for complete access.
All Games Friday, March 21, 2025
FinalWin Prob.pScore
7
Rockets
61%109
102
18
Heat
39%105
98
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
106.39695.7
MIA logo MIA
103.29595.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.102
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:02.4HeatBam Adebayo makes three point running pullup jump shot102
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.1HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound102
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.4RocketsJalen Green misses two point driving finger roll layup102
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.9RocketsDillon Brooks defensive rebound102
99.8%
95
0.2%
Q4 - 0:31.7HeatAlperen Sengun blocks Davion Mitchell's three point stepback jump shot102
99.7%
95
0.3%
Q4 - 0:41.1RocketsDillon Brooks turnover (bad pass) (Kel'el Ware steals)102
98.9%
95
1.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point running jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)102
99.1%
95
0.9%
Q4 - 1:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound102
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 1:04RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot102
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 1:24HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Fred VanVleet steals)102
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 1:34RocketsFred VanVleet makes two point driving hook shot102
99.2%
92
0.8%
Q4 - 1:55HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point fadeaway jump shot100
98.4%
92
1.6%
Q4 - 2:17RocketsAmen Thompson makes two point running dunk100
99.1%
90
0.9%
Q4 - 2:20HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Amen Thompson steals)98
98.7%
90
1.3%
Q4 - 2:31RocketsFred VanVleet makes two point pullup jump shot98
97.7%
90
2.3%
Q4 - 2:48RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound96
96.8%
90
3.2%
Q4 - 2:51HeatKel'el Ware misses two point hook shot96
94.3%
90
5.7%
Q4 - 3:04HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound96
92.4%
90
7.6%
Q4 - 3:08RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point turnaround hook shot96
93.5%
90
6.5%
Q4 - 3:26RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound96
95.5%
90
4.5%
Q4 - 3:29HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot96
94.8%
90
5.2%
Q4 - 3:43HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound96
89.1%
90
10.9%
Q4 - 3:46RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot96
90.3%
90
9.7%
Q4 - 4:00RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound96
92.6%
90
7.4%
Q4 - 4:03HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot96
91.7%
90
8.3%
Q4 - 4:15RocketsRockets turnover (shot clock violation)96
89.5%
90
10.5%
Q4 - 4:44HeatKel'el Ware makes two point turnaround hook shot96
92.8%
90
7.2%
Q4 - 4:55HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound96
94.7%
88
5.3%
Q4 - 4:56RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point tip layup96
95.3%
88
4.7%
Q4 - 4:56RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive rebound96
96.4%
88
3.6%
Q4 - 5:00RocketsJalen Green misses two point driving reverse layup96
95.3%
88
4.7%
Q4 - 5:12RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound96
94.8%
88
5.2%
Q4 - 5:17HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot96
94.3%
88
5.7%
Q4 - 5:28RocketsDillon Brooks turnover (offensive foul)96
92.9%
88
7.1%
Q4 - 5:28RocketsDillon Brooks offensive foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)96
94.9%
88
5.1%
Q4 - 5:33HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)96
94.9%
88
5.1%
Q4 - 5:33HeatHeat offensive rebound96
92.9%
88
7.1%
Q4 - 5:33HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot96
94.3%
88
5.7%
Q4 - 5:57RocketsSteven Adams personal foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)96
92.9%
88
7.1%
Q4 - 5:57HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound96
92.9%
88
7.1%
Q4 - 6:00RocketsAmen Thompson misses two point pullup jump shot96
93.6%
88
6.4%
Q4 - 6:28HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 296
93.5%
88
6.5%
Q4 - 6:28HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 296
93.8%
87
6.2%
Q4 - 6:28RocketsTari Eason shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)96
94.2%
86
5.8%
Q4 - 6:35RocketsAmen Thompson makes two point running dunk96
94.8%
86
5.2%
Q4 - 6:39RocketsSteven Adams defensive rebound94
93.5%
86
6.5%
Q4 - 6:41HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving layup94
92.9%
86
7.1%
Q4 - 6:56RocketsAmen Thompson makes two point driving layup94
91.2%
86
8.8%
Q4 - 7:09RocketsAmen Thompson defensive rebound92
87.9%
86
12.1%
Q4 - 7:09HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup92
86.8%
86
13.2%
Q4 - 7:20RocketsAmen Thompson makes two point stepback jump shot (Jalen Green assists)92
84.1%
86
15.9%
Q4 - 7:24HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)90
81.3%
86
18.7%
Q4 - 7:33RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound90
81.3%
86
18.7%
Q4 - 7:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot90
79.8%
86
20.2%
Q4 - 7:57RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot (Steven Adams assists)90
76.0%
86
24.0%
Q4 - 7:59RocketsSteven Adams offensive rebound87
66.7%
86
33.3%
Q4 - 8:02RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot87
61.8%
86
38.2%
Q4 - 8:04RocketsRockets offensive rebound87
66.0%
86
34.0%
Q4 - 8:05RocketsDavion Mitchell blocks Fred VanVleet's two point pullup jump shot87
61.8%
86
38.2%
Q4 - 8:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)87
66.1%
86
33.9%
Q4 - 8:35RocketsAmen Thompson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)87
70.7%
84
29.3%
Q4 - 8:46HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound87
70.7%
84
29.3%
Q4 - 8:49RocketsFred VanVleet misses regular free throw 2 of 287
71.5%
84
28.5%
Q4 - 8:49RocketsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 1 of 287
75.0%
84
25.0%
Q4 - 8:49HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)86
74.4%
84
25.6%
Q4 - 9:11HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot86
71.0%
84
29.0%
Q4 - 9:31RocketsFred VanVleet turnover (offensive foul)86
74.8%
82
25.2%
Q4 - 9:31RocketsFred VanVleet offensive foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)86
79.5%
82
20.5%
Q4 - 9:45HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Steven Adams steals)86
79.5%
82
20.5%
Q4 - 9:58RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point pullup jump shot86
74.9%
82
25.1%
Q4 - 10:09RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound83
65.6%
82
34.4%
Q4 - 10:12HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot83
63.9%
82
36.1%
Q4 - 10:39RocketsFred VanVleet makes two point driving finger roll layup83
60.0%
82
40.0%
Q4 - 10:58HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (lost ball) (Amen Thompson steals)81
55.4%
82
44.6%
Q4 - 11:07HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound81
50.0%
82
50.0%
Q4 - 11:10HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot81
53.7%
82
46.3%
Q4 - 11:25RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Tari Eason assists)81
50.0%
82
50.0%
Q4 - 11:27RocketsSteven Adams offensive rebound78
40.1%
82
59.9%
Q4 - 11:30RocketsAmen Thompson misses two point pullup jump shot78
36.6%
82
63.4%
Q4 - 11:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)78
40.1%
82
59.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.78
44.9%
80
55.1%
Q3 - 0:00.5RocketsJalen Green makes two point stepback jump shot78
46.2%
80
53.8%
Q3 - 0:17.6RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound76
41.4%
80
58.6%
Q3 - 0:21.2HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot76
39.9%
80
60.1%
Q3 - 0:28.3RocketsSteven Adams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)76
36.7%
80
63.3%
Q3 - 0:38.4HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point running finger roll layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)76
41.3%
80
58.7%
Q3 - 0:41.1RocketsAmen Thompson turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)76
46.1%
78
53.9%
Q3 - 0:49.9RocketsJalen Green defensive rebound76
50.9%
78
49.1%
Q3 - 0:53.7HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot76
49.5%
78
50.5%
Q3 - 1:16RocketsJabari Smith Jr. turnover (3-second violation)76
47.1%
78
52.9%
Q3 - 1:27RocketsSteven Adams defensive rebound76
51.7%
78
48.3%
Q3 - 1:29HeatAmen Thompson blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot76
50.3%
78
49.7%
Q3 - 1:45RocketsSteven Adams makes two point tip layup76
47.0%
78
53.0%
Q3 - 1:46RocketsSteven Adams offensive rebound74
42.6%
78
57.4%
Q3 - 1:47RocketsAmen Thompson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot74
39.4%
78
60.6%
Q3 - 1:54RocketsAmen Thompson defensive rebound74
42.6%
78
57.4%
Q3 - 1:58HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot74
41.2%
78
58.8%
Q3 - 2:14RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 274
39.2%
78
60.8%
Q3 - 2:14RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 273
38.5%
78
61.5%
Q3 - 2:14HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)72
37.7%
78
62.3%
Q3 - 2:26HeatKel'el Ware makes two point tip dunk72
35.5%
78
64.5%
Q3 - 2:26HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound72
39.2%
76
60.8%
Q3 - 2:27HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving finger roll layup72
42.3%
76
57.7%
Q3 - 2:40HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound72
39.1%
76
60.9%
Q3 - 2:42RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point putback layup72
40.5%
76
59.5%
Q3 - 2:45RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive rebound72
43.7%
76
56.3%
Q3 - 2:46RocketsFred VanVleet misses two point driving floating jump shot72
40.5%
76
59.5%
Q3 - 3:08HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)72
44.7%
76
55.3%
Q3 - 3:11RocketsTari Eason turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)72
39.8%
76
60.2%
Q3 - 3:14RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound72
44.7%
76
55.3%
Q3 - 3:16HeatAlperen Sengun blocks Kel'el Ware's two point alley-oop dunk72
43.2%
76
56.8%
Q3 - 3:29RocketsTari Eason turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)72
39.8%
76
60.2%
Q3 - 3:31RocketsTari Eason offensive rebound72
44.7%
76
55.3%
Q3 - 3:34RocketsAlperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 272
40.4%
76
59.6%
Q3 - 3:34RocketsAlperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 272
42.9%
76
57.1%
Q3 - 3:34HeatKel'el Ware personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)72
45.8%
76
54.2%
Q3 - 3:44HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot72
44.6%
76
55.4%
Q3 - 4:00HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound72
48.0%
74
52.0%
Q3 - 4:03RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point driving floating jump shot72
50.5%
74
49.5%
Q3 - 4:21HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 272
53.5%
74
46.5%
Q3 - 4:21HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 272
54.5%
73
45.5%
Q3 - 4:21RocketsFred VanVleet shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)72
55.6%
72
44.4%
Q3 - 4:44RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point turnaround hook shot72
57.1%
72
42.9%
Q3 - 4:59HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point tip layup70
53.5%
72
46.5%
Q3 - 5:00HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound70
57.0%
70
43.0%
Q3 - 5:01HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup70
60.1%
70
39.9%
Q3 - 5:19RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point stepback jump shot70
57.3%
70
42.7%
Q3 - 5:41HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point pullup jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)67
49.9%
70
50.1%
Q3 - 5:57RocketsAmen Thompson makes two point running dunk67
53.5%
68
46.5%
Q3 - 6:01HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (lost ball) (Amen Thompson steals)65
50.8%
68
49.2%
Q3 - 6:21RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Tari Eason assists)65
46.6%
68
53.4%
Q3 - 6:25HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Amen Thompson steals)62
39.7%
68
60.3%
Q3 - 6:27HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound62
35.8%
68
64.2%
Q3 - 6:28RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point driving hook shot62
37.0%
68
63.0%
Q3 - 6:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Alperen Sengun steals)62
39.7%
68
60.3%
Q3 - 6:53RocketsDillon Brooks makes regular free throw 2 of 262
35.7%
68
64.3%
Q3 - 6:53RocketsDillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 261
35.2%
68
64.8%
Q3 - 6:53HeatAndrew Wiggins shooting foul (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)60
34.6%
68
65.4%
Q3 - 6:58RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive rebound60
32.8%
68
67.2%
Q3 - 7:01RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot60
31.7%
68
68.3%
Q3 - 7:27HeatKel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)60
34.1%
68
65.9%
Q3 - 7:42HeatHeat defensive rebound60
40.3%
65
59.7%
Q3 - 7:45RocketsJalen Green misses three point jump shot60
41.5%
65
58.5%
Q3 - 7:53RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound60
44.2%
65
55.8%
Q3 - 7:57HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot60
43.0%
65
57.0%
Q3 - 8:04RocketsDillon Brooks personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)60
40.9%
65
59.1%
Q3 - 8:11RocketsAlperen Sengun turnover (out of bounds lost ball)60
40.9%
65
59.1%
Q3 - 8:16RocketsAmen Thompson defensive rebound60
45.0%
65
55.0%
Q3 - 8:20HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot60
43.7%
65
56.3%
Q3 - 8:37RocketsFred VanVleet makes two point stepback jump shot60
40.8%
65
59.2%
Q3 - 8:44HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Fred VanVleet steals)58
38.2%
65
61.8%
Q3 - 9:04RocketsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 2 of 258
35.5%
65
64.5%
Q3 - 9:04RocketsFred VanVleet misses regular free throw 1 of 257
35.1%
65
64.9%
Q3 - 9:04HeatAndrew Wiggins shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)57
37.8%
65
62.2%
Q3 - 9:07RocketsJalen Green defensive rebound57
36.1%
65
63.9%
Q3 - 9:10HeatKel'el Ware misses two point pullup jump shot57
35.0%
65
65.0%
Q3 - 9:25RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point pullup jump shot57
32.4%
65
67.6%
Q3 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)54
27.3%
65
72.7%
Q3 - 9:39HeatKel'el Ware turnover (lost ball) (Amen Thompson steals)54
27.3%
65
72.7%
Q3 - 9:40HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound54
24.2%
65
75.8%
Q3 - 9:42RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point turnaround hook shot54
25.1%
65
74.9%
Q3 - 9:52HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)54
27.3%
65
72.7%
Q3 - 10:05HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point stepback jump shot54
28.5%
65
71.5%
Q3 - 10:15RocketsAmen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 254
30.5%
63
69.5%
Q3 - 10:15RocketsAmen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 253
29.8%
63
70.2%
Q3 - 10:15HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)53
31.7%
63
68.3%
Q3 - 10:26HeatKel'el Ware makes two point tip layup53
31.1%
63
68.9%
Q3 - 10:26HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound53
33.3%
61
66.7%
Q3 - 10:27HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot53
35.8%
61
64.2%
Q3 - 10:55RocketsAmen Thompson makes two point tip dunk53
33.3%
61
66.7%
Q3 - 10:56RocketsAmen Thompson offensive rebound51
31.1%
61
68.9%
Q3 - 10:57RocketsKel'el Ware blocks Dillon Brooks's two point driving floating jump shot51
28.8%
61
71.2%
Q3 - 11:03RocketsAmen Thompson defensive rebound51
31.7%
61
68.3%
Q3 - 11:07HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot51
30.8%
61
69.2%
Q3 - 11:17HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound51
28.7%
61
71.3%
Q3 - 11:19RocketsAmen Thompson misses two point pullup jump shot51
29.6%
61
70.4%
Q3 - 11:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround bank hook shot51
31.7%
61
68.3%
Q3 - 11:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound51
34.2%
59
65.8%
Q3 - 11:46RocketsJalen Green misses three point jump shot51
35.1%
59
64.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
37.4%
59
62.6%
Q2 - 0:00.5HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 3 of 351
38.5%
59
61.5%
Q2 - 0:00.5HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 351
39.2%
58
60.8%
Q2 - 0:00.5HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 351
40.0%
57
60.0%
Q2 - 0:00.5RocketsDillon Brooks shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)51
40.8%
56
59.2%
Q2 - 0:07.2RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point pullup jump shot51
44.6%
56
55.4%
Q2 - 0:25.5HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)48
38.4%
56
61.6%
Q2 - 0:37.3HeatHeat defensive rebound48
41.4%
54
58.6%
Q2 - 0:40.7RocketsJalen Green misses two point stepback jump shot48
42.3%
54
57.7%
Q2 - 0:49.8HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)48
44.3%
54
55.7%
Q2 - 1:03HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)48
45.3%
54
54.7%
Q2 - 1:12HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound48
51.6%
51
48.4%
Q2 - 1:15RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point stepback jump shot48
52.4%
51
47.6%
Q2 - 1:36HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point running dunk (Tyler Herro assists)48
54.3%
51
45.7%
Q2 - 1:42HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound48
57.5%
49
42.5%
Q2 - 1:43RocketsKel'el Ware blocks Alperen Sengun's two point turnaround hook shot48
58.3%
49
41.7%
Q2 - 1:46RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive rebound48
60.2%
49
39.8%
Q2 - 1:47RocketsAndrew Wiggins blocks Alperen Sengun's two point driving floating jump shot48
58.3%
49
41.7%
Q2 - 2:01RocketsJalen Green defensive rebound48
60.7%
49
39.3%
Q2 - 2:03HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot48
59.7%
49
40.3%
Q2 - 2:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound48
57.4%
49
42.6%
Q2 - 2:17RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point jump shot48
58.4%
49
41.6%
Q2 - 2:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving finger roll layup (Andrew Wiggins assists)48
60.6%
49
39.4%
Q2 - 2:52RocketsAmen Thompson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)48
63.0%
47
37.0%
Q2 - 2:55HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Amen Thompson steals)48
66.1%
47
33.9%
Q2 - 3:09RocketsTari Eason makes two point running layup (Amen Thompson assists)48
63.1%
47
36.9%
Q2 - 3:14HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Dillon Brooks steals)46
61.1%
47
38.9%
Q2 - 3:25RocketsTari Eason turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)46
57.7%
47
42.3%
Q2 - 3:38HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving dunk (Tyler Herro assists)46
61.1%
47
38.9%
Q2 - 3:51RocketsDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)46
63.1%
45
36.9%
Q2 - 3:53RocketsAmen Thompson offensive rebound43
58.4%
45
41.6%
Q2 - 3:56RocketsJalen Green misses two point pullup jump shot43
56.0%
45
44.0%
Q2 - 4:14HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 243
58.7%
45
41.3%
Q2 - 4:14HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 243
59.0%
44
41.0%
Q2 - 4:14RocketsJabari Smith Jr. shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)43
59.3%
43
40.7%
Q2 - 4:36RocketsAlperen Sengun turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)43
60.9%
43
39.1%
Q2 - 4:52HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point stepback jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)43
63.9%
43
36.1%
Q2 - 5:09HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound43
66.2%
41
33.8%
Q2 - 5:12RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot43
67.1%
41
32.9%
Q2 - 5:30HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)43
69.1%
41
30.9%
Q2 - 5:43HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound43
73.0%
38
27.0%
Q2 - 5:46RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot43
73.8%
38
26.2%
Q2 - 6:11HeatKel'el Ware makes two point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)43
75.4%
38
24.6%
Q2 - 6:27RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)43
76.9%
36
23.1%
Q2 - 6:47RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound40
73.4%
36
26.6%
Q2 - 6:49HeatAndrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 2 of 240
73.1%
36
26.9%
Q2 - 6:49HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 240
71.8%
36
28.2%
Q2 - 6:49RocketsJalen Green shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)40
72.4%
35
27.6%
Q2 - 7:02RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point turnaround hook shot40
72.9%
35
27.1%
Q2 - 7:20HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 238
71.0%
35
29.0%
Q2 - 7:20HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 238
71.6%
34
28.4%
Q2 - 7:20RocketsAlperen Sengun shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)38
72.1%
33
27.9%
Q2 - 7:35HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound38
72.9%
33
27.1%
Q2 - 7:37RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 238
73.2%
33
26.8%
Q2 - 7:37RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 238
74.6%
33
25.4%
Q2 - 7:37HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)38
76.2%
33
23.8%
Q2 - 7:47RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound38
75.1%
33
24.9%
Q2 - 7:50HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot38
74.5%
33
25.5%
Q2 - 8:03RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point running pullup jump shot38
72.7%
33
27.3%
Q2 - 8:05RocketsSteven Adams defensive rebound35
68.8%
33
31.2%
Q2 - 8:10HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot35
68.0%
33
32.0%
Q2 - 8:28RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point dunk (Amen Thompson assists)35
66.3%
33
33.7%
Q2 - 8:29RocketsAmen Thompson offensive rebound33
64.3%
33
35.7%
Q2 - 8:34RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point driving hook shot33
62.5%
33
37.5%
Q2 - 8:50RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound33
64.3%
33
35.7%
Q2 - 8:53HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot33
63.5%
33
36.5%
Q2 - 9:08HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound33
61.5%
33
38.5%
Q2 - 9:12RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses three point running jump shot33
62.3%
33
37.7%
Q2 - 9:16RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound33
63.9%
33
36.1%
Q2 - 9:19HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving floating bank jump shot33
63.2%
33
36.8%
Q2 - 9:33RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)33
61.5%
33
38.5%
Q2 - 9:53HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point stepback jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)30
56.8%
33
43.2%
Q2 - 10:14RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point turnaround hook shot30
61.9%
30
38.1%
Q2 - 10:34HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)28
59.6%
30
40.4%
Q2 - 10:44RocketsTari Eason makes regular free throw 2 of 228
64.1%
27
35.9%
Q2 - 10:44RocketsTari Eason makes regular free throw 1 of 227
63.6%
27
36.4%
Q2 - 10:44HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Tari Eason draws the foul)26
63.0%
27
37.0%
Q2 - 10:44RocketsTari Eason offensive rebound26
61.9%
27
38.1%
Q2 - 10:44RocketsAmen Thompson misses two point jump shot26
60.2%
27
39.8%
Q2 - 10:54HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Tari Eason draws the foul)26
61.9%
27
38.1%
Q2 - 11:10RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound26
62.1%
27
37.9%
Q2 - 11:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot26
61.4%
27
38.6%
Q2 - 11:39RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)26
59.7%
27
40.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
55.2%
27
44.8%
Q1 - 0:00.4RocketsAmen Thompson defensive rebound23
55.3%
27
44.7%
Q1 - 0:01.5HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving floating bank jump shot23
54.5%
27
45.5%
Q1 - 0:06.5RocketsAmen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 123
52.9%
27
47.1%
Q1 - 0:06.5HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)22
52.3%
27
47.7%
Q1 - 0:24.6HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)20
48.3%
27
51.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0RocketsRockets turnover (shot clock violation)20
52.9%
24
47.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0RocketsRockets offensive rebound20
55.3%
24
44.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0RocketsTari Eason misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot20
53.6%
24
46.4%
Q1 - 1:00HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (out of bounds bad pass)20
55.3%
24
44.7%
Q1 - 1:06RocketsJabari Smith Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)20
53.4%
24
46.6%
Q1 - 1:21HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)20
55.6%
24
44.4%
Q1 - 1:31RocketsAmen Thompson makes two point driving layup20
57.9%
22
42.1%
Q1 - 1:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)18
55.5%
22
44.5%
Q1 - 2:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound18
58.0%
20
42.0%
Q1 - 2:04RocketsSteven Adams misses regular free throw 2 of 218
58.3%
20
41.7%
Q1 - 2:04RocketsSteven Adams misses regular free throw 1 of 218
59.3%
20
40.7%
Q1 - 2:04HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)18
60.3%
20
39.7%
Q1 - 2:23HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup18
60.5%
20
39.5%
Q1 - 2:45RocketsTari Eason makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)18
62.3%
18
37.7%
Q1 - 3:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Kel'el Ware assists)15
58.3%
18
41.7%
Q1 - 3:09HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound15
59.9%
16
40.1%
Q1 - 3:12RocketsJalen Green misses three point jump shot15
60.7%
16
39.3%
Q1 - 3:22RocketsSteven Adams defensive rebound15
62.4%
16
37.6%
Q1 - 3:24HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup15
61.7%
16
38.3%
Q1 - 3:42RocketsSteven Adams makes two point tip dunk15
59.9%
16
40.1%
Q1 - 3:43RocketsSteven Adams offensive rebound13
58.3%
16
41.7%
Q1 - 3:44RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup jump shot13
56.5%
16
43.5%
Q1 - 3:58HeatKel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)13
58.3%
16
41.7%
Q1 - 4:03HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound13
62.3%
13
37.7%
Q1 - 4:06RocketsTari Eason misses two point running layup13
62.9%
13
37.1%
Q1 - 4:11HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Green steals)13
64.3%
13
35.7%
Q1 - 4:25HeatHeat defensive rebound13
62.2%
13
37.8%
Q1 - 4:26RocketsTari Eason misses two point driving hook shot13
62.8%
13
37.2%
Q1 - 4:50HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup13
64.2%
13
35.8%
Q1 - 5:01RocketsDillon Brooks turnover (offensive foul)13
65.8%
11
34.2%
Q1 - 5:01RocketsDillon Brooks offensive foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)13
67.5%
11
32.5%
Q1 - 5:14RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound13
67.5%
11
32.5%
Q1 - 5:16HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 113
67.2%
11
32.8%
Q1 - 5:16RocketsSteven Adams shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)13
