Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Bucks	42%	110	93	96.9	96	102.5
	6	Warriors	58%	113	104	108.3	96	90.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	38.9	20	43%	9	7	3	2	1	2	2	7	10-15	67%	5-15	33%	0-1	0%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	38.2	16	42%	3	4	1	1	2	2	0	3	2-4	50%	4-9	44%	2-9	22%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 30	37.1	22	65%	2	2	0	0	1	4	0	2	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	5-13	38%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	33.0	16	80%	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	5-6	83%	2-4	50%
Taurean Prince #12 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 31	32.2	6	75%	8	1	1	0	3	3	1	7	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	26.0	10	56%	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	15.0	2	25%	5	2	1	0	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	14.2	1	25%	2	0	1	0	1	2	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	5.5	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamaree Bouyea #15 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; UCL Sprain
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	51%	34	19	9	4	9	15	4	30	19-27	70%	19-41	46%	12-38	32%

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12 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	38.9	20	43%	9	7	3	2	1	2	2	7	10-15	67%	5-15	33%	0-1	0%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	38.2	16	42%	3	4	1	1	2	2	0	3	2-4	50%	4-9	44%	2-9	22%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 30	37.1	22	65%	2	2	0	0	1	4	0	2	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	5-13	38%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	33.0	16	80%	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	5-6	83%	2-4	50%
Taurean Prince #12 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 31	32.2	6	75%	8	1	1	0	3	3	1	7	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	26.0	10	56%	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	15.0	2	25%	5	2	1	0	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	14.2	1	25%	2	0	1	0	1	2	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	5.5	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamaree Bouyea #15 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; UCL Sprain
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	51%	34	19	9	4	9	15	4	30	19-27	70%	19-41	46%	12-38	32%

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6 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	37.0	24	71%	8	10	0	0	5	2	2	6	11-11	100%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 35	36.1	3	21%	10	4	2	4	2	5	0	10	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 22	29.1	17	77%	7	1	1	0	2	0	1	6	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	4-7	57%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23	24.5	7	35%	7	3	0	0	0	2	2	5	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 25	23.1	14	70%	4	3	1	0	3	5	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-9	44%

Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22	23.8	10	38%	2	2	0	0	2	4	1	1	6-6	100%	2-8	25%	0-2	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	23.5	15	107%	6	0	1	0	2	2	0	6	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	4-6	67%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	17.4	8	57%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	8.4	3	150%	4	1	0	0	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 29	6.4	0	0%	1	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	6.3	2	50%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	4.4	1	25%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	DND – Rest
Braxton Key #12 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taran Armstrong #1 · NA · 6'5" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	57%	52	25	7	6	18	24	9	43	23-26	88%	15-33	45%	17-44	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.01 50.5%

GSW

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

9

18

50%

GSW

7

18

39%

Midrange

MIL

10

23

43%

GSW

8

15

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

12

18.0

38

32%

47%

GSW

17

25.5

44

39%

58%

Free Throws

MIL

19

27

70%

GSW

23

26

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	22	65%	11.0 / 17
G. Antetokounmpo	20	43%	10.0 / 23
D. Lillard	16	42%	8.0 / 19
B. Lopez	16	80%	8.0 / 10
G. Trent	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Prince	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Porter	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Green	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	24	71%	12.0 / 17
B. Podziemski	17	77%	8.5 / 11
B. Hield	15	107%	7.5 / 7
Q. Post	14	70%	7.0 / 10
J. Kuminga	10	38%	5.0 / 13
G. Payton	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Moody	7	35%	3.5 / 10
D. Green	3	21%	1.5 / 7
G. Santos	3	150%	1.5 / 1
P. Spencer	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Jackson-Davis	1	25%	0.5 / 2
K. Looney	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 115.2 16 114.2	MIL 96.9 GSW 108.3 +11.5
Pace	14 99.9 17 99.4	MIL 102.5 +12.1 GSW 90.3
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.6 18 14.3	MIL 14.1 −1.9 GSW 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.8% 20 53.6%	MIL 46.8% GSW 52.6% +5.8%
TO %	7 12.7% 13 13.2%	MIL 9.9% −7.8% GSW 17.7%
ORB %	30 19.3% 5 27.3%	MIL 8.5% GSW 23.1% +14.6%
FTrt	3 26.8 14 24.4	MIL 34.2 +0.4 GSW 33.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 60.7% 1 71.4%	MIL 61.3% GSW 78.1% +16.8%
STL %	27 7.3% 3 9.4%	MIL 9.4% +2.1% GSW 7.3%
BLK %	20 9.1% 13 9.5%	MIL 12.1% GSW 14.6% +2.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.6% 21 55.3%	MIL 50.5% GSW 57.1% +6.6%
Rim FG%	5 66.9% 21 62.7%	MIL 50.0% +11.1% GSW 38.9%
Mid FG%	13 44.1% 25 39.9%	MIL 43.5% GSW 53.3% +9.8%
3P %	1 38.7% 16 36.4%	MIL 31.6% GSW 38.6% +7.0%
FT %	28 75.0% 25 76.3%	MIL 70.4% GSW 88.5% +18.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 30.0% 23 30.1%	MIL 22.8% GSW 23.4% +0.6%
Mid Att. %	21 27.5% 7 23.1%	MIL 29.1% GSW 19.5% −9.6%
3P Att. %	15 42.4% 2 46.9%	MIL 48.1% GSW 57.1% +9.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	GSW
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	22.5	25.5
Points	93	104
Rebounds	34	52
Assists	19	25
Steals	9	7
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	18 (1)
Fouls	15	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (1)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (3)	43 (2)
Field Goals	31-79	32-77
At-the-Rim FG	9-18	7-18
Midrange FG	10-23	8-15
2-Point FG	19-41	15-33
3-Point FG	12-38	17-44
Free Throws	19-27	23-26
Fast Break Pts	9	18
2nd Chance Pts	0	11
Points in Paint	30	20
Pts off Turnovers	22	14
Bench Points	13	39
Biggest Lead	6	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg