Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Win Prob.pScoreScore
13Rockets
16Heat
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Alperen Sengun
C · 6'10" 243 · 22.7
30.9
1
7-12
56%
Jalen Green
G · 6'6" 186 · 23.1
28.6
1
4-8
51%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 29.2
28.3
1
3-5
48%
Jabari Smith Jr.
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.9
27.1
0
3-5
52%
Tari Eason
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.9
26.5
2
4-7
54%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 31.1
19.3
1
1-2
47%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.7
17.1
1
2-4
58%
N'Faly Dante
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.4
16.7
0
2-3
55%
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 28.5
15.1
1
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 38.6
12.4
0
1-2
59%
Cam Whitmore
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.7
10.0
0
1-2
53%
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 24.0
8.9
0
1-2
51%
Jock Landale
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.4
7.9
0
1-2
56%
Jae'Sean Tate
F · 6'4" 230 · 29.4
7.5
0
1-1
55%
Nate Williams
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.1
6.9
0
1-2
53%
Jack McVeigh
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 28.7
5.1
0
0-1
52%
Reed Sheppard
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.7
Amen Thompson
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.7
34.3
1
6-12
54%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.2
31.0
1
5-9
53%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 26.5
25.7
1
2-3
53%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
25.7
1
1-3
58%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 30.1
25.1
1
3-7
50%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
25.0
1
2-3
57%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.9
21.4
1
3-5
59%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.0
19.5
1
2-4
50%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.7
14.0
0
1-1
42%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 24.1
12.1
0
2-3
54%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
10.1
0
1-1
53%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 31.5
9.0
0
1-2
49%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.5
8.5
0
1-1
50%
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
8.0
0
1-1
46%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
3.7
0
0-1
52%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.3
3.0
0
0-1
53%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.8
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.