66.2%
11
33.8%
Q1 - 5:21RocketsTari Eason turnover (bad pass) (Kel'el Ware steals)13
68.8%
9
31.2%
Q1 - 5:24RocketsTari Eason offensive rebound13
70.4%
9
29.6%
Q1 - 5:28RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point running pullup jump shot13
69.3%
9
30.7%
Q1 - 5:33RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound13
70.4%
9
29.6%
Q1 - 5:36HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot13
69.8%
9
30.2%
Q1 - 6:01RocketsJalen Green makes two point pullup jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)13
68.6%
9
31.4%
Q1 - 6:16RocketsRockets offensive rebound11
67.1%
9
32.9%
Q1 - 6:20RocketsTari Eason misses three point jump shot11
66.1%
9
33.9%
Q1 - 6:35HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)11
67.0%
9
33.0%
Q1 - 6:44HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound11
68.3%
7
31.7%
Q1 - 6:47RocketsAlperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 211
68.4%
7
31.6%
Q1 - 6:47RocketsAlperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 211
69.2%
7
30.8%
Q1 - 6:47HeatAndrew Wiggins shooting foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)11
70.2%
7
29.8%
Q1 - 7:05HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Fred VanVleet steals)11
69.6%
7
30.4%
Q1 - 7:17HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound11
68.0%
7
32.0%
Q1 - 7:19RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup jump shot11
68.4%
7
31.6%
Q1 - 7:31HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot11
69.2%
7
30.8%
Q1 - 7:36HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound11
70.2%
5
29.8%
Q1 - 7:39RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point jump shot11
70.5%
5
29.5%
Q1 - 7:50RocketsJalen Green defensive rebound11
71.2%
5
28.8%
Q1 - 7:54HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point bank jump shot11
70.7%
5
29.3%
Q1 - 8:03RocketsFred VanVleet personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)11
69.8%
5
30.2%
Q1 - 8:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound11
69.6%
5
30.4%
Q1 - 8:12RocketsJaime Jaquez Jr. blocks Amen Thompson's two point layup11
70.0%
5
30.0%
Q1 - 8:14RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive rebound11
70.8%
5
29.2%
Q1 - 8:18RocketsJalen Green misses three point running jump shot11
69.8%
5
30.2%
Q1 - 8:23HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Dillon Brooks steals)11
70.6%
5
29.4%
Q1 - 8:34RocketsDillon Brooks makes two point running layup11
69.1%
5
30.9%
Q1 - 8:38HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Dillon Brooks steals)9
68.2%
5
31.8%
Q1 - 8:48RocketsDillon Brooks makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot9
66.8%
5
33.2%
Q1 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Amen Thompson steals)7
65.5%
5
34.5%
Q1 - 9:22HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound7
64.3%
5
35.7%
Q1 - 9:25RocketsJalen Green misses two point stepback jump shot7
64.5%
5
35.5%
Q1 - 9:43RocketsAmen Thompson defensive rebound7
64.9%
5
35.1%
Q1 - 9:44HeatJalen Green blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point turnaround hook shot7
64.6%
5
35.4%
Q1 - 9:53RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point pullup jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)7
63.8%
5
36.2%
Q1 - 10:11HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)4
62.1%
5
37.9%
Q1 - 10:27RocketsDillon Brooks makes two point driving layup4
63.1%
2
36.9%
Q1 - 10:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (back court violation)2
62.4%
2
37.6%
Q1 - 10:49HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound2
61.6%
2
38.4%
Q1 - 10:50RocketsJalen Green misses two point driving finger roll layup2
61.8%
2
38.2%
Q1 - 11:14HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)2
61.8%
2
38.2%
Q1 - 11:19HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound2
61.9%
0
38.1%
Q1 - 11:23HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot2
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 11:39RocketsJalen Green makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Amen Thompson assists)2
61.4%
0
38.6%
Q1 - 11:43HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Alperen Sengun steals)0
61.1%
0
38.9%
Q1 - 12:00Alperen Sengun vs. Kel'el Ware (Bam Adebayo gains possession)0
60.7%
0
39.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.03 51.5%
MIA
1.21 60.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
15
28
54%
MIA
14
19
74%
Midrange
HOU
10
28
36%
MIA
14
30
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
14
21.0
28
50%
75%
MIA
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
Free Throws
HOU
10
21
48%
MIA
12
14
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
F. VanVleet3797%18.5 / 19
A. Thompson1860%9.0 / 15
D. Brooks1146%5.5 / 12
J. Smith1169%5.5 / 8
A. Sengun824%4.0 / 17
T. Eason750%3.5 / 7
J. Green623%3.0 / 13
S. Adams467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Wiggins3088%15.0 / 17
B. Adebayo1657%8.0 / 14
K. Ware1680%8.0 / 10
D. Mitchell1260%6.0 / 10
T. Herro833%4.0 / 12
H. Highsmith880%4.0 / 5
J. Jaquez440%2.0 / 5
D. Robinson440%2.0 / 5
A. Burks0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
81
+18
-15
99
MIA
75
+6
-20
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.03 51.5%
MIA
1.21 60.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.9
112.4
HOU 106.3 +3.1
MIA 103.2
Pace
99.0
97.2
HOU 95.7 +0.4
MIA 95.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.9
HOU 15.1 +0.1
MIA 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.3%
54.4%
HOU 54.8%
MIA 58.9% +4.1%
TO %
13.1%
12.8%
HOU 15.4% +5.6%
MIA 21.0%
ORB %
31.7%
22.3%
HOU 34.1% +20.2%
MIA 13.9%
FTrt
24.2
23.2
HOU 25.0 +5.8
MIA 19.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.9%
65.3%
HOU 35.9%
MIA 65.8% +29.9%
STL %
8.4%
8.3%
HOU 17.7% +9.3%
MIA 8.4%
BLK %
9.3%
7.6%
HOU 8.2%
MIA 8.9% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
56.0%
HOU 51.5%
MIA 60.5% +9.0%
Rim FG%
61.5%
62.5%
HOU 53.6%
MIA 73.7% +20.1%
Mid FG%
40.4%
44.4%
HOU 35.7%
MIA 46.7% +11.0%
3P %
35.3%
36.7%
HOU 50.0% +8.3%
MIA 41.7%
FT %
73.8%
79.1%
HOU 47.6%
MIA 85.7% +38.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
29.6%
HOU 33.3% +7.3%
MIA 26.0%
Mid Att. %
28.3%
27.5%
HOU 33.3% +7.8%
MIA 41.1%
3P Att. %
38.4%
42.9%
HOU 33.3% +0.5%
MIA 32.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points10298
Rebounds4634
Assists1425
Steals178
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)15 (2)20 (1)
Fouls1416
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)29 (3)
Field Goals39-8438-73
At-the-Rim FG15-2814-19
Midrange FG10-2814-30
2-Point FG25-5628-49
3-Point FG14-2810-24
Free Throws10-2112-14
Fast Break Pts1610
2nd Chance Pts238
Points in Paint4044
Pts off Turnovers2415
Bench Points2224
Biggest Lead1011

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
7 Houston Rockets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Fred VanVleet
#5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 31
36.1
37
97%
0
3
3
0
1
3
0
0
2-4
50%
4-6
67%
9-11
82%
Amen Thompson
#1 · PF · 6'7" 200 · 22
34.5
18
60%
9
5
7
1
2
1
3
6
2-3
67%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
Dillon Brooks
#9 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 29
34.0
11
46%
1
0
3
0
3
4
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-7
14%
Alperen Sengun
#28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23
33.6
8
24%
10
2
2
2
2
1
5
5
0-4
0%
4-15
27%
0-0
-
Jalen Green
#4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 23
32.2
6
23%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-4
0%
Tari Eason
#17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24
27.2
7
50%
8
2
0
0
4
1
3
5
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
Jabari Smith Jr.
#10 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 22
21.8
11
69%
6
0
0
0
2
1
0
6
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
3-4
75%
Steven Adams
#12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32
20.5
4
67%
8
1
1
0
1
2
4
4
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Aaron Holiday
#0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 28
DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae'Sean Tate
#8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 29
DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green
#32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP – Coach's Decision
Jock Landale
#2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 29
DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Whitmore
#7 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams
#19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
David Roddy
#21 · PF · 6'4" 255 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jack McVeigh
#58 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Reed Sheppard
#15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Thumb; Avulsion Fracture
N'Faly Dante
#3 · C · 6'11" 230 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
52%
46
14
17
4
15
14
15
31
10-21
48%
25-56
45%
14-28
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.