Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 18, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Cavaliers	54%	113	119	125.3	95	106.1
	5	Clippers	46%	112	132	137.5	96	86.9

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+15

-8

102

LAC

+17

-12

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.17 58.3%

LAC

1.31 65.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	33.5	18	45%	4	11	0	0	2	1	1	3	6-6	100%	3-9	33%	2-9	22%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 27	31.8	8	50%	8	1	1	0	0	2	3	5	0-2	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 25	31.8	17	57%	5	8	2	0	2	1	2	3	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	2-6	33%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24	31.2	17	57%	3	1	1	0	1	4	0	3	3-6	50%	7-10	70%	0-2	0%
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	26.4	24	92%	4	1	0	0	0	3	2	2	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	5-8	63%

De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	20.0	17	85%	1	0	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-1	0%	4-4	100%	3-6	50%
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	19.5	10	45%	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-5	40%	4-5	80%	0-4	0%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 28	15.8	2	100%	3	1	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	13.9	3	50%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	12.2	3	38%	0	2	1	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Javonte Green #8 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaylon Tyson #24 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Thompson #13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #30 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	58%	29	29	6	0	8	21	10	19	17-26	65%	30-49	61%	14-41	34%

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1 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	33.5	18	45%	4	11	0	0	2	1	1	3	6-6	100%	3-9	33%	2-9	22%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 27	31.8	8	50%	8	1	1	0	0	2	3	5	0-2	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 25	31.8	17	57%	5	8	2	0	2	1	2	3	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	2-6	33%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24	31.2	17	57%	3	1	1	0	1	4	0	3	3-6	50%	7-10	70%	0-2	0%
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	26.4	24	92%	4	1	0	0	0	3	2	2	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	5-8	63%

De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	20.0	17	85%	1	0	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-1	0%	4-4	100%	3-6	50%
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	19.5	10	45%	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-5	40%	4-5	80%	0-4	0%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 28	15.8	2	100%	3	1	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	13.9	3	50%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	12.2	3	38%	0	2	1	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Javonte Green #8 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaylon Tyson #24 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Thompson #13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #30 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	58%	29	29	6	0	8	21	10	19	17-26	65%	30-49	61%	14-41	34%

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5 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	38.5	22	48%	4	9	1	1	0	3	1	3	10-11	91%	3-7	43%	2-11	18%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · PF · 6'6" 225 · 34	35.3	33	79%	7	4	4	0	2	2	1	6	4-4	100%	7-13	54%	5-6	83%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	35.3	28	70%	20	1	0	1	1	3	8	12	2-5	40%	13-18	72%	0-0	-
Norman Powell #24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 32	17.6	11	69%	1	1	0	0	2	4	0	1	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 31	17.1	2	33%	1	0	0	1	1	4	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%

Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	29.4	20	125%	4	7	1	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	4-4	100%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 28	20.4	10	71%	3	0	0	2	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 36	17.1	3	75%	5	3	0	0	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 28	16.4	3	38%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Ben Simmons #25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 29	12.7	0	0%	2	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Seth Lundy #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trentyn Flowers #9 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	65%	49	28	7	5	12	26	14	35	24-28	86%	30-49	61%	16-35	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	LAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.17 58.3%

LAC

1.31 65.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

65%

LAC

68%

Midrange

CLE

57%

LAC

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

21.0

34%

51%

LAC

24.0

46%

69%

Free Throws

CLE

65%

LAC

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Strus	24	92%	12.0 / 13
D. Mitchell	18	45%	9.0 / 20
D. Garland	17	57%	8.5 / 15
E. Mobley	17	57%	8.5 / 15
D. Hunter	17	85%	8.5 / 10
T. Jerome	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Allen	8	50%	4.0 / 8
S. Merrill	3	50%	1.5 / 3
I. Okoro	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Wade	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	33	79%	16.5 / 21
I. Zubac	28	70%	14.0 / 20
J. Harden	22	48%	11.0 / 23
B. Bogdanović	20	125%	10.0 / 8
N. Powell	11	69%	5.5 / 8
D. Jones	10	71%	5.0 / 7
N. Batum	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Coffey	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Dunn	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. Simmons	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 120.9 15 114.3	CLE 125.3 LAC 137.5 +12.2
Pace	10 100.4 24 98.1	CLE 106.1 +19.2 LAC 86.9
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 5 15.1	CLE 13.6 −3.0 LAC 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.8% 11 55.4%	CLE 56.7% LAC 64.3% +7.6%
TO %	5 12.4% 22 14.0%	CLE 8.1% −3.8% LAC 11.9%
ORB %	13 25.9% 19 24.4%	CLE 22.2% LAC 42.4% +20.2%
FTrt	18 24.1 9 25.1	CLE 28.9 LAC 33.3 +4.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 63.1% 24 60.5%	CLE 65.9% +5.0% LAC 60.9%
STL %	15 8.1% 2 9.5%	CLE 6.3% LAC 7.3% +1.0%
BLK %	28 7.9% 16 9.3%	CLE 0.0% LAC 10.2% +10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 59.2% 9 57.5%	CLE 58.3% LAC 65.3% +7.0%
Rim FG%	9 66.0% 13 64.2%	CLE 65.4% LAC 68.4% +3.0%
Mid FG%	2 47.9% 10 45.3%	CLE 56.5% LAC 56.7% +0.2%
3P %	2 38.3% 7 37.3%	CLE 34.1% LAC 45.7% +11.6%
FT %	17 77.6% 7 79.7%	CLE 65.4% LAC 85.7% +20.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 30.6% 14 31.6%	CLE 28.9% +6.3% LAC 22.6%
Mid Att. %	9 23.7% 28 29.7%	CLE 25.6% −10.2% LAC 35.7%
3P Att. %	5 45.7% 25 38.7%	CLE 45.6% +3.9% LAC 41.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	LAC
Possessions	95	96
Possession Minutes	21.5	26.5
Points	119	132
Rebounds	29	49
Assists	29	28
Steals	6	7
Blocks	0	5
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	12 (1)
Fouls	21	26
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	19 (4)	35 (0)
Field Goals	44-90	46-84
At-the-Rim FG	17-26	13-19
Midrange FG	13-23	17-30
2-Point FG	30-49	30-49
3-Point FG	14-41	16-35
Free Throws	17-26	24-28
Fast Break Pts	10	11
2nd Chance Pts	13	20
Points in Paint	54	48
Pts off Turnovers	10	14
Bench Points	35	36
Biggest Lead	12	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg