Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 16, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	76ers	40%	109	130	125.0	104	101.8
	25	Mavericks	60%	113	125	120.2	104	106.3

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

+11

-11

104

DAL

+13

-15

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.25 62.5%

DAL

1.23 61.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 25	32.2	28	64%	2	6	2	0	3	4	0	2	6-9	67%	8-12	67%	2-7	29%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 29	29.1	14	64%	6	1	2	0	2	4	1	5	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	2-3	67%
Jared Butler #12 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 25	28.0	8	44%	1	7	1	0	0	2	0	1	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Ricky Council IV #14 · SF · 6'6" 207 · 24	27.6	13	65%	10	0	1	1	2	1	1	9	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Justin Edwards #19 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 21	21.3	10	50%	4	0	2	1	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-4	0%

Oshae Brissett #22 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 27	25.0	13	72%	5	1	2	0	2	1	3	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Jalen Hood-Schifino #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	23.5	19	79%	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	5-9	56%
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 28	20.0	14	54%	3	3	1	0	1	1	1	2	2-3	67%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Alex Reese #65 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 26	17.4	6	150%	2	1	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Chuma Okeke #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 27	15.9	5	63%	4	1	1	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Sprain / Finger Sprain
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Lonnie Walker IV #16 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Concussion
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Sprain
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Soreness
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgery
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgerg
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	63%	39	21	13	3	11	21	9	30	20-24	83%	34-56	61%	14-36	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 25	32.2	28	64%	2	6	2	0	3	4	0	2	6-9	67%	8-12	67%	2-7	29%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 29	29.1	14	64%	6	1	2	0	2	4	1	5	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	2-3	67%
Jared Butler #12 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 25	28.0	8	44%	1	7	1	0	0	2	0	1	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Ricky Council IV #14 · SF · 6'6" 207 · 24	27.6	13	65%	10	0	1	1	2	1	1	9	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Justin Edwards #19 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 21	21.3	10	50%	4	0	2	1	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-4	0%

Oshae Brissett #22 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 27	25.0	13	72%	5	1	2	0	2	1	3	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Jalen Hood-Schifino #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	23.5	19	79%	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	5-9	56%
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 28	20.0	14	54%	3	3	1	0	1	1	1	2	2-3	67%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Alex Reese #65 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 26	17.4	6	150%	2	1	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Chuma Okeke #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 27	15.9	5	63%	4	1	1	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Sprain / Finger Sprain
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Lonnie Walker IV #16 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Concussion
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Sprain
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Soreness
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgery
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgerg
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	63%	39	21	13	3	11	21	9	30	20-24	83%	34-56	61%	14-36	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

25 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 27	35.9	21	46%	8	6	1	0	1	3	4	4	4-6	67%	7-13	54%	1-7	14%
Klay Thompson #31 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 35	34.9	21	70%	3	2	1	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	6-8	75%	3-7	43%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	32.1	11	55%	2	2	1	1	3	2	2	0	5-5	100%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	32.0	29	69%	12	2	1	0	4	1	3	9	7-9	78%	11-14	79%	0-3	0%
Kessler Edwards #20 · C · 6'8" 203 · 25	26.6	5	83%	7	1	0	1	1	4	0	7	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 32	35.6	18	53%	4	7	0	0	1	2	1	3	5-6	83%	5-9	56%	1-6	17%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	30.1	18	90%	8	3	0	1	3	4	0	8	2-4	50%	2-2	100%	4-6	67%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	12.9	2	100%	1	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Stress Fracture
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgery
Kai Jones #23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain/ACL tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	61%	45	26	4	3	15	19	10	35	23-30	77%	36-53	68%	10-34	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.25 62.5%

DAL

1.23 61.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

68%

DAL

67%

Midrange

PHI

44%

DAL

70%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

21.0

39%

58%

DAL

15.0

29%

44%

Free Throws

PHI

83%

DAL

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Q. Grimes	28	64%	14.0 / 22
J. Hood-Schifino	19	79%	9.5 / 12
G. Yabusele	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Dowtin	14	54%	7.0 / 13
R. Council	13	65%	6.5 / 10
O. Brissett	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. Edwards	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Butler	8	44%	4.0 / 9
A. Reese	6	150%	3.0 / 2
C. Okeke	5	63%	2.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Washington	29	69%	14.5 / 21
N. Marshall	21	46%	10.5 / 23
K. Thompson	21	70%	10.5 / 15
S. Dinwiddie	18	53%	9.0 / 17
M. Christie	18	90%	9.0 / 10
B. Williams	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Edwards	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Powell	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 110.9 18 113.6	PHI 125.0 +4.8 DAL 120.2
Pace	22 98.2 11 100.3	PHI 101.8 DAL 106.3 +4.6
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.8 16 14.4	PHI 14.1 DAL 13.5 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 52.7% 14 54.9%	PHI 59.8% +1.2% DAL 58.6%
TO %	9 13.0% 12 13.2%	PHI 9.7% −3.3% DAL 13.0%
ORB %	22 23.4% 23 23.4%	PHI 20.5% DAL 25.0% +4.5%
FTrt	6 25.7 4 26.3	PHI 26.1 DAL 34.5 +8.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 58.4% 27 60.1%	PHI 43.8% DAL 56.5% +12.7%
STL %	5 9.3% 22 7.7%	PHI 12.5% +8.7% DAL 3.8%
BLK %	19 9.1% 10 9.7%	PHI 5.7% +0.3% DAL 5.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 54.8% 14 56.9%	PHI 62.5% +1.2% DAL 61.3%
Rim FG%	23 61.8% 8 66.0%	PHI 68.4% +1.7% DAL 66.7%
Mid FG%	19 42.0% 15 43.7%	PHI 44.4% DAL 70.0% +25.6%
3P %	27 34.1% 15 36.4%	PHI 38.9% +9.5% DAL 29.4%
FT %	15 78.0% 24 77.0%	PHI 83.3% +6.6% DAL 76.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 34.0% 16 31.4%	PHI 41.3% +3.4% DAL 37.9%
Mid Att. %	8 23.5% 27 29.6%	PHI 19.6% −3.4% DAL 23.0%
3P Att. %	14 42.5% 24 38.9%	PHI 39.1% +0.0% DAL 39.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	PHI	DAL
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	130	125
Rebounds	39	45
Assists	21	26
Steals	13	4
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	21	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	35 (1)
Field Goals	48-92	46-87
At-the-Rim FG	26-38	22-33
Midrange FG	8-18	14-20
2-Point FG	34-56	36-53
3-Point FG	14-36	10-34
Free Throws	20-24	23-30
Fast Break Pts	16	28
2nd Chance Pts	16	17
Points in Paint	58	62
Pts off Turnovers	16	15
Bench Points	57	38
Biggest Lead	14	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg