Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 17, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Pacers	28%	106	132	117.9	112	103.1
	5	Timberwolves	72%	115	130	113.0	115	102.5

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+15

-20

107

MIN

101

+17

-14

118

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.23 61.7%

MIN

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Obi Toppin #1 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 27	44.9	34	81%	10	2	1	1	2	0	2	8	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	7-10	70%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	35.1	22	52%	3	1	1	1	2	6	1	2	7-8	88%	3-10	30%	3-7	43%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	35.1	13	54%	5	1	2	0	5	5	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-8	38%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	32.6	10	42%	7	0	1	2	4	1	1	6	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-7	14%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 25	19.4	12	67%	2	3	0	0	2	1	0	2	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33	30.1	11	42%	4	13	0	0	2	1	1	3	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	29.2	3	50%	6	6	0	0	0	4	2	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27	20.3	12	75%	9	2	1	2	3	2	5	4	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	18.3	13	81%	2	0	1	0	0	5	1	1	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Injury Management
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	132	62%	48	28	7	6	20	25	14	34	19-23	83%	31-60	52%	17-37	46%

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23 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Obi Toppin #1 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 27	44.9	34	81%	10	2	1	1	2	0	2	8	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	7-10	70%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	35.1	22	52%	3	1	1	1	2	6	1	2	7-8	88%	3-10	30%	3-7	43%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	35.1	13	54%	5	1	2	0	5	5	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-8	38%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	32.6	10	42%	7	0	1	2	4	1	1	6	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-7	14%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 25	19.4	12	67%	2	3	0	0	2	1	0	2	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33	30.1	11	42%	4	13	0	0	2	1	1	3	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	29.2	3	50%	6	6	0	0	0	4	2	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27	20.3	12	75%	9	2	1	2	3	2	5	4	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	18.3	13	81%	2	0	1	0	0	5	1	1	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Injury Management
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	132	62%	48	28	7	6	20	25	14	34	19-23	83%	31-60	52%	17-37	46%

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5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	41.1	38	58%	3	5	2	2	3	3	0	3	19-20	95%	8-13	62%	1-11	9%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	40.6	17	57%	6	4	1	0	4	2	1	5	6-10	60%	4-9	44%	1-2	50%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	32.5	13	46%	7	4	1	1	3	5	2	5	0-0	-	5-8	63%	1-6	17%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	31.8	9	113%	3	5	2	0	1	3	0	3	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	21.5	3	50%	7	1	0	3	0	1	3	4	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	31.8	19	59%	3	3	2	0	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	5-11	45%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	30.2	21	66%	4	0	1	1	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	6-9	67%	3-7	43%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	26.9	8	50%	9	3	0	0	1	1	1	8	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	8.5	2	33%	2	0	2	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bones Hyland #77 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	130	55%	44	25	11	7	14	22	9	35	29-36	81%	31-55	56%	13-42	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.23 61.7%

MIN

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

58%

MIN

59%

Midrange

IND

41%

MIN

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

25.5

46%

69%

MIN

19.5

31%

46%

Free Throws

IND

83%

MIN

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
O. Toppin	34	81%	17.0 / 21
B. Mathurin	22	52%	11.0 / 21
J. Walker	13	54%	6.5 / 12
Q. Jackson	13	81%	6.5 / 8
A. Nembhard	12	67%	6.0 / 9
T. Bradley	12	75%	6.0 / 8
T. McConnell	11	42%	5.5 / 13
T. Bryant	10	42%	5.0 / 12
B. Sheppard	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	38	58%	19.0 / 33
N. Reid	21	66%	10.5 / 16
D. DiVincenzo	19	59%	9.5 / 16
J. Randle	17	57%	8.5 / 15
J. McDaniels	13	46%	6.5 / 14
M. Conley	9	113%	4.5 / 4
N. Alexander-Walker	8	50%	4.0 / 8
R. Gobert	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Clark	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 115.3 8 115.7	IND 117.9 +4.8 MIN 113.0
Pace	6 100.9 25 98.1	IND 103.1 +0.6 MIN 102.5
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 11 14.8	IND 14.0 −0.1 MIN 14.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.2% 10 55.4%	IND 58.2% +6.1% MIN 52.1%
TO %	3 12.0% 19 13.9%	IND 15.7% MIN 11.7% −4.0%
ORB %	29 21.3% 14 25.7%	IND 28.6% +7.7% MIN 20.9%
FTrt	17 24.1 11 24.9	IND 23.7 MIN 37.1 +13.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 67.1% 11 63.7%	IND 58.3% +1.5% MIN 56.8%
STL %	10 8.3% 16 8.1%	IND 6.3% MIN 9.6% +3.3%
BLK %	8 10.2% 14 9.5%	IND 10.9% MIN 11.7% +0.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 57.6% 11 57.3%	IND 61.7% +6.6% MIN 55.1%
Rim FG%	6 66.7% 12 64.8%	IND 57.9% MIN 59.0% +1.1%
Mid FG%	6 45.8% 27 39.5%	IND 40.9% MIN 50.0% +9.1%
3P %	9 36.8% 4 37.7%	IND 45.9% +14.9% MIN 31.0%
FT %	9 78.9% 10 78.9%	IND 82.6% +2.0% MIN 80.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.4% 12 32.2%	IND 39.2% MIN 40.2% +1.0%
Mid Att. %	24 28.6% 6 22.3%	IND 22.7% MIN 16.5% −6.2%
3P Att. %	21 40.0% 6 45.5%	IND 38.1% MIN 43.3% +5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	MIN
Possessions	112	115
Possession Minutes	26.1	26.9
Points	132	130
Rebounds	48	44
Assists	28	25
Steals	7	11
Blocks	6	7
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	25	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (1)	9 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (4)	35 (1)
Field Goals	48-97	44-97
At-the-Rim FG	22-38	23-39
Midrange FG	9-22	8-16
2-Point FG	31-60	31-55
3-Point FG	17-37	13-42
Free Throws	19-23	29-36
Fast Break Pts	18	21
2nd Chance Pts	13	12
Points in Paint	52	60
Pts off Turnovers	11	30
Bench Points	41	50
Biggest Lead	15	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg