Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 16, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Raptors	39%	109	102	104.1	98	103.9
	18	Blazers	61%	113	105	106.1	99	93.6

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+24

-18

104

POR

+22

-20

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

0.98 49.0%

POR

1.04 52.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	27.7	16	57%	6	6	6	0	5	0	2	4	8-9	89%	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	25.2	10	83%	2	6	1	0	0	3	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	25.0	19	59%	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	3-3	100%	5-10	50%	2-5	40%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	24.8	19	68%	8	3	2	0	3	1	5	3	0-2	0%	8-12	67%	1-1	100%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	22.8	9	64%	2	1	0	0	0	6	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-5	60%

A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	33.1	9	32%	8	6	0	0	1	3	2	6	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-6	17%
Orlando Robinson #21 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	30.0	10	38%	4	2	0	0	4	4	1	3	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	0-3	0%
Colin Castleton #11 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	27.4	8	36%	12	2	0	0	5	3	9	3	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	24.0	2	14%	2	1	2	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	DND – Rest
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Flexor - strain
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial Proximal MCL Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	49%	47	29	12	0	18	22	19	28	16-20	80%	28-63	44%	10-31	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

28 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	27.7	16	57%	6	6	6	0	5	0	2	4	8-9	89%	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	25.2	10	83%	2	6	1	0	0	3	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	25.0	19	59%	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	3-3	100%	5-10	50%	2-5	40%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	24.8	19	68%	8	3	2	0	3	1	5	3	0-2	0%	8-12	67%	1-1	100%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	22.8	9	64%	2	1	0	0	0	6	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-5	60%

A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	33.1	9	32%	8	6	0	0	1	3	2	6	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-6	17%
Orlando Robinson #21 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	30.0	10	38%	4	2	0	0	4	4	1	3	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	0-3	0%
Colin Castleton #11 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	27.4	8	36%	12	2	0	0	5	3	9	3	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	24.0	2	14%	2	1	2	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	DND – Rest
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Flexor - strain
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial Proximal MCL Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	49%	47	29	12	0	18	22	19	28	16-20	80%	28-63	44%	10-31	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	35.3	21	66%	7	3	2	2	1	3	3	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	5-10	50%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	33.7	17	50%	4	1	1	0	4	1	1	3	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	1-8	13%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	33.7	19	79%	6	6	1	0	3	2	1	5	8-9	89%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26	32.2	22	69%	1	4	2	0	2	4	0	1	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	6-12	50%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	30.2	5	36%	14	1	1	3	1	2	7	7	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	30.0	5	21%	5	5	1	0	6	3	1	4	0-0	-	1-7	14%	1-5	20%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	17.7	9	50%	5	0	0	1	1	2	3	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	17.1	7	50%	7	1	0	0	2	3	3	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	6.2	0	0%	2	0	2	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	3.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinitis
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	52%	51	21	10	7	20	20	19	32	15-18	83%	18-38	47%	18-50	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	POR
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

0.98 49.0%

POR

1.04 52.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

57%

POR

58%

Midrange

TOR

29%

POR

25%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

15.0

32%

48%

POR

27.0

36%

54%

Free Throws

TOR

80%

POR

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
O. Agbaji	19	59%	9.5 / 16
J. Poeltl	19	68%	9.5 / 14
S. Barnes	16	57%	8.0 / 14
J. Shead	10	83%	5.0 / 6
O. Robinson	10	38%	5.0 / 13
J. Battle	9	64%	4.5 / 7
A. Lawson	9	32%	4.5 / 14
C. Castleton	8	36%	4.0 / 11
G. Temple	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Simons	22	69%	11.0 / 16
T. Camara	21	66%	10.5 / 16
D. Avdija	19	79%	9.5 / 12
S. Sharpe	17	50%	8.5 / 17
D. Reath	9	50%	4.5 / 9
K. Murray	7	50%	3.5 / 7
D. Clingan	5	36%	2.5 / 7
S. Henderson	5	21%	2.5 / 12

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.5 23 110.9	TOR 104.1 POR 106.1 +2.0
Pace	9 100.6 16 99.5	TOR 103.9 +10.3 POR 93.6
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 19 14.3	TOR 13.9 −1.5 POR 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 52.2% 25 52.1%	TOR 45.7% POR 51.1% +5.4%
TO %	26 14.5% 29 15.1%	TOR 14.9% −3.8% POR 18.7%
ORB %	4 27.3% 2 29.2%	TOR 37.3% POR 40.4% +3.1%
FTrt	25 23.2 13 24.6	TOR 21.3 +0.8 POR 20.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 68.5% 28 58.7%	TOR 76.3% +18.0% POR 58.3%
STL %	18 8.0% 13 8.2%	TOR 12.2% +2.1% POR 10.1%
BLK %	27 8.4% 9 10.0%	TOR 0.0% POR 11.1% +11.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 53.8% 23 54.1%	TOR 49.0% POR 52.0% +3.0%
Rim FG%	28 60.2% 27 60.7%	TOR 57.1% POR 57.7% +0.6%
Mid FG%	21 41.5% 28 39.1%	TOR 28.6% +3.6% POR 25.0%
3P %	23 34.8% 26 34.2%	TOR 32.3% POR 36.0% +3.7%
FT %	29 74.8% 26 76.2%	TOR 80.0% POR 83.3% +3.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.2% 2 36.6%	TOR 37.2% +7.7% POR 29.5%
Mid Att. %	17 26.5% 3 21.6%	TOR 29.8% POR 13.6% −16.2%
3P Att. %	29 37.3% 17 41.8%	TOR 33.0% POR 56.8% +23.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	POR
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	102	105
Rebounds	47	51
Assists	29	21
Steals	12	10
Blocks	0	7
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	20 (2)
Fouls	22	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (5)	19 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	32 (2)
Field Goals	38-94	36-88
At-the-Rim FG	20-35	15-26
Midrange FG	8-28	3-12
2-Point FG	28-63	18-38
3-Point FG	10-31	18-50
Free Throws	16-20	15-18
Fast Break Pts	33	9
2nd Chance Pts	17	25
Points in Paint	54	34
Pts off Turnovers	26	20
Bench Points	29	21
Biggest Lead	16	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg