Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 21, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Magic	68%	111	120	120.0	100	96.4
	27	Wizards	32%	104	105	105.0	100	104.7

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+16

-12

104

WAS

+12

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.15 57.7%

WAS

1.07 53.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	30.5	30	63%	8	5	1	0	2	0	1	7	5-6	83%	8-17	47%	3-5	60%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	29.5	16	62%	12	1	0	2	1	2	6	6	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	28.3	11	92%	5	1	1	1	0	1	1	4	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	24.1	21	55%	8	5	0	1	1	3	0	8	2-2	100%	8-14	57%	1-4	25%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	22.5	11	79%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	3-6	50%

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	25.5	13	81%	6	6	0	1	5	2	2	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	21.3	6	75%	5	2	3	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	20.0	9	50%	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	11.0	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	8.7	3	38%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 27	6.7	0	0%	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	6.5	0	0%	1	2	3	2	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	5.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Strain
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Trochlea Cartilage Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	58%	55	25	9	8	12	17	13	42	11-13	85%	29-54	54%	17-42	40%

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14 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	30.5	30	63%	8	5	1	0	2	0	1	7	5-6	83%	8-17	47%	3-5	60%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	29.5	16	62%	12	1	0	2	1	2	6	6	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	28.3	11	92%	5	1	1	1	0	1	1	4	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	24.1	21	55%	8	5	0	1	1	3	0	8	2-2	100%	8-14	57%	1-4	25%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	22.5	11	79%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	3-6	50%

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	25.5	13	81%	6	6	0	1	5	2	2	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	21.3	6	75%	5	2	3	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	20.0	9	50%	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	11.0	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	8.7	3	38%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 27	6.7	0	0%	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	6.5	0	0%	1	2	3	2	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	5.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Strain
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Trochlea Cartilage Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	58%	55	25	9	8	12	17	13	42	11-13	85%	29-54	54%	17-42	40%

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27 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	28.4	19	56%	10	2	0	0	3	0	4	6	2-4	50%	4-9	44%	3-6	50%
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	28.3	7	39%	4	8	2	1	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	28.0	3	30%	6	0	1	0	0	2	0	6	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	27.2	18	69%	2	2	1	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	4-8	50%
Khris Middleton #32 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	22.8	9	35%	3	0	1	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-8	0%	3-5	60%

Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	26.4	2	14%	2	3	0	1	5	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	22.6	14	78%	2	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	22.1	10	83%	5	1	2	0	0	0	1	4	6-7	86%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	20.9	17	77%	6	3	3	1	0	0	1	5	3-3	100%	1-6	17%	4-4	100%
Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	6.6	4	67%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23	6.6	2	50%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Index Finger; Partial Extensor Hood Tear Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	54%	41	23	11	4	14	10	8	33	14-19	74%	20-48	42%	17-39	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.15 57.7%

WAS

1.07 53.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

86%

WAS

69%

Midrange

ORL

43%

WAS

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

25.5

40%

61%

WAS

25.5

44%

65%

Free Throws

ORL

85%

WAS

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	30	63%	15.0 / 24
F. Wagner	21	55%	10.5 / 19
W. Carter	16	62%	8.0 / 13
A. Black	13	81%	6.5 / 8
K. Caldwell-Pope	11	92%	5.5 / 6
C. Joseph	11	79%	5.5 / 7
T. da Silva	9	50%	4.5 / 9
C. Houstan	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Howard	3	38%	1.5 / 4
G. Harris	0	-	0.0 / 4
J. Isaac	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. McClung	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Sarr	19	56%	9.5 / 17
J. Poole	18	69%	9.0 / 13
T. Vukcevic	17	77%	8.5 / 11
A. Johnson	14	78%	7.0 / 9
A. Gill	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Middleton	9	35%	4.5 / 13
K. George	7	39%	3.5 / 9
C. Jones	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Champagnie	3	30%	1.5 / 5
B. Carrington	2	14%	1.0 / 7
J. Thor	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 109.1 30 105.8	ORL 120.0 +15.0 WAS 105.0
Pace	30 96.4 4 101.8	ORL 96.4 WAS 104.7 +8.4
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.5 23 14.0	ORL 14.9 WAS 13.7 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 51.0% 28 51.2%	ORL 56.8% +4.5% WAS 52.3%
TO %	18 13.5% 27 14.6%	ORL 11.3% −2.3% WAS 13.6%
ORB %	17 25.3% 25 22.7%	ORL 28.3% +12.3% WAS 16.0%
FTrt	2 26.9 26 22.9	ORL 13.5 WAS 21.8 +8.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 60.3% 12 63.7%	ORL 54.3% WAS 62.2% +7.9%
STL %	6 9.2% 25 7.4%	ORL 9.0% WAS 11.0% +2.0%
BLK %	1 11.9% 12 9.6%	ORL 16.7% +9.3% WAS 7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 53.3% 29 53.2%	ORL 57.7% +4.1% WAS 53.6%
Rim FG%	19 63.6% 17 63.7%	ORL 85.7% +16.9% WAS 68.8%
Mid FG%	22 41.4% 30 38.0%	ORL 42.5% +14.4% WAS 28.1%
3P %	30 31.8% 29 33.5%	ORL 40.5% WAS 43.6% +3.1%
FT %	19 77.5% 16 77.8%	ORL 84.6% +10.9% WAS 73.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 31.5% 21 30.5%	ORL 14.6% WAS 18.4% +3.8%
Mid Att. %	19 27.4% 11 25.9%	ORL 41.7% WAS 36.8% −4.9%
3P Att. %	18 41.1% 10 43.6%	ORL 43.8% WAS 44.8% +1.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Game Totals	ORL	WAS
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	24.9	22.9
Points	120	105
Rebounds	55	41
Assists	25	23
Steals	9	11
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	14 (1)
Fouls	17	10
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (0)	33 (2)
Field Goals	46-96	37-87
At-the-Rim FG	12-14	11-16
Midrange FG	17-40	9-32
2-Point FG	29-54	20-48
3-Point FG	17-42	17-39
Free Throws	11-13	14-19
Fast Break Pts	24	25
2nd Chance Pts	13	7
Points in Paint	48	38
Pts off Turnovers	20	21
Bench Points	31	49
Biggest Lead	33	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg