Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 18, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Hawks	70%	117	134	135.4	99	106.5
	30	Hornets	30%	109	102	104.1	98	91.5

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+14

-10

103

CHA

+12

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.30 65.0%

CHA

1.10 54.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	30.5	31	74%	2	8	3	0	4	3	0	2	4-4	100%	6-11	55%	5-9	56%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	27.6	22	85%	7	7	3	1	3	0	2	5	1-3	33%	9-10	90%	1-2	50%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	27.1	15	68%	10	3	3	0	1	4	2	8	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	23.6	21	66%	8	2	0	1	1	0	1	7	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	5-9	56%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	23.5	4	29%	3	1	2	0	0	2	1	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%

Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	30.7	5	50%	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	24.0	6	75%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	22.2	12	75%	4	2	0	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	20.9	12	55%	6	1	1	2	1	4	3	3	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-1	0%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	10.0	6	100%	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Medial Femoral Condyle; Fracture
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Family Reasons
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	65%	46	27	12	8	10	17	11	35	12-15	80%	28-48	58%	22-45	49%

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18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	30.5	31	74%	2	8	3	0	4	3	0	2	4-4	100%	6-11	55%	5-9	56%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	27.6	22	85%	7	7	3	1	3	0	2	5	1-3	33%	9-10	90%	1-2	50%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	27.1	15	68%	10	3	3	0	1	4	2	8	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	23.6	21	66%	8	2	0	1	1	0	1	7	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	5-9	56%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	23.5	4	29%	3	1	2	0	0	2	1	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%

Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	30.7	5	50%	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	24.0	6	75%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	22.2	12	75%	4	2	0	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	20.9	12	55%	6	1	1	2	1	4	3	3	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-1	0%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	10.0	6	100%	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Medial Femoral Condyle; Fracture
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Family Reasons
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	65%	46	27	12	8	10	17	11	35	12-15	80%	28-48	58%	22-45	49%

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30 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damion Baugh #7 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 25	33.0	11	46%	9	5	1	0	3	2	1	8	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-3	33%
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · PF · 6'5" 222 · 28	32.1	19	79%	5	1	0	2	2	4	3	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	3-5	60%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	25.4	19	79%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	4-6	67%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	22.8	4	50%	5	5	2	2	3	1	1	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	19.7	2	17%	2	3	0	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%

Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	27.1	11	39%	5	4	0	0	2	1	2	3	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	0-5	0%
Marcus Garrett #28 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	24.2	12	55%	3	3	3	1	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Wendell Moore Jr. #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	21.1	11	55%	6	3	1	0	1	0	2	4	3-5	60%	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 23	17.8	2	33%	2	0	0	2	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #11 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	16.6	11	69%	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; ACL Repair
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Herniation
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Soreness
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Miles Bridges #0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	55%	39	25	7	8	17	16	10	29	16-21	76%	28-54	52%	10-30	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	CHA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.30 65.0%

CHA

1.10 54.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

64%

CHA

67%

Midrange

ATL

50%

CHA

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

33.0

49%

73%

CHA

15.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

ATL

80%

CHA

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	31	74%	15.5 / 21
D. Daniels	22	85%	11.0 / 13
Z. Risacher	21	66%	10.5 / 16
O. Okongwu	15	68%	7.5 / 11
T. Mann	12	75%	6.0 / 8
D. Barlow	12	55%	6.0 / 11
G. Niang	6	75%	3.0 / 4
G. Mathews	6	100%	3.0 / 3
V. Krejčí	5	50%	2.5 / 5
M. Gueye	4	29%	2.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Jeffries	19	79%	9.5 / 12
S. Curry	19	79%	9.5 / 12
M. Garrett	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Baugh	11	46%	5.5 / 12
N. Smith	11	39%	5.5 / 14
W. Moore	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Nurkić	11	69%	5.5 / 8
M. Williams	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Green	2	17%	1.0 / 6
M. Diabaté	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 113.7 29 106.7	ATL 135.4 +31.3 CHA 104.1
Pace	3 103.4 23 98.2	ATL 106.5 +15.0 CHA 91.5
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.3 8 14.9	ATL 13.5 −2.2 CHA 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.6% 30 50.3%	ATL 65.6% +14.4% CHA 51.2%
TO %	23 14.1% 28 15.1%	ATL 9.9% −5.5% CHA 15.4%
ORB %	10 26.3% 8 26.5%	ATL 27.5% +5.3% CHA 22.2%
FTrt	8 25.2 27 22.2	ATL 16.1 CHA 25.0 +8.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 68.3% 16 63.5%	ATL 54.0% CHA 65.8% +11.8%
STL %	4 9.4% 24 7.5%	ATL 12.1% +5.0% CHA 7.1%
BLK %	11 9.7% 18 9.2%	ATL 14.8% CHA 16.7% +1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 30 52.5%	ATL 65.0% +10.2% CHA 54.8%
Rim FG%	20 62.9% 30 59.7%	ATL 64.3% CHA 66.7% +2.4%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 29 38.5%	ATL 50.0% +10.0% CHA 40.0%
3P %	18 35.8% 28 33.9%	ATL 48.9% +15.6% CHA 33.3%
FT %	18 77.5% 14 78.3%	ATL 80.0% +3.8% CHA 76.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 34.1% 19 30.7%	ATL 30.1% +1.5% CHA 28.6%
Mid Att. %	10 24.8% 16 26.3%	ATL 21.5% −14.2% CHA 35.7%
3P Att. %	19 41.0% 11 43.0%	ATL 48.4% +12.7% CHA 35.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	CHA
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	22.3	25.7
Points	134	102
Rebounds	46	39
Assists	27	25
Steals	12	7
Blocks	8	8
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	17	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (0)	29 (2)
Field Goals	50-93	38-84
At-the-Rim FG	18-28	16-24
Midrange FG	10-20	12-30
2-Point FG	28-48	28-54
3-Point FG	22-45	10-30
Free Throws	12-15	16-21
Fast Break Pts	19	14
2nd Chance Pts	15	10
Points in Paint	48	50
Pts off Turnovers	22	12
Bench Points	41	47
Biggest Lead	36	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg