Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 16, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Magic	25%	104	108	106.9	101	100.4
	2	Cavaliers	75%	114	103	103.0	100	102.1

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+17

-15

103

CLE

+20

-13

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.04 51.9%

CLE

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	38.1	24	44%	11	7	1	1	2	1	2	9	9-11	82%	3-14	21%	3-8	38%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	35.8	22	50%	8	2	1	0	7	3	3	5	5-6	83%	7-13	54%	1-6	17%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	35.1	16	57%	14	1	0	0	1	3	6	8	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	2-4	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	30.3	15	75%	2	3	1	0	1	5	0	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	24.5	3	38%	3	4	3	0	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	22.3	17	85%	3	2	2	0	2	2	0	3	4-6	67%	2-4	50%	3-3	100%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	20.1	2	100%	3	1	2	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	8.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	7.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 27	6.7	2	50%	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	6.2	3	75%	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	6.0	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	INACTIVE
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Trochlea cartilage tear
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	52%	47	21	11	3	15	20	13	34	27-34	79%	21-50	42%	13-31	42%

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14 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	38.1	24	44%	11	7	1	1	2	1	2	9	9-11	82%	3-14	21%	3-8	38%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	35.8	22	50%	8	2	1	0	7	3	3	5	5-6	83%	7-13	54%	1-6	17%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	35.1	16	57%	14	1	0	0	1	3	6	8	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	2-4	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	30.3	15	75%	2	3	1	0	1	5	0	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	24.5	3	38%	3	4	3	0	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	22.3	17	85%	3	2	2	0	2	2	0	3	4-6	67%	2-4	50%	3-3	100%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	20.1	2	100%	3	1	2	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	8.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	7.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 27	6.7	2	50%	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	6.2	3	75%	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	6.0	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	INACTIVE
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Trochlea cartilage tear
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	52%	47	21	11	3	15	20	13	34	27-34	79%	21-50	42%	13-31	42%

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2 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	34.2	23	40%	6	5	1	0	3	3	3	3	2-2	100%	6-14	43%	3-14	21%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 25	33.1	19	56%	6	4	2	0	5	2	1	5	1-2	50%	6-11	55%	2-5	40%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 27	32.3	20	71%	12	2	0	1	0	4	3	9	4-6	67%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
De'Andre Hunter #12 · PF · 6'7" 221 · 27	29.2	9	35%	5	1	1	0	1	4	3	2	4-4	100%	1-6	17%	1-5	20%
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	27.2	10	56%	6	5	0	0	0	2	1	5	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%

Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	24.7	12	55%	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0	1-4	25%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 28	21.9	3	75%	6	0	3	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	18.8	5	31%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-7	14%
Tristan Thompson #13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 34	10.7	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	7.9	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Javonte Green #8 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaylon Tyson #24 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #30 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	48%	48	21	7	1	13	22	16	32	13-20	65%	30-56	54%	10-40	25%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	CLE

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.04 51.9%

CLE

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

42%

CLE

73%

Midrange

ORL

42%

CLE

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

19.5

42%

63%

CLE

15.0

25%

38%

Free Throws

ORL

79%

CLE

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	24	44%	12.0 / 27
F. Wagner	22	50%	11.0 / 22
A. Black	17	85%	8.5 / 10
W. Carter	16	57%	8.0 / 14
K. Caldwell-Pope	15	75%	7.5 / 10
C. Joseph	3	38%	1.5 / 4
G. Bitadze	3	75%	1.5 / 2
G. Harris	2	100%	1.0 / 1
C. Houstan	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Isaac	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Anthony	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. da Silva	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	23	40%	11.5 / 29
J. Allen	20	71%	10.0 / 14
D. Garland	19	56%	9.5 / 17
T. Jerome	12	55%	6.0 / 11
M. Strus	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Hunter	9	35%	4.5 / 13
S. Merrill	5	31%	2.5 / 8
D. Wade	3	75%	1.5 / 2
I. Okoro	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Thompson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 109.1 1 120.9	ORL 106.9 +3.9 CLE 103.0
Pace	30 96.4 10 100.4	ORL 100.4 CLE 102.1 +1.7
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.5 26 13.8	ORL 14.3 CLE 14.1 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 51.0% 1 57.8%	ORL 50.0% +3.1% CLE 46.9%
TO %	18 13.5% 5 12.4%	ORL 15.8% CLE 11.8% −4.0%
ORB %	17 25.3% 13 25.9%	ORL 28.9% CLE 32.0% +3.1%
FTrt	2 26.9 18 24.1	ORL 42.0 +21.2 CLE 20.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 60.3% 19 63.1%	ORL 61.8% +9.3% CLE 52.5%
STL %	6 9.2% 15 8.1%	ORL 10.9% +3.9% CLE 7.0%
BLK %	1 11.9% 28 7.9%	ORL 5.4% +3.4% CLE 2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 53.3% 1 59.2%	ORL 51.9% +3.8% CLE 48.1%
Rim FG%	19 63.6% 9 66.0%	ORL 42.3% CLE 73.1% +30.8%
Mid FG%	22 41.4% 2 47.9%	ORL 41.7% +5.0% CLE 36.7%
3P %	30 31.8% 2 38.3%	ORL 41.9% +16.9% CLE 25.0%
FT %	19 77.5% 17 77.6%	ORL 79.4% +14.4% CLE 65.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 31.5% 20 30.6%	ORL 32.1% +5.0% CLE 27.1%
Mid Att. %	19 27.4% 9 23.7%	ORL 29.6% −1.6% CLE 31.3%
3P Att. %	18 41.1% 5 45.7%	ORL 38.3% CLE 41.7% +3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Game Totals	ORL	CLE
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.5
Points	108	103
Rebounds	47	48
Assists	21	21
Steals	11	7
Blocks	3	1
Turnovers (Team)	15 (3)	13 (1)
Fouls	20	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	16 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (4)	32 (1)
Field Goals	34-81	40-96
At-the-Rim FG	11-26	19-26
Midrange FG	10-24	11-30
2-Point FG	21-50	30-56
3-Point FG	13-31	10-40
Free Throws	27-34	13-20
Fast Break Pts	16	4
2nd Chance Pts	14	15
Points in Paint	30	52
Pts off Turnovers	26	24
Bench Points	28	22
Biggest Lead	5	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg