Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 16, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Suns	40%	110	96	101.1	95	99.8
	12	Lakers	60%	114	107	113.8	94	89.7

Scoring Opportunities

PHX

+18

-14

LAL

+11

-8

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX

0.97 48.5%

LAL

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Booker #1 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 28	39.7	19	48%	6	11	1	0	3	5	3	3	7-7	100%	6-14	43%	0-3	0%
Kevin Durant #35 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 36	36.8	21	50%	9	2	0	0	5	3	0	9	7-10	70%	4-10	40%	2-7	29%
Ryan Dunn #0 · SF · 6'7" 216 · 22	23.2	13	50%	3	1	3	2	0	4	0	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	2-8	25%
Nick Richards #2 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	19.3	11	92%	6	0	0	1	1	1	4	2	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 32	15.2	4	33%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%

Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 29	23.5	8	57%	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Collin Gillespie #12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 26	23.5	3	21%	7	3	0	0	0	5	3	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-6	17%
Oso Ighodaro #4 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 23	23.1	4	67%	4	2	0	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Royce O'Neale #00 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 32	21.7	10	45%	5	1	0	0	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-8	25%
Cody Martin #17 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 29	8.4	3	50%	6	0	0	1	1	1	2	4	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 35	5.6	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bol Bol #11 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vasilije Micić #18 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Damion Lee #10 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #14 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Bridges #15 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Grayson Allen #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	49%	51	25	4	4	14	27	14	37	17-21	81%	26-48	54%	9-41	22%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

16 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Booker #1 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 28	39.7	19	48%	6	11	1	0	3	5	3	3	7-7	100%	6-14	43%	0-3	0%
Kevin Durant #35 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 36	36.8	21	50%	9	2	0	0	5	3	0	9	7-10	70%	4-10	40%	2-7	29%
Ryan Dunn #0 · SF · 6'7" 216 · 22	23.2	13	50%	3	1	3	2	0	4	0	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	2-8	25%
Nick Richards #2 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	19.3	11	92%	6	0	0	1	1	1	4	2	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 32	15.2	4	33%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%

Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 29	23.5	8	57%	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Collin Gillespie #12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 26	23.5	3	21%	7	3	0	0	0	5	3	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-6	17%
Oso Ighodaro #4 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 23	23.1	4	67%	4	2	0	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Royce O'Neale #00 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 32	21.7	10	45%	5	1	0	0	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-8	25%
Cody Martin #17 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 29	8.4	3	50%	6	0	0	1	1	1	2	4	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 35	5.6	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bol Bol #11 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vasilije Micić #18 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Damion Lee #10 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #14 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Bridges #15 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Grayson Allen #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	49%	51	25	4	4	14	27	14	37	17-21	81%	26-48	54%	9-41	22%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

12 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 26	39.7	33	63%	11	8	2	0	4	4	1	10	13-14	93%	4-9	44%	4-11	36%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 27	39.4	28	61%	4	6	2	1	2	1	0	4	4-5	80%	6-11	55%	4-10	40%
Dorian Finney-Smith #17 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 32	35.9	10	56%	6	3	1	1	0	1	1	5	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 25	29.3	19	79%	6	3	1	1	0	4	2	4	3-7	43%	8-10	80%	0-0	-
Jordan Goodwin #30 · SF · 6'3" 215 · 26	28.1	2	20%	3	1	0	2	0	4	2	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%

Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	27.4	9	64%	1	1	1	0	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	15.6	3	30%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Christian Koloko #10 · C · 6'11" 225 · 25	14.8	3	25%	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 26	9.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Shake Milton #20 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Len #27 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Strain
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; -
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery Recovery
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar; Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	40	22	7	5	8	20	7	33	23-32	72%	21-42	50%	14-39	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	LAL

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

PHX

0.97 48.5%

LAL

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHX

70%

LAL

57%

Midrange

PHX

43%

LAL

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHX

13.5

22%

33%

LAL

21.0

36%

54%

Free Throws

PHX

81%

LAL

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Durant	21	50%	10.5 / 21
D. Booker	19	48%	9.5 / 20
R. Dunn	13	50%	6.5 / 13
N. Richards	11	92%	5.5 / 6
R. O'Neale	10	45%	5.0 / 11
T. Jones	8	57%	4.0 / 7
B. Beal	4	33%	2.0 / 6
O. Ighodaro	4	67%	2.0 / 3
C. Gillespie	3	21%	1.5 / 7
C. Martin	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	33	63%	16.5 / 26
A. Reaves	28	61%	14.0 / 23
J. Hayes	19	79%	9.5 / 12
D. Finney-Smith	10	56%	5.0 / 9
G. Vincent	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Knecht	3	30%	1.5 / 5
C. Koloko	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. Goodwin	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Vanderbilt	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 114.8 11 114.9	PHX 101.1 LAL 113.8 +12.8
Pace	21 98.2 20 98.4	PHX 99.8 +10.0 LAL 89.7
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.1 7 15.0	PHX 14.4 −1.6 LAL 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 56.1% 8 55.7%	PHX 44.4% LAL 51.9% +7.5%
TO %	16 13.4% 14 13.3%	PHX 12.5% LAL 9.5% −3.0%
ORB %	26 22.6% 24 23.3%	PHX 29.8% +13.9% LAL 15.9%
FTrt	19 24.1 1 27.1	PHX 23.6 LAL 39.5 +15.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.3% 14 63.5%	PHX 71.4% +8.5% LAL 62.9%
STL %	28 7.3% 21 7.8%	PHX 4.2% LAL 7.4% +3.2%
BLK %	17 9.2% 24 8.7%	PHX 9.5% LAL 10.4% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 57.8% 8 57.6%	PHX 48.5% LAL 54.6% +6.1%
Rim FG%	3 67.3% 1 68.0%	PHX 70.0% +12.9% LAL 57.1%
Mid FG%	1 48.2% 18 42.1%	PHX 42.9% +7.2% LAL 35.7%
3P %	3 37.8% 14 36.6%	PHX 22.0% LAL 35.9% +13.9%
FT %	2 81.0% 13 78.5%	PHX 81.0% +9.1% LAL 71.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 21.8% 18 31.4%	PHX 22.5% LAL 34.6% +12.1%
Mid Att. %	30 34.2% 12 26.1%	PHX 31.5% LAL 17.3% −14.2%
3P Att. %	9 44.0% 13 42.5%	PHX 46.1% LAL 48.1% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.02 and 3.02.

Game Totals	PHX	LAL
Possessions	95	94
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	96	107
Rebounds	51	40
Assists	25	22
Steals	4	7
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	8 (2)
Fouls	27	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (2)	33 (4)
Field Goals	35-89	35-81
At-the-Rim FG	14-20	16-28
Midrange FG	12-28	5-14
2-Point FG	26-48	21-42
3-Point FG	9-41	14-39
Free Throws	17-21	23-32
Fast Break Pts	15	4
2nd Chance Pts	21	10
Points in Paint	46	38
Pts off Turnovers	14	19
Bench Points	28	15
Biggest Lead	1	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg