Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 21, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Pelicans	15%	104	93	94.9	98	104.7
	5	Timberwolves	85%	120	134	134.0	100	94.0

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

-25

MIN

+14

-13

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.15 57.4%

MIN

1.33 66.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	28.2	5	36%	10	2	0	1	3	3	3	7	3-6	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 34	28.0	15	47%	2	3	4	0	6	2	0	2	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-7	14%
Kelly Olynyk #13 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 34	22.5	10	100%	3	4	1	0	3	2	1	2	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	1-1	100%
Bruce Brown #00 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 29	21.9	14	88%	2	1	1	0	2	3	0	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	3-4	75%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	17.7	9	50%	1	2	1	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-8	38%

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	28.9	7	50%	4	0	2	0	2	2	2	2	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	26.7	10	56%	5	3	0	0	0	1	0	5	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 25	21.9	4	67%	5	2	0	1	4	3	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 24	19.8	8	67%	1	2	1	1	1	3	1	0	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	12.3	11	110%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-1	100%
Elfrid Payton #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	12.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Lester Quinones #22 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Labrum
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Rotator Cuff
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	57%	33	20	11	4	25	20	7	26	14-22	64%	23-37	62%	11-31	35%

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29 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	28.2	5	36%	10	2	0	1	3	3	3	7	3-6	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 34	28.0	15	47%	2	3	4	0	6	2	0	2	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-7	14%
Kelly Olynyk #13 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 34	22.5	10	100%	3	4	1	0	3	2	1	2	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	1-1	100%
Bruce Brown #00 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 29	21.9	14	88%	2	1	1	0	2	3	0	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	3-4	75%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	17.7	9	50%	1	2	1	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-8	38%

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	28.9	7	50%	4	0	2	0	2	2	2	2	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	26.7	10	56%	5	3	0	0	0	1	0	5	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 25	21.9	4	67%	5	2	0	1	4	3	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 24	19.8	8	67%	1	2	1	1	1	3	1	0	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	12.3	11	110%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-1	100%
Elfrid Payton #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	12.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Lester Quinones #22 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Labrum
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Rotator Cuff
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	57%	33	20	11	4	25	20	7	26	14-22	64%	23-37	62%	11-31	35%

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5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	30.0	15	83%	11	3	3	0	1	4	2	9	7-8	88%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Anthony Edwards #5 · PG · 6'4" 225 · 24	25.6	17	61%	3	5	2	0	3	0	2	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	3-7	43%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	25.2	20	77%	6	5	2	0	2	3	4	2	4-4	100%	5-6	83%	2-5	40%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	20.9	17	77%	5	0	1	0	1	1	1	4	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	2-2	100%
Joe Ingles #7 · SG · 6'8" 220 · 37	6.2	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	24.5	15	58%	5	6	1	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-8	38%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	22.6	13	65%	1	3	0	1	0	1	1	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	3-9	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	22.6	8	67%	2	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	14.0	11	110%	1	1	2	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-3	100%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	10.3	0	0%	1	6	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	9.3	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26	7.9	9	113%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-1	100%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	7.9	2	50%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Bones Hyland #77 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	6.5	3	150%	0	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	6.5	4	50%	0	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	66%	36	40	14	1	13	17	10	26	19-20	95%	29-45	64%	19-44	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.15 57.4%

MIN

1.33 66.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

67%

MIN

80%

Midrange

NOP

59%

MIN

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

16.5

35%

53%

MIN

28.5

43%

65%

Free Throws

NOP

64%

MIN

95%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	15	47%	7.5 / 16
B. Brown	14	88%	7.0 / 8
A. Reeves	11	110%	5.5 / 5
K. Olynyk	10	100%	5.0 / 5
J. Hawkins	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Alvarado	9	50%	4.5 / 9
K. Matković	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Robinson-Earl	7	50%	3.5 / 7
Y. Missi	5	36%	2.5 / 7
K. Brooks Jr.	4	67%	2.0 / 3
E. Payton	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Randle	20	77%	10.0 / 13
A. Edwards	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. McDaniels	17	77%	8.5 / 11
R. Gobert	15	83%	7.5 / 9
N. Reid	15	58%	7.5 / 13
D. DiVincenzo	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Clark	11	110%	5.5 / 5
L. Garza	9	113%	4.5 / 4
N. Alexander-Walker	8	67%	4.0 / 6
R. Dillingham	4	50%	2.0 / 4
B. Hyland	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Minott	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Ingles	0	-	0.0 / 3
M. Conley	0	-	0.0 / 1
T. Shannon	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 109.6 8 115.7	NOP 94.9 MIN 134.0 +39.1
Pace	15 99.8 25 98.1	NOP 104.7 +10.8 MIN 94.0
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.4 11 14.8	NOP 13.7 −1.6 MIN 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 51.9% 10 55.4%	NOP 58.1% MIN 64.6% +6.5%
TO %	20 13.9% 19 13.9%	NOP 25.1% MIN 12.5% −12.6%
ORB %	9 26.3% 14 25.7%	NOP 21.2% MIN 27.8% +6.6%
FTrt	15 24.4 11 24.9	NOP 32.4 +9.9 MIN 22.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 63.6% 11 63.7%	NOP 58.8% MIN 83.3% +24.5%
STL %	8 8.5% 16 8.1%	NOP 11.2% MIN 14.0% +2.8%
BLK %	7 10.4% 14 9.5%	NOP 8.9% +6.2% MIN 2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 53.8% 11 57.3%	NOP 57.4% MIN 66.3% +8.9%
Rim FG%	26 61.0% 12 64.8%	NOP 66.7% MIN 80.0% +13.3%
Mid FG%	23 40.7% 27 39.5%	NOP 59.1% +25.8% MIN 33.3%
3P %	24 34.7% 4 37.7%	NOP 35.5% MIN 43.2% +7.7%
FT %	27 75.4% 10 78.9%	NOP 63.6% MIN 95.0% +31.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.6% 12 32.2%	NOP 22.1% MIN 33.7% +11.6%
Mid Att. %	22 27.9% 6 22.3%	NOP 32.4% MIN 16.9% −15.5%
3P Att. %	26 38.6% 6 45.5%	NOP 45.6% MIN 49.4% +3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NOP	MIN
Possessions	98	100
Possession Minutes	22.5	25.5
Points	93	134
Rebounds	33	36
Assists	20	40
Steals	11	14
Blocks	4	1
Turnovers (Team)	25 (1)	13 (1)
Fouls	20	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (1)	26 (2)
Field Goals	34-68	48-89
At-the-Rim FG	10-15	24-30
Midrange FG	13-22	5-15
2-Point FG	23-37	29-45
3-Point FG	11-31	19-44
Free Throws	14-22	19-20
Fast Break Pts	13	15
2nd Chance Pts	4	20
Points in Paint	30	54
Pts off Turnovers	13	37
Bench Points	40	65
Biggest Lead	4	43

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg