Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 15, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Pelicans	45%	115	115	115.0	100	94.6
	23	Spurs	55%	117	119	119.0	100	106.1

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+17

-15

102

SAS

+10

-10

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.12 55.8%

SAS

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	37.0	20	59%	6	3	0	1	2	4	1	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	4-11	36%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33	33.4	26	59%	7	9	1	0	4	1	1	6	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	5-12	42%
Bruce Brown #00 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 29	32.5	19	68%	6	6	0	0	0	3	2	4	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Kelly Olynyk #13 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 34	30.6	14	58%	6	7	1	0	2	5	2	4	0-0	-	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Karlo Matković #17 · C · 6'10" 231 · 24	27.4	12	60%	11	0	0	0	4	2	2	9	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-1	0%

Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	27.6	7	44%	0	5	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	18.1	0	0%	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	15.5	6	75%	8	2	0	0	0	0	2	6	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Mo Bamba #4 · C · 7'0" 231 · 27	12.3	8	100%	6	0	0	1	0	3	1	5	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	5.6	3	150%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	INACTIVE
Lester Quinones #22 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Rotator Cuff
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	56%	52	34	2	3	15	20	12	40	11-11	100%	34-57	60%	12-35	34%

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27 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	37.0	20	59%	6	3	0	1	2	4	1	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	4-11	36%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33	33.4	26	59%	7	9	1	0	4	1	1	6	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	5-12	42%
Bruce Brown #00 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 29	32.5	19	68%	6	6	0	0	0	3	2	4	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Kelly Olynyk #13 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 34	30.6	14	58%	6	7	1	0	2	5	2	4	0-0	-	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Karlo Matković #17 · C · 6'10" 231 · 24	27.4	12	60%	11	0	0	0	4	2	2	9	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-1	0%

Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	27.6	7	44%	0	5	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	18.1	0	0%	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	15.5	6	75%	8	2	0	0	0	0	2	6	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Mo Bamba #4 · C · 7'0" 231 · 27	12.3	8	100%	6	0	0	1	0	3	1	5	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	5.6	3	150%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	INACTIVE
Lester Quinones #22 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Rotator Cuff
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	56%	52	34	2	3	15	20	12	40	11-11	100%	34-57	60%	12-35	34%

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23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	35.9	17	45%	1	7	1	0	3	4	0	1	7-8	88%	5-10	50%	0-5	0%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	35.6	22	55%	5	1	3	0	0	1	0	5	6-7	86%	2-8	25%	4-9	44%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	26.6	19	86%	4	0	1	0	0	0	2	2	4-4	100%	3-3	100%	3-6	50%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	22.1	4	40%	3	6	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	12.3	2	50%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	30.6	14	78%	5	4	1	1	3	2	1	4	1-3	33%	5-7	71%	1-1	100%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	29.9	19	73%	5	2	3	0	1	0	2	3	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	3-4	75%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	24.7	12	67%	4	3	0	1	1	4	1	3	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	11.9	10	71%	7	1	0	0	0	2	2	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	10.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-on-chronic Bone Bruise
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendon Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	60%	37	26	10	2	10	15	8	29	25-33	76%	23-45	51%	16-39	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.12 55.8%

SAS

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

73%

SAS

56%

Midrange

NOP

44%

SAS

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

18.0

34%

51%

SAS

24.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

NOP

100%

SAS

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	26	59%	13.0 / 22
T. Murphy	20	59%	10.0 / 17
B. Brown	19	68%	9.5 / 14
K. Olynyk	14	58%	7.0 / 12
K. Matković	12	60%	6.0 / 10
M. Bamba	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Alvarado	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Robinson-Earl	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Reeves	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Hawkins	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Vassell	22	55%	11.0 / 20
H. Barnes	19	86%	9.5 / 11
K. Johnson	19	73%	9.5 / 13
S. Castle	17	45%	8.5 / 19
J. Sochan	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Champagnie	12	67%	6.0 / 9
S. Mamukelashvili	10	71%	5.0 / 7
C. Paul	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. Biyombo	2	50%	1.0 / 2
B. Wesley	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 109.6 19 113.5	NOP 115.0 SAS 119.0 +4.0
Pace	15 99.8 13 100.1	NOP 94.6 SAS 106.1 +11.5
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.4 20 14.3	NOP 15.2 SAS 13.6 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 51.9% 18 54.4%	NOP 56.5% +0.5% SAS 56.0%
TO %	20 13.9% 11 13.2%	NOP 15.7% SAS 9.2% −6.5%
ORB %	9 26.3% 20 24.3%	NOP 29.3% +12.6% SAS 16.7%
FTrt	15 24.4 22 23.4	NOP 12.0 SAS 39.3 +27.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 63.6% 3 68.5%	NOP 73.9% +7.2% SAS 66.7%
STL %	8 8.5% 14 8.2%	NOP 2.0% SAS 10.0% +8.0%
BLK %	7 10.4% 5 10.5%	NOP 6.7% +3.2% SAS 3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 53.8% 18 56.3%	NOP 55.8% SAS 59.5% +3.7%
Rim FG%	26 61.0% 14 63.9%	NOP 73.3% +17.0% SAS 56.3%
Mid FG%	23 40.7% 20 41.8%	NOP 44.4% +5.9% SAS 38.5%
3P %	24 34.7% 20 35.7%	NOP 34.3% SAS 41.0% +6.7%
FT %	27 75.4% 21 77.4%	NOP 100.0% +24.2% SAS 75.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.6% 8 33.7%	NOP 32.6% SAS 38.1% +5.5%
Mid Att. %	22 27.9% 4 22.2%	NOP 29.3% SAS 15.5% −13.9%
3P Att. %	26 38.6% 8 44.1%	NOP 38.0% SAS 46.4% +8.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NOP	SAS
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.6
Points	115	119
Rebounds	52	37
Assists	34	26
Steals	2	10
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	15 (3)	10 (0)
Fouls	20	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (1)	29 (0)
Field Goals	46-92	39-84
At-the-Rim FG	22-30	18-32
Midrange FG	12-27	5-13
2-Point FG	34-57	23-45
3-Point FG	12-35	16-39
Free Throws	11-11	25-33
Fast Break Pts	22	19
2nd Chance Pts	14	18
Points in Paint	62	40
Pts off Turnovers	10	24
Bench Points	24	55
Biggest Lead	8	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg