Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 16, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Jazz	18%	107	102	100.0	102	99.2
	4	Timberwolves	82%	121	128	124.3	103	106.0

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+17

-22

MIN

+19

-9

113

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.05 52.6%

MIN

1.13 56.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26	34.2	22	55%	4	4	1	0	2	3	0	4	3-5	60%	8-16	50%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Collier #13 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 20	31.4	11	55%	6	6	0	0	5	2	2	4	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	31.1	15	47%	19	0	0	0	2	3	5	14	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	1-6	17%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	26.4	16	62%	1	2	0	0	3	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	4-11	36%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 20	19.6	2	25%	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%

Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 24	28.9	12	43%	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	1-6	17%
Svi Mykhailiuk #19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	25.9	8	57%	3	2	0	0	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 21	23.7	6	60%	5	2	0	0	5	1	0	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	18.7	10	71%	4	3	2	0	3	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Contusion/illness
KJ Martin #99 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Soreness
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fibula; Fracture
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Plantar; Fasciitis/illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	53%	44	23	4	0	22	20	10	34	12-15	80%	27-52	52%	12-38	32%

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29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26	34.2	22	55%	4	4	1	0	2	3	0	4	3-5	60%	8-16	50%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Collier #13 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 20	31.4	11	55%	6	6	0	0	5	2	2	4	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	31.1	15	47%	19	0	0	0	2	3	5	14	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	1-6	17%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	26.4	16	62%	1	2	0	0	3	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	4-11	36%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 20	19.6	2	25%	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%

Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 24	28.9	12	43%	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	1-6	17%
Svi Mykhailiuk #19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	25.9	8	57%	3	2	0	0	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 21	23.7	6	60%	5	2	0	0	5	1	0	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	18.7	10	71%	4	3	2	0	3	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Contusion/illness
KJ Martin #99 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Soreness
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fibula; Fracture
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Plantar; Fasciitis/illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	53%	44	23	4	0	22	20	10	34	12-15	80%	27-52	52%	12-38	32%

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4 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	30.6	41	71%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	4-6	67%	11-13	85%	5-14	36%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	26.7	20	71%	12	2	1	2	0	0	3	9	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	2-3	67%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	25.9	7	58%	6	0	2	2	1	1	3	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 28	24.3	11	61%	1	7	2	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-8	38%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	19.8	11	50%	3	4	0	0	1	2	2	1	2-4	50%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	21.3	9	64%	6	3	0	1	1	3	1	5	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	19.9	5	23%	9	3	3	1	3	1	4	5	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-5	0%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	19.4	4	50%	4	1	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	16.9	8	67%	3	4	3	0	0	1	3	0	6-8	75%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	9.4	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26	9.4	3	30%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	9.4	5	125%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Bones Hyland #77 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	7.0	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	57%	49	30	14	6	9	16	16	33	18-26	69%	34-54	63%	14-43	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.05 52.6%

MIN

1.13 56.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

67%

MIN

79%

Midrange

UTA

36%

MIN

25%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

18.0

32%

47%

MIN

21.0

33%

49%

Free Throws

UTA

80%

MIN

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Sexton	22	55%	11.0 / 20
L. Markkanen	16	62%	8.0 / 13
W. Kessler	15	47%	7.5 / 16
J. Juzang	12	43%	6.0 / 14
I. Collier	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Filipowski	10	71%	5.0 / 7
S. Mykhailiuk	8	57%	4.0 / 7
B. Sensabaugh	6	60%	3.0 / 5
C. Williams	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	41	71%	20.5 / 29
J. McDaniels	20	71%	10.0 / 14
D. DiVincenzo	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Randle	11	50%	5.5 / 11
N. Alexander-Walker	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Clark	8	67%	4.0 / 6
R. Gobert	7	58%	3.5 / 6
N. Reid	5	23%	2.5 / 11
J. Minott	5	125%	2.5 / 2
T. Shannon	4	50%	2.0 / 4
L. Garza	3	30%	1.5 / 5
R. Dillingham	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. Hyland	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 110.3 8 115.7	UTA 100.0 MIN 124.3 +24.3
Pace	7 100.8 25 98.1	UTA 99.2 MIN 106.0 +6.9
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 11 14.8	UTA 14.5 MIN 13.6 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.3% 10 55.4%	UTA 50.0% MIN 56.7% +6.7%
TO %	30 16.2% 19 13.9%	UTA 18.5% MIN 8.4% −10.1%
ORB %	6 26.9% 14 25.7%	UTA 23.3% MIN 32.0% +8.7%
FTrt	7 25.2 11 24.9	UTA 16.7 MIN 26.8 +10.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 63.3% 11 63.7%	UTA 59.0% MIN 62.5% +3.5%
STL %	30 6.6% 16 8.1%	UTA 3.9% MIN 13.6% +9.7%
BLK %	25 8.5% 14 9.5%	UTA 0.0% MIN 11.5% +11.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.5 and 2.5.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 55.4% 11 57.3%	UTA 52.6% MIN 56.6% +4.0%
Rim FG%	15 63.8% 12 64.8%	UTA 66.7% MIN 78.9% +12.2%
Mid FG%	17 43.1% 27 39.5%	UTA 36.0% +11.0% MIN 25.0%
3P %	22 35.0% 4 37.7%	UTA 31.6% MIN 32.6% +1.0%
FT %	22 77.4% 10 78.9%	UTA 80.0% +10.8% MIN 69.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 28.8% 12 32.2%	UTA 30.0% MIN 39.2% +9.2%
Mid Att. %	15 26.2% 6 22.3%	UTA 27.8% MIN 16.5% −11.3%
3P Att. %	7 44.9% 6 45.5%	UTA 42.2% MIN 44.3% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	MIN
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	102	128
Rebounds	44	49
Assists	23	30
Steals	4	14
Blocks	0	6
Turnovers (Team)	22 (0)	9 (1)
Fouls	20	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (7)	16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (0)	33 (3)
Field Goals	39-90	48-97
At-the-Rim FG	18-27	30-38
Midrange FG	9-25	4-16
2-Point FG	27-52	34-54
3-Point FG	12-38	14-43
Free Throws	12-15	18-26
Fast Break Pts	10	20
2nd Chance Pts	20	18
Points in Paint	50	66
Pts off Turnovers	16	26
Bench Points	36	38
Biggest Lead	1	31

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg