Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 17, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Raptors	33%	108	89	93.7	95	100.5
	14	Suns	67%	115	129	134.4	96	91.0

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+16

-11

100

PHX

+14

-10

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

0.89 44.5%

PHX

1.29 64.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	30.6	16	47%	4	3	0	0	5	3	2	2	5-8	63%	4-11	36%	1-2	50%
Colin Castleton #11 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	30.4	10	71%	6	0	0	2	2	1	4	2	4-6	67%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	30.1	15	47%	7	7	1	0	1	2	0	7	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	2-7	29%
Jamison Battle #77 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	29.6	14	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-12	33%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	26.8	2	14%	6	2	0	0	0	0	2	4	0-0	-	1-7	14%	0-0	-

A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	25.0	12	60%	3	0	1	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	23.6	5	36%	2	0	1	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	23.1	3	19%	1	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	0-5	0%
Orlando Robinson #21 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	20.9	12	50%	8	3	0	0	0	3	4	4	0-0	-	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	DND – Rest
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Flexor
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial Proximal MCL Tear
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	45%	40	20	4	2	11	15	12	28	17-23	74%	21-52	40%	10-35	29%

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25 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	30.6	16	47%	4	3	0	0	5	3	2	2	5-8	63%	4-11	36%	1-2	50%
Colin Castleton #11 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	30.4	10	71%	6	0	0	2	2	1	4	2	4-6	67%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	30.1	15	47%	7	7	1	0	1	2	0	7	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	2-7	29%
Jamison Battle #77 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	29.6	14	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-12	33%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	26.8	2	14%	6	2	0	0	0	0	2	4	0-0	-	1-7	14%	0-0	-

A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	25.0	12	60%	3	0	1	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	23.6	5	36%	2	0	1	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	23.1	3	19%	1	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	0-5	0%
Orlando Robinson #21 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	20.9	12	50%	8	3	0	0	0	3	4	4	0-0	-	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	DND – Rest
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Flexor
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial Proximal MCL Tear
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	45%	40	20	4	2	11	15	12	28	17-23	74%	21-52	40%	10-35	29%

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14 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Booker #1 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	32.1	27	75%	4	6	0	0	1	3	0	4	8-8	100%	5-9	56%	3-6	50%
Kevin Durant #35 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 36	26.4	14	88%	3	3	1	0	4	1	0	3	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Ryan Dunn #0 · SF · 6'7" 216 · 22	24.3	17	53%	6	0	0	1	1	2	3	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	3-7	43%
Collin Gillespie #12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 26	16.3	3	38%	2	2	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Nick Richards #2 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	12.0	10	56%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-

Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 29	27.3	15	63%	3	4	0	0	1	1	1	2	1-1	100%	1-5	20%	4-7	57%
Oso Ighodaro #4 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 23	26.2	9	75%	9	4	1	1	0	3	3	6	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Royce O'Neale #00 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 32	23.8	11	69%	10	3	1	1	0	2	1	9	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Cody Martin #17 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 29	19.1	2	17%	5	6	3	0	0	4	2	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
TyTy Washington Jr. #14 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 23	6.2	3	75%	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Bol Bol #11 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 25	5.5	4	100%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Vasilije Micić #18 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 31	5.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 30	5.5	12	120%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-4	100%
Damion Lee #10 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 32	5.5	2	100%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 35	4.3	0	0%	4	0	0	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Bridges #15 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Grayson Allen #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Strain
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	65%	54	34	7	4	10	21	12	42	15-15	100%	27-53	51%	20-39	51%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	PHX
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	PHX

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

TOR

0.89 44.5%

PHX

1.29 64.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

65%

PHX

64%

Midrange

TOR

21%

PHX

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

15.0

29%

43%

PHX

30.0

51%

77%

Free Throws

TOR

74%

PHX

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Barnes	16	47%	8.0 / 17
I. Quickley	15	47%	7.5 / 16
J. Battle	14	50%	7.0 / 14
A. Lawson	12	60%	6.0 / 10
O. Robinson	12	50%	6.0 / 12
C. Castleton	10	71%	5.0 / 7
G. Temple	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Shead	3	19%	1.5 / 8
J. Mogbo	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Booker	27	75%	13.5 / 18
R. Dunn	17	53%	8.5 / 16
T. Jones	15	63%	7.5 / 12
K. Durant	14	88%	7.0 / 8
M. Morris	12	120%	6.0 / 5
R. O'Neale	11	69%	5.5 / 8
N. Richards	10	56%	5.0 / 9
O. Ighodaro	9	75%	4.5 / 6
B. Bol	4	100%	2.0 / 2
C. Gillespie	3	38%	1.5 / 4
T. Washington	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Martin	2	17%	1.0 / 6
D. Lee	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.5 13 114.8	TOR 93.7 PHX 134.4 +40.7
Pace	9 100.6 21 98.2	TOR 100.5 +9.4 PHX 91.0
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 4 15.1	TOR 14.3 −1.5 PHX 15.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 52.2% 6 56.1%	TOR 41.4% PHX 62.0% +20.6%
TO %	26 14.5% 16 13.4%	TOR 11.0% PHX 9.2% −1.8%
ORB %	4 27.3% 26 22.6%	TOR 22.2% PHX 30.0% +7.8%
FTrt	25 23.2 19 24.1	TOR 26.4 +10.1 PHX 16.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 68.5% 6 67.3%	TOR 64.5% PHX 72.3% +7.8%
STL %	18 8.0% 28 7.3%	TOR 4.2% PHX 7.3% +3.1%
BLK %	27 8.4% 17 9.2%	TOR 3.8% PHX 7.7% +3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 53.8% 5 57.8%	TOR 44.5% PHX 64.5% +20.0%
Rim FG%	28 60.2% 3 67.3%	TOR 65.2% +1.2% PHX 64.0%
Mid FG%	21 41.5% 1 48.2%	TOR 20.7% PHX 39.3% +18.6%
3P %	23 34.8% 3 37.8%	TOR 28.6% PHX 51.3% +22.7%
FT %	29 74.8% 2 81.0%	TOR 73.9% PHX 100.0% +26.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.2% 30 21.8%	TOR 26.4% PHX 27.2% +0.7%
Mid Att. %	17 26.5% 30 34.2%	TOR 33.3% PHX 30.4% −2.9%
3P Att. %	29 37.3% 9 44.0%	TOR 40.2% PHX 42.4% +2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.02 and 3.02.

Game Totals	TOR	PHX
Possessions	95	96
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	89	129
Rebounds	40	54
Assists	20	34
Steals	4	7
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	10 (0)
Fouls	15	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	42 (1)
Field Goals	31-87	47-92
At-the-Rim FG	15-23	16-25
Midrange FG	6-29	11-28
2-Point FG	21-52	27-53
3-Point FG	10-35	20-39
Free Throws	17-23	15-15
Fast Break Pts	16	22
2nd Chance Pts	9	10
Points in Paint	40	46
Pts off Turnovers	9	20
Bench Points	32	58
Biggest Lead	7	40

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg