Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 17, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Grizzlies	51%	119	122	117.3	104	107.4
	13	Kings	49%	118	132	126.9	104	100.8

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+15

-17

102

SAC

+13

-12

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.20 59.8%

SAC

1.26 62.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	41.3	44	79%	6	4	1	0	4	2	0	6	7-7	100%	8-18	44%	7-7	100%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	33.6	14	58%	4	2	1	0	0	5	0	4	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	3-8	38%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	31.1	12	50%	3	3	1	0	3	5	0	3	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Luke Kennard #10 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 29	28.2	8	36%	2	8	2	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	24.4	12	55%	8	1	0	4	0	3	6	2	0-0	-	6-11	55%	0-0	-

Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	24.9	15	83%	8	3	1	1	3	0	6	2	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	17.4	8	133%	8	1	1	1	0	2	2	6	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	16.7	2	25%	3	0	1	1	2	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	15.3	7	58%	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	3.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Lamar Stevens #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Soreness
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellar Tendon
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	48	24	8	7	17	22	15	33	21-21	100%	31-60	52%	13-30	43%

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9 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	41.3	44	79%	6	4	1	0	4	2	0	6	7-7	100%	8-18	44%	7-7	100%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	33.6	14	58%	4	2	1	0	0	5	0	4	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	3-8	38%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	31.1	12	50%	3	3	1	0	3	5	0	3	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Luke Kennard #10 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 29	28.2	8	36%	2	8	2	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	24.4	12	55%	8	1	0	4	0	3	6	2	0-0	-	6-11	55%	0-0	-

Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	24.9	15	83%	8	3	1	1	3	0	6	2	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	17.4	8	133%	8	1	1	1	0	2	2	6	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	16.7	2	25%	3	0	1	1	2	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	15.3	7	58%	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	3.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Lamar Stevens #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Soreness
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellar Tendon
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	48	24	8	7	17	22	15	33	21-21	100%	31-60	52%	13-30	43%

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13 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	37.3	23	88%	2	6	0	0	2	1	1	1	4-5	80%	2-3	67%	5-8	63%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 27	35.7	28	74%	3	7	1	3	3	1	0	3	4-4	100%	6-9	67%	4-8	50%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	33.3	16	57%	9	1	2	0	0	4	1	8	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	3-8	38%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	32.6	22	50%	6	8	0	1	1	2	3	3	5-7	71%	4-13	31%	3-6	50%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	12.1	6	75%	1	4	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	23.5	12	75%	2	1	2	0	3	6	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	19.8	5	50%	9	0	1	0	1	1	1	8	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	19.1	9	75%	0	3	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	16.0	8	80%	5	3	0	3	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	10.5	2	25%	1	2	4	0	0	1	0	1	2-6	33%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	0.1	1	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	INACTIVE
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	63%	38	35	11	7	12	21	10	28	20-30	67%	26-47	55%	20-41	49%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.20 59.8%

SAC

1.26 62.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

71%

SAC

79%

Midrange

MEM

46%

SAC

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

19.5

43%

65%

SAC

30.0

49%

73%

Free Throws

MEM

100%

SAC

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Bane	44	79%	22.0 / 28
B. Clarke	15	83%	7.5 / 9
J. Wells	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Jackson	12	50%	6.0 / 12
Z. Edey	12	55%	6.0 / 11
L. Kennard	8	36%	4.0 / 11
J. Konchar	8	133%	4.0 / 3
C. Spencer	7	58%	3.5 / 6
V. Williams	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Huff	0	-	0.0 / 1
L. Stevens	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Monk	28	74%	14.0 / 19
Z. LaVine	23	88%	11.5 / 13
D. DeRozan	22	50%	11.0 / 22
K. Murray	16	57%	8.0 / 14
J. LaRavia	12	75%	6.0 / 8
K. Ellis	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Valančiūnas	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Sabonis	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Lyles	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Carter	2	25%	1.0 / 4
I. Crawford	1	-	0.0 / 0

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.2 7 115.9	MEM 117.3 SAC 126.9 +9.6
Pace	1 103.7 19 98.9	MEM 107.4 +6.6 SAC 100.8
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.4 15 14.4	MEM 13.4 −0.9 SAC 14.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.4% 15 54.8%	MEM 56.1% SAC 63.6% +7.5%
TO %	25 14.4% 6 12.6%	MEM 15.4% SAC 12.2% −3.2%
ORB %	3 28.7% 16 25.4%	MEM 34.9% +11.6% SAC 23.3%
FTrt	10 24.9 21 23.5	MEM 23.3 SAC 34.1 +10.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.5% 22 61.5%	MEM 54.5% SAC 76.1% +21.6%
STL %	7 8.5% 23 7.6%	MEM 7.7% SAC 10.6% +2.9%
BLK %	3 10.8% 23 8.8%	MEM 14.9% +3.2% SAC 11.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.4% 15 56.8%	MEM 59.8% SAC 62.9% +3.1%
Rim FG%	11 65.3% 2 67.6%	MEM 71.4% SAC 78.6% +7.2%
Mid FG%	9 45.4% 4 46.0%	MEM 45.7% +0.2% SAC 45.5%
3P %	12 36.7% 19 35.7%	MEM 43.3% SAC 48.8% +5.5%
FT %	12 78.6% 4 80.6%	MEM 100.0% +33.3% SAC 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.5% 28 26.8%	MEM 15.6% SAC 15.9% +0.4%
Mid Att. %	26 29.0% 29 34.1%	MEM 51.1% SAC 37.5% −13.6%
3P Att. %	20 40.6% 23 39.1%	MEM 33.3% SAC 46.6% +13.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	MEM	SAC
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	122	132
Rebounds	48	38
Assists	24	35
Steals	8	11
Blocks	7	7
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	12 (2)
Fouls	22	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (0)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	28 (3)
Field Goals	44-90	46-88
At-the-Rim FG	10-14	11-14
Midrange FG	21-46	15-33
2-Point FG	31-60	26-47
3-Point FG	13-30	20-41
Free Throws	21-21	20-30
Fast Break Pts	16	16
2nd Chance Pts	22	18
Points in Paint	54	40
Pts off Turnovers	20	21
Bench Points	32	37
Biggest Lead	2	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg