Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 1, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Magic	52%	110	116	122.1	95	87.2
	23	Spurs	48%	109	105	111.7	94	103.1

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+15

-10

100

SAS

+12

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.16 58.0%

SAS

1.18 59.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	36.3	24	57%	5	7	0	0	0	3	1	4	3-3	100%	6-10	60%	3-10	30%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	32.9	24	52%	10	4	2	0	5	3	0	10	6-6	100%	9-17	53%	0-4	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	30.6	23	105%	1	3	3	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	7-9	78%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	18.3	6	75%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	18.0	8	100%	5	2	0	1	0	4	3	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%

Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	25.1	12	75%	1	3	1	1	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-8	50%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	20.1	4	33%	2	3	3	2	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	19.4	9	50%	5	4	2	1	0	2	1	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 27	18.1	4	67%	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	11.9	2	100%	6	1	0	1	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	9.3	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Trochlea Cartilage Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	58%	41	28	12	7	10	15	10	31	12-12	100%	25-43	58%	18-47	38%

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15 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	36.3	24	57%	5	7	0	0	0	3	1	4	3-3	100%	6-10	60%	3-10	30%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	32.9	24	52%	10	4	2	0	5	3	0	10	6-6	100%	9-17	53%	0-4	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	30.6	23	105%	1	3	3	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	7-9	78%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	18.3	6	75%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	18.0	8	100%	5	2	0	1	0	4	3	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%

Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	25.1	12	75%	1	3	1	1	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-8	50%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	20.1	4	33%	2	3	3	2	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	19.4	9	50%	5	4	2	1	0	2	1	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 27	18.1	4	67%	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	11.9	2	100%	6	1	0	1	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	9.3	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Trochlea Cartilage Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	58%	41	28	12	7	10	15	10	31	12-12	100%	25-43	58%	18-47	38%

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23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	34.7	16	57%	8	6	0	1	7	3	4	4	3-3	100%	5-11	45%	1-2	50%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	33.2	11	46%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-7	14%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	28.8	24	80%	1	0	2	0	2	1	1	0	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	4-5	80%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	27.7	10	71%	5	7	3	1	2	1	1	4	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	25.9	11	61%	5	1	1	2	1	2	0	5	1-5	20%	5-7	71%	0-0	-

Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	32.4	19	73%	4	2	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	5-9	56%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	19.0	3	25%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	18.5	7	50%	7	4	0	0	2	0	0	7	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	18.1	4	40%	4	3	1	0	1	3	1	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	0.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasms
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-On-Chronic Bone Bruise Injury Management
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendon Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	59%	38	24	7	4	17	14	9	29	12-17	71%	27-49	55%	13-32	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.16 58.0%

SAS

1.18 59.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

71%

SAS

53%

Midrange

ORL

45%

SAS

62%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

27.0

38%

57%

SAS

19.5

41%

61%

Free Throws

ORL

100%

SAS

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. Wagner	24	57%	12.0 / 21
P. Banchero	24	52%	12.0 / 23
K. Caldwell-Pope	23	105%	11.5 / 11
C. Houstan	12	75%	6.0 / 8
C. Anthony	9	50%	4.5 / 9
W. Carter	8	100%	4.0 / 4
C. Joseph	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Black	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Isaac	4	67%	2.0 / 3
G. Bitadze	2	100%	1.0 / 1
G. Harris	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
H. Barnes	24	80%	12.0 / 15
J. Champagnie	19	73%	9.5 / 13
S. Castle	16	57%	8.0 / 14
D. Vassell	11	46%	5.5 / 12
B. Biyombo	11	61%	5.5 / 9
C. Paul	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. Johnson	7	50%	3.5 / 7
B. Wesley	4	40%	2.0 / 5
S. Mamukelashvili	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 109.1 19 113.5	ORL 122.1 +10.4 SAS 111.7
Pace	30 96.4 13 100.1	ORL 87.2 SAS 103.1 +15.9
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.5 20 14.3	ORL 16.5 SAS 14.0 −2.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 51.0% 18 54.4%	ORL 57.8% +0.4% SAS 57.4%
TO %	18 13.5% 11 13.2%	ORL 12.0% −4.1% SAS 16.1%
ORB %	17 25.3% 20 24.3%	ORL 25.6% +3.1% SAS 22.5%
FTrt	2 26.9 22 23.4	ORL 13.3 SAS 21.0 +7.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 60.3% 3 68.5%	ORL 65.1% +5.1% SAS 60.0%
STL %	6 9.2% 14 8.2%	ORL 12.6% +5.2% SAS 7.4%
BLK %	1 11.9% 5 10.5%	ORL 14.3% +5.0% SAS 9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 53.3% 18 56.3%	ORL 58.0% SAS 59.0% +1.0%
Rim FG%	19 63.6% 14 63.9%	ORL 71.4% +18.6% SAS 52.8%
Mid FG%	22 41.4% 20 41.8%	ORL 45.5% SAS 61.5% +16.0%
3P %	30 31.8% 20 35.7%	ORL 38.3% SAS 40.6% +2.3%
FT %	19 77.5% 21 77.4%	ORL 100.0% +29.4% SAS 70.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 31.5% 8 33.7%	ORL 23.3% SAS 44.4% +21.1%
Mid Att. %	19 27.4% 4 22.2%	ORL 24.4% SAS 16.0% −8.4%
3P Att. %	18 41.1% 8 44.1%	ORL 52.2% +12.7% SAS 39.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Game Totals	ORL	SAS
Possessions	95	94
Possession Minutes	26.2	21.9
Points	116	105
Rebounds	41	38
Assists	28	24
Steals	12	7
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (3)	17 (0)
Fouls	15	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (0)	29 (3)
Field Goals	43-90	40-81
At-the-Rim FG	15-21	19-36
Midrange FG	10-22	8-13
2-Point FG	25-43	27-49
3-Point FG	18-47	13-32
Free Throws	12-12	12-17
Fast Break Pts	13	13
2nd Chance Pts	21	4
Points in Paint	36	46
Pts off Turnovers	20	14
Bench Points	31	33
Biggest Lead	14	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg