00HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)69
101
Q4 - 10:00GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound69
101
Q4 - 10:00HeatJaren Jackson Jr. blocks Kel'el Ware's two point jump shot69
101
Q4 - 10:20Heat 60 second timeout69
101
Q4 - 10:20GrizzliesLuke Kennard makes two point driving finger roll layup (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)69
101
Q4 - 10:30HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating jump shot69
99
Q4 - 10:51GrizzliesCam Spencer makes three point running jump shot (Jaren Jackson Jr. assists)67
99
Q4 - 10:53GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound67
96
Q4 - 10:59HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot67
96
Q4 - 11:09HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound67
96
Q4 - 11:12GrizzliesLamar Stevens misses three point jump shot67
96
Q4 - 11:25Stoppage (Out of bounds)67
96
Q4 - 11:25GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound67
96
Q4 - 11:27HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot67
96
Q4 - 11:39Kel'el Ware defensive goaltending violation67
96
Q4 - 11:39GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point turnaround hook shot67
96
Q4 - 12:00Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Luke Kennard, Jaren Jackson Jr., Scotty Pippen Jr., Lamar Stevens)67
94
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Kyle Anderson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Terry Rozier)67
94
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.67
94
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound67
94
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot67
94
Q3 - 0:05.1GrizzliesLamar Stevens makes two point tip dunk67
94
Q3 - 0:05.1GrizzliesLamar Stevens offensive rebound67
92
Q3 - 0:06.9GrizzliesCam Spencer misses three point running jump shot67
92
Q3 - 0:10.4HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Brandon Clarke steals)67
92
Q3 - 0:27.3GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)67
92
Q3 - 0:29.8Stoppage (Out of bounds)67
89
Q3 - 0:49.1GrizzliesLamar Stevens defensive rebound67
89
Q3 - 0:51.6HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot67
89
Q3 - 1:15GrizzliesLamar Stevens makes two point pullup jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)67
89
Q3 - 1:34HeatKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 2 of 267
87
Q3 - 1:34Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Luke Kennard, Brandon Clarke, Lamar Stevens, Desmond Bane)66
87
Q3 - 1:34HeatKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 1 of 266
87
Q3 - 1:34GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. shooting foul (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)65
87
Q3 - 1:53GrizzliesBrandon Clarke makes two point driving floating jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)65
87
Q3 - 2:08Heat lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Terry Rozier, Bam Adebayo)65
85
Q3 - 2:08HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (out of bounds lost ball)65
85
Q3 - 2:22GrizzliesBrandon Clarke makes two point running layup (Desmond Bane assists)65
85
Q3 - 2:29HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Lamar Stevens steals)65
83
Q3 - 2:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound65
83
Q3 - 2:33HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot65
83
Q3 - 2:49Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Brandon Clarke, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lamar Stevens, Desmond Bane)65
83
Q3 - 2:49Heat 60 second timeout65
83
Q3 - 2:50GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes three point pullup jump shot65
83
Q3 - 2:59GrizzliesLamar Stevens defensive rebound65
80
Q3 - 3:02HeatLamar Stevens blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving layup65
80
Q3 - 3:11GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)65
80
Q3 - 3:32HeatTerry Rozier makes three point running jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)65
78
Q3 - 3:33HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound62
78
Q3 - 3:38GrizzliesDavion Mitchell blocks Scotty Pippen Jr.'s two point running layup62
78
Q3 - 3:41HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Scotty Pippen Jr. steals)62
78
Q3 - 3:47HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound62
78
Q3 - 3:49HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating bank jump shot62
78
Q3 - 3:56HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound62
78
Q3 - 3:59GrizzliesJaylen Wells misses three point pullup jump shot62
78
Q3 - 4:19GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound62
78
Q3 - 4:22HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot62
78
Q3 - 4:36GrizzliesBrandon Clarke makes two point putback layup62
78
Q3 - 4:37GrizzliesBrandon Clarke offensive rebound62
76
Q3 - 4:39GrizzliesLamar Stevens misses two point fadeaway jump shot62
76
Q3 - 4:59Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Brandon Clarke, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lamar Stevens, Desmond Bane)62
76
Q3 - 4:59Heat lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Terry Rozier, Bam Adebayo)62
76
Q3 - 4:59HeatAndrew Wiggins personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)62
76
Q3 - 4:59GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound62
76
Q3 - 5:01HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot62
76
Q3 - 5:05HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound62
76
Q3 - 5:08GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses two point driving floating bank jump shot62
76
Q3 - 5:16GrizzliesBrandon Clarke defensive rebound62
76
Q3 - 5:18HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point stepback jump shot62
76
Q3 - 5:34GrizzliesBrandon Clarke makes two point driving floating jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)62
76
Q3 - 5:42GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound62
74
Q3 - 5:45HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot62
74
Q3 - 5:54GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Kel'el Ware steals)62
74
Q3 - 6:02GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound62
74
Q3 - 6:05HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot62
74
Q3 - 6:16Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Jaylen Wells, Brandon Clarke, Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane)62
74
Q3 - 6:16GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. turnover (offensive foul)62
74
Q3 - 6:16GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. offensive foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)62
74
Q3 - 6:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot62
74
Q3 - 6:32GrizzliesLuke Kennard turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)60
74
Q3 - 6:43GrizzliesLuke Kennard defensive rebound60
74
Q3 - 6:46HeatTyler Herro misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot60
74
Q3 - 6:55Grizzlies 60 second timeout60
74
Q3 - 6:55Stoppage (Out of bounds)60
74
Q3 - 7:10GrizzliesJaylen Wells turnover (out of bounds lost ball)60
74
Q3 - 7:27HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 260
74
Q3 - 7:27HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 259
74
Q3 - 7:27GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)58
74
Q3 - 7:31HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound58
74
Q3 - 7:33GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses three point pullup jump shot58
74
Q3 - 7:45HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Desmond Bane draws the foul)58
74
Q3 - 7:54HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)58
74
Q3 - 7:58GrizzliesZach Edey turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)58
74
Q3 - 8:01GrizzliesZach Edey offensive rebound58
74
Q3 - 8:02GrizzliesTyler Herro blocks Jaylen Wells's two point driving floating jump shot58
74
Q3 - 8:15HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)58
74
Q3 - 8:28GrizzliesZach Edey makes regular free throw 2 of 255
74
Q3 - 8:28GrizzliesZach Edey makes regular free throw 1 of 255
73
Q3 - 8:28HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Zach Edey draws the foul)55
72
Q3 - 8:38HeatAndrew Wiggins personal foul (Desmond Bane draws the foul)55
72
Q3 - 8:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Tyler Herro assists)55
72
Q3 - 8:45HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound53
72
Q3 - 8:48GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses three point running jump shot53
72
Q3 - 8:53GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound53
72
Q3 - 8:55HeatZach Edey blocks Davion Mitchell's two point driving floating jump shot53
72
Q3 - 9:11GrizzliesJaylen Wells makes three point running jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)53
72
Q3 - 9:15GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound53
69
Q3 - 9:17HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot53
69
Q3 - 9:41GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point turnaround hook shot53
69
Q3 - 9:58HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point turnaround hook shot53
67
Q3 - 10:12GrizzliesLuke Kennard personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)51
67
Q3 - 10:12HeatHeat offensive rebound51
67
Q3 - 10:12HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point pullup jump shot51
67
Q3 - 10:26GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point driving hook shot51
67
Q3 - 10:42GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound51
65
Q3 - 10:43HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot51
65
Q3 - 11:01GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Zach Edey assists)51
65
Q3 - 11:15HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)51
63
Q3 - 11:24HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound48
63
Q3 - 11:27GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses two point pullup jump shot48
63
Q3 - 11:33Stoppage (Out of bounds)48
63
Q3 - 11:40GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound48
63
Q3 - 11:44HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot48
63
Q3 - 12:00Grizzlies lineup change (Zach Edey, Luke Kennard, Jaren Jackson Jr., Jaylen Wells, Desmond Bane)48
63
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.48
63
Q2 - 0:02.1GrizzliesZach Edey offensive rebound48
63
Q2 - 0:02.1GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. misses two point floating jump shot48
63
Q2 - 0:25.1Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)48
63
Q2 - 0:25.1HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)48
63
Q2 - 0:25.1HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)48
63
Q2 - 0:35.9GrizzliesLuke Kennard makes two point pullup jump shot (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)48
63
Q2 - 0:43.4GrizzliesLuke Kennard defensive rebound48
61
Q2 - 0:46.4HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot48
61
Q2 - 0:57.7GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)48
61
Q2 - 1:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)48
59
Q2 - 1:45GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes three point jump shot (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)46
59
Q2 - 1:46GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. offensive rebound46
56
Q2 - 1:48GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. misses two point layup46
56
Q2 - 2:02HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 146
56
Q2 - 2:02Grizzlies lineup change (Zach Edey, Luke Kennard, Jaren Jackson Jr., Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane)45
56
Q2 - 2:02GrizzliesBrandon Clarke shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)45
56
Q2 - 2:02HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)45
56
Q2 - 2:24GrizzliesLuke Kennard makes three point running jump shot (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)43
56
Q2 - 2:29GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound43
53
Q2 - 2:31HeatScotty Pippen Jr. blocks Duncan Robinson's three point jump shot43
53
Q2 - 2:55Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, Brandon Clarke, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lamar Stevens, Desmond Bane)43
53
Q2 - 2:55Heat 60 second timeout43
53
Q2 - 2:56GrizzliesBrandon Clarke makes two point jump shot (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)43
53
Q2 - 3:07GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound43
51
Q2 - 3:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot43
51
Q2 - 3:29HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound43
51
Q2 - 3:32GrizzliesJaylen Wells misses three point pullup jump shot43
51
Q2 - 3:47Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Brandon Clarke, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lamar Stevens, Desmond Bane)43
51
Q2 - 3:47HeatAndrew Wiggins personal foul (Desmond Bane draws the foul)43
51
Q2 - 3:58HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)43
51
Q2 - 4:09HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound40
51
Q2 - 4:12GrizzliesJaylen Wells misses three point stepback jump shot40
51
Q2 - 4:15GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. offensive rebound40
51
Q2 - 4:19GrizzliesBam Adebayo blocks Desmond Bane's two point running finger roll layup40
51
Q2 - 4:26GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound40
51
Q2 - 4:28HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot40
51
Q2 - 4:46GrizzliesDesmond Bane turnover (offensive foul)40
51
Q2 - 4:46GrizzliesDesmond Bane offensive foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)40
51
Q2 - 4:58HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (out of bounds step)40
51
Q2 - 5:02GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)40
51
Q2 - 5:06GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound40
51
Q2 - 5:10HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot40
51
Q2 - 5:25GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 240
51
Q2 - 5:25Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)40
50
Q2 - 5:25GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 240
50
Q2 - 5:25HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)40
49
Q2 - 5:31GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound40
49
Q2 - 5:34HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot40
49
Q2 - 5:40HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound40
49
Q2 - 5:42GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. misses three point jump shot40
49
Q2 - 5:59Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Jaylen Wells, Brandon Clarke, Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane)40
49
Q2 - 5:59Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Terry Rozier, Bam Adebayo)40
49
Q2 - 5:59HeatTerry Rozier turnover (traveling)40
49
Q2 - 6:13GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Wells assists)40
49
Q2 - 6:25GrizzliesZach Edey defensive rebound40
46
Q2 - 6:27HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 240
46
Q2 - 6:27Grizzlies lineup change (Zach Edey, Jaren Jackson Jr., Jaylen Wells, Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane)40
46
Q2 - 6:27Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Terry Rozier)40
46
Q2 - 6:27HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 240
46
Q2 - 6:27GrizzliesGG Jackson shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)39
46
Q2 - 6:32HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound39
46
Q2 - 6:34GrizzliesGG Jackson misses three point jump shot39
46
Q2 - 6:46Stoppage (Out of bounds)39
46
Q2 - 6:46GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound39
46
Q2 - 6:47HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot39
46
Q2 - 7:04Kyle Anderson defensive goaltending violation39
46
Q2 - 7:04GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point running finger roll layup (Luke Kennard assists)39
46
Q2 - 7:09GrizzliesLuke Kennard defensive rebound39
44
Q2 - 7:11HeatKyle Anderson misses two point pullup jump shot39
44
Q2 - 7:19Stoppage (Out of bounds)39
44
Q2 - 7:19HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound39
44
Q2 - 7:23HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot39
44
Q2 - 7:33HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound39
44
Q2 - 7:36HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot39
44
Q2 - 7:43GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. personal foul (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)39
44
Q2 - 7:57GrizzliesZach Edey makes two point dunk (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)39
44
Q2 - 8:04HeatKyle Anderson turnover (lost ball) (GG Jackson steals)39
42
Q2 - 8:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound39
42
Q2 - 8:28GrizzliesZach Edey misses two point turnaround hook shot39
42
Q2 - 8:44Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Zach Edey, Luke Kennard, Jaren Jackson Jr., Scotty Pippen Jr.)39
42
Q2 - 8:44Grizzlies 60 second timeout39
42
Q2 - 8:45HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot39
42
Q2 - 8:51HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound36
42
Q2 - 8:53GrizzliesZach Edey misses two point hook shot36
42
Q2 - 9:14HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running finger roll layup (Terry Rozier assists)36
42
Q2 - 9:19GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Anderson steals)34
42
Q2 - 9:37GrizzliesGG Jackson defensive rebound34
42
Q2 - 9:40HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot34
42
Q2 - 9:42HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound34
42
Q2 - 9:44HeatKyle Anderson misses three point jump shot34
42
Q2 - 10:00HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound34
42
Q2 - 10:03GrizzliesGG Jackson misses three point jump shot34
42
Q2 - 10:15HeatKel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)34
42
Q2 - 10:31GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point floating jump shot (Luke Kennard assists)31
42
Q2 - 10:45HeatKyle Anderson makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)31
40
Q2 - 11:08GrizzliesZach Edey makes two point cutting dunk (Luke Kennard assists)29
40
Q2 - 11:10GrizzliesLuke Kennard offensive rebound29
38
Q2 - 11:12GrizzliesZach Edey misses three point jump shot29
38
Q2 - 11:21GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound29
38
Q2 - 11:21HeatJaren Jackson Jr. blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving layup29
38
Q2 - 11:28HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound29
38
Q2 - 11:31GrizzliesCam Spencer misses three point jump shot29
38
Q2 - 11:44HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Anderson assists)29
38
Q2 - 12:00Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Zach Edey, Cam Spencer, Luke Kennard, Jaren Jackson Jr.)27
38
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Kyle Anderson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Terry Rozier)27
38
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.27
38
Q1 - 0:00.0Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)27
38
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)27
38
Q1 - 0:03.9Grizzlies lineup change (Zach Edey, Jaylen Wells, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lamar Stevens, Desmond Bane)25
38
Q1 - 0:03.9Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kyle Anderson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Terry Rozier, Bam Adebayo)25
38
Q1 - 0:03.9GrizzliesCam Spencer personal foul (Take) (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)25
38
Q1 - 0:07.3HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
38
Q1 - 0:09.7GrizzliesBrandon Clarke misses two point pullup jump shot25
38
Q1 - 0:28.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup25
38
Q1 - 0:28.0HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound23
38
Q1 - 0:29.8HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot23
38
Q1 - 0:44.8GrizzliesBrandon Clarke makes two point turnaround hook shot (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)23
38
Q1 - 0:54.9HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround bank hook shot (Kyle Anderson assists)23
36
Q1 - 1:04HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound21
36
Q1 - 1:07GrizzliesLamar Stevens misses three point jump shot21
36
Q1 - 1:27HeatKyle Anderson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)21
36
Q1 - 1:34HeatDavion Mitchell offensive rebound18
36
Q1 - 1:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot18
36
Q1 - 1:54GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. makes three point jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)18
36
Q1 - 2:02HeatKyle Anderson makes two point driving hook shot18
33
Q1 - 2:27GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes two point pullup jump shot16
33
Q1 - 2:38GrizzliesCam Spencer defensive rebound16
31
Q1 - 2:43HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot16
31
Q1 - 3:00Heat lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Terry Rozier, Bam Adebayo)16
31
Q1 - 3:00Heat 60 second timeout16
31
Q1 - 3:02GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. makes three point jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)16
31
Q1 - 3:19GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound16
28
Q1 - 3:22HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot16
28
Q1 - 3:46GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 116
28
Q1 - 3:46Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Brandon Clarke, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lamar Stevens, Desmond Bane)16
27
Q1 - 3:46Heat lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)16
27
Q1 - 3:46HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Scotty Pippen Jr. draws the foul)16
27
Q1 - 3:46GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. makes two point running finger roll layup16
27
Q1 - 3:50HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Scotty Pippen Jr. steals)16
25
Q1 - 4:01GrizzliesDesmond Bane turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)16
25
Q1 - 4:07HeatKyle Anderson turnover (bad pass) (Desmond Bane steals)16
25
Q1 - 4:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound16
25
Q1 - 4:15GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses two point driving finger roll layup16
25
Q1 - 4:22GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound16
25
Q1 - 4:25HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot16
25
Q1 - 4:50GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot16
25
Q1 - 4:59GrizzliesScotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound16
23
Q1 - 5:02HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot16
23
Q1 - 5:13GrizzliesZach Edey makes two point putback layup16
23
Q1 - 5:13GrizzliesZach Edey offensive rebound16
21
Q1 - 5:19GrizzliesBam Adebayo blocks Desmond Bane's two point driving floating jump shot16
21
Q1 - 5:26GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound16
21
Q1 - 5:28HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot16
21
Q1 - 5:44GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point driving hook shot (Desmond Bane assists)16
21
Q1 - 5:56HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)16
19
Q1 - 6:00HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound13
19
Q1 - 6:03GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot13
19
Q1 - 6:20HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup13
19
Q1 - 6:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
19
Q1 - 6:36GrizzliesJaylen Wells misses regular free throw 1 of 111
19
Q1 - 6:36Grizzlies lineup change (Zach Edey, Jaren Jackson Jr., Jaylen Wells, Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane)11
19
Q1 - 6:36Grizzlies 60 second timeout11
19
Q1 - 6:36HeatKyle Anderson shooting foul (Jaylen Wells draws the foul)11
19
Q1 - 6:36GrizzliesJaylen Wells makes two point driving finger roll layup (Desmond Bane assists)11
19
Q1 - 6:44GrizzliesZach Edey defensive rebound11
17
Q1 - 6:47HeatZach Edey blocks Andrew Wiggins's two point finger roll layup11
17
Q1 - 7:02Grizzlies delay of game violation11
17
Q1 - 7:02GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup11
17
Q1 - 7:17Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kyle Anderson, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)11
15
Q1 - 7:17HeatTyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 111
15
Q1 - 7:17Jaren Jackson Jr. technical foul (Flopping)10
15
Q1 - 7:17HeatKel'el Ware turnover (offensive foul)10
15
Q1 - 7:17HeatKel'el Ware offensive foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)10
15
Q1 - 7:23GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point turnaround hook shot10
15
Q1 - 7:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Andrew Wiggins assists)10
13
Q1 - 7:59Kel'el Ware defensive goaltending violation8
13
Q1 - 7:59GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes two point driving finger roll layup8
13
Q1 - 8:07HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)8
11
Q1 - 8:17HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound6
11
Q1 - 8:19GrizzliesLuke Kennard misses two point stepback jump shot6
11
Q1 - 8:32GrizzliesJaylen Wells defensive rebound6
11
Q1 - 8:36HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot6
11
Q1 - 8:49GrizzliesZach Edey personal foul (Loose ball) (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)6
11
Q1 - 8:49HeatHeat defensive rebound6
11
Q1 - 8:50GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot6
11
Q1 - 9:04HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)6
11
Q1 - 9:16GrizzliesZach Edey makes two point tip layup4
11
Q1 - 9:16GrizzliesZach Edey offensive rebound4
9
Q1 - 9:20GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses two point driving bank hook shot4
9
Q1 - 9:38HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)4
9
Q1 - 9:48Stoppage (Out of bounds)4
9
Q1 - 9:48HeatHeat defensive rebound4
9
Q1 - 9:51GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot4
9
Q1 - 9:53Stoppage (Out of bounds)4
9
Q1 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Desmond Bane steals)4
9
Q1 - 10:15GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point driving hook shot4
9
Q1 - 10:23HeatKel'el Ware makes two point tip dunk4
7
Q1 - 10:23HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound2
7
Q1 - 10:27HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot2
7
Q1 - 10:39GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 22
7
Q1 - 10:39GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 22
6
Q1 - 10:39HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)2
5
Q1 - 10:42GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound2
5
Q1 - 10:45HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot2
5
Q1 - 11:00GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes two point driving bank hook shot2
5
Q1 - 11:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)2
3
Q1 - 11:55GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes three point jump shot (Luke Kennard assists)0
3
Q1 - 12:00Kel'el Ware vs. Zach Edey (Grizzlies gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Grizzlies lineup change (Zach Edey, Luke Kennard, Jaren Jackson Jr., Jaylen Wells, Desmond Bane)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)0
0
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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.4%
MEM
1.26 63.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
16
88%
MEM
16
23
70%
Midrange
MIA
12
35
34%
MEM
23
38
61%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
37
24%
36%
MEM
12
18.0
31
39%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
12
15
80%
MEM
11
12
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Ware1963%9.5 / 15
B. Adebayo1856%9.0 / 16
K. Anderson1372%6.5 / 9
J. Jaquez1350%6.5 / 13
T. Herro833%4.0 / 12
A. Wiggins850%4.0 / 8
T. Rozier528%2.5 / 9
P. Larsson440%2.0 / 5
D. Mitchell338%1.5 / 4
D. Robinson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Jackson3178%15.5 / 20
D. Bane2269%11.0 / 16
Z. Edey1260%6.0 / 10
B. Clarke1286%6.0 / 7
L. Kennard1169%5.5 / 8
S. Pippen1155%5.5 / 10
J. Wells844%4.0 / 9
L. Stevens758%3.5 / 6
C. Spencer660%3.0 / 5
G. Jackson550%2.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+12
-14
96
MEM
87
+11
-10
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.4%
MEM
1.26 63.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
117.2
MIA 92.9 +36.0
MEM 128.9
Pace
97.2
103.7
MIA 99.0 +3.0
MEM 96.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
13.4
MIA 14.5 +0.5
MEM 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
55.4%
MIA 44.9%
MEM 62.0% +17.1%
TO %
12.8%
14.4%
MIA 12.9%
MEM 10.2% +2.7%
ORB %
22.3%
28.7%
MIA 20.0%
MEM 28.9% +8.9%
FTrt
23.2
24.9
MIA 17.0 +4.0
MEM 13.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
63.5%
MIA 68.6% +7.8%
MEM 60.8%
STL %
8.3%
8.5%
MIA 6.1%
MEM 7.2% +1.1%
BLK %
7.6%
10.8%
MIA 6.6%
MEM 11.8% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
57.4%
MIA 47.4%
MEM 63.1% +15.7%
Rim FG%
62.5%
65.3%
MIA 87.5% +17.9%
MEM 69.6%
Mid FG%
44.4%
45.4%
MIA 34.3%
MEM 60.5% +26.2%
3P %
36.7%
36.7%
MIA 24.3%
MEM 38.7% +14.4%
FT %
79.1%
78.6%
MIA 80.0%
MEM 91.7% +11.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
30.5%
MIA 18.2%
MEM 25.0% +6.8%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
29.0%
MIA 39.8% +1.5%
MEM 41.3%
3P Att. %
42.9%
40.6%
MIA 42.0% +8.3%
MEM 33.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points91125
Rebounds3751
Assists2431
Steals67
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)10 (1)
Fouls1616
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)40 (3)
Field Goals35-8851-92
At-the-Rim FG14-1616-23
Midrange FG12-3523-38
2-Point FG26-5139-61
3-Point FG9-3712-31
Free Throws12-1511-12
Fast Break Pts1322
2nd Chance Pts1313
Points in Paint5072
Pts off Turnovers615
Bench Points3841
Biggest Lead034

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 21
35.7
19
63%
11
1
1
0
1
5
2
9
1-3
33%
6-8
75%
2-6
33%
#13 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 28
30.0
18
56%
6
0
1
2
3
1
2
4
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
2-4
50%
#14 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 25
22.5
8
33%
2
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-8
25%
1-4
25%
#22 · SF · 6'6" 197 · 30
21.7
8
50%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
1-5
20%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 31
13.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
#20 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31
29.8
13
72%
6
5
1
0
2
1
1
5
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 24
26.8
13
50%
5
3
0
0
2
1
3
2
5-6
83%
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31
26.6
5
28%
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-6
17%
#45 · PG · 6'0" 202 · 27
19.6
3
38%
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
#9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
14.1
4
40%
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28
DNP – Coach's Decision
#42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37
DNP – Coach's Decision
#4 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#16 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 24
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand; Broken
#12 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles; Surgery
#18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back; Strain
#8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
47%
37
24
6
4
14
16
10
27
12-15
80%
26-51
51%
9-37
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.