Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 22, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Wizards	12%	104	103	98.1	105	111.3
	9	Knicks	88%	121	122	116.2	105	99.3

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+14

-20

NYK

+16

-14

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.04 52.0%

NYK

1.14 57.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #8 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	35.5	4	22%	2	2	0	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-4	0%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 21	28.2	15	47%	10	4	3	0	4	4	3	7	4-6	67%	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	27.7	25	66%	3	3	0	0	5	4	0	3	4-4	100%	6-8	75%	3-9	33%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	27.0	8	36%	5	1	0	2	5	2	0	5	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	21.7	7	58%	2	0	1	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%

AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	27.9	9	41%	2	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	2-5	40%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	23.7	17	71%	4	3	2	1	2	1	1	3	1-3	33%	2-4	50%	4-7	57%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	17.2	4	40%	7	2	0	1	0	2	3	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	11.8	4	67%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	11.7	6	100%	4	2	2	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	3.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	3.8	4	100%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery
Khris Middleton #32 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Ankle; Injury management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	52%	41	21	9	5	20	23	10	31	14-19	74%	28-52	54%	11-36	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #8 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	35.5	4	22%	2	2	0	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-4	0%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 21	28.2	15	47%	10	4	3	0	4	4	3	7	4-6	67%	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	27.7	25	66%	3	3	0	0	5	4	0	3	4-4	100%	6-8	75%	3-9	33%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	27.0	8	36%	5	1	0	2	5	2	0	5	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	21.7	7	58%	2	0	1	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%

AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	27.9	9	41%	2	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	2-5	40%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	23.7	17	71%	4	3	2	1	2	1	1	3	1-3	33%	2-4	50%	4-7	57%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	17.2	4	40%	7	2	0	1	0	2	3	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	11.8	4	67%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	11.7	6	100%	4	2	2	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	3.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	3.8	4	100%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery
Khris Middleton #32 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Ankle; Injury management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	52%	41	21	9	5	20	23	10	31	14-19	74%	28-52	54%	11-36	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

9 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mikal Bridges #25 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 29	37.6	27	64%	6	4	3	1	5	0	3	3	3-3	100%	6-12	50%	4-8	50%
Josh Hart #3 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 30	37.5	9	41%	12	2	1	0	2	2	3	9	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 29	36.7	31	62%	11	1	2	1	3	2	0	11	10-13	77%	9-15	60%	1-5	20%
OG Anunoby #8 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 28	30.9	23	82%	2	3	2	0	0	3	0	2	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	4-5	80%
Cameron Payne #1 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 31	29.6	13	50%	4	7	1	0	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	3-8	38%

Tyler Kolek #13 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	18.4	4	40%	1	8	3	0	0	2	1	0	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	17.4	4	67%	5	1	0	1	1	1	3	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Landry Shamet #44 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	14.8	3	38%	1	1	0	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · C · 6'8" 243 · 26	11.9	4	67%	5	2	0	0	1	0	3	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
MarJon Beauchamp #14 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	2.6	2	50%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Anton Watson #21 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	2.6	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Delon Wright #0 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles McBride #2 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Contusion
Pacôme Dadiet #4 · SG · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kevin McCullar Jr. #9 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Brunson #11 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ariel Hukporti #55 · C · 7'0" 246 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	57%	49	29	13	3	14	17	14	35	21-27	78%	31-56	55%	13-35	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	NYK
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	NYK

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.04 52.0%

NYK

1.14 57.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

62%

NYK

70%

Midrange

WAS

33%

NYK

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

16.5

31%

46%

NYK

19.5

37%

56%

Free Throws

WAS

74%

NYK

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	25	66%	12.5 / 19
M. Smart	17	71%	8.5 / 12
K. George	15	47%	7.5 / 16
A. Johnson	9	41%	4.5 / 11
A. Sarr	8	36%	4.0 / 11
J. Champagnie	7	58%	3.5 / 6
C. Jones	6	100%	3.0 / 3
B. Carrington	4	22%	2.0 / 9
R. Holmes	4	40%	2.0 / 5
A. Gill	4	67%	2.0 / 3
T. Vukcevic	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Towns	31	62%	15.5 / 25
M. Bridges	27	64%	13.5 / 21
O. Anunoby	23	82%	11.5 / 14
C. Payne	13	50%	6.5 / 13
J. Hart	9	41%	4.5 / 11
T. Kolek	4	40%	2.0 / 5
M. Robinson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
P. Achiuwa	4	67%	2.0 / 3
L. Shamet	3	38%	1.5 / 4
M. Beauchamp	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Watson	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 5 117.3	WAS 98.1 NYK 116.2 +18.1
Pace	4 101.8 26 97.7	WAS 111.3 +12.0 NYK 99.3
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 3 15.2	WAS 12.9 −1.6 NYK 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 9 55.6%	WAS 50.6% NYK 55.5% +4.9%
TO %	27 14.6% 4 12.3%	WAS 17.2% NYK 13.5% −3.7%
ORB %	25 22.7% 12 26.0%	WAS 22.2% NYK 31.1% +8.9%
FTrt	26 22.9 23 23.2	WAS 21.6 NYK 29.7 +8.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 17 63.4%	WAS 53.8% NYK 65.9% +12.1%
STL %	25 7.4% 11 8.3%	WAS 8.6% NYK 12.4% +3.8%
BLK %	12 9.6% 29 7.6%	WAS 8.9% +3.1% NYK 5.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 12 57.2%	WAS 52.0% NYK 57.0% +5.0%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 18 63.7%	WAS 62.2% NYK 69.7% +7.5%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 5 45.9%	WAS 33.3% NYK 34.8% +1.5%
3P %	29 33.5% 8 36.9%	WAS 30.6% NYK 37.1% +6.5%
FT %	16 77.8% 5 80.0%	WAS 73.7% NYK 77.8% +4.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 4 34.5%	WAS 42.0% +5.8% NYK 36.3%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 18 27.3%	WAS 17.0% −8.2% NYK 25.3%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 28 38.2%	WAS 40.9% +2.4% NYK 38.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	NYK
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	103	122
Rebounds	41	49
Assists	21	29
Steals	9	13
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	14 (2)
Fouls	23	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	35 (4)
Field Goals	39-88	44-91
At-the-Rim FG	23-37	23-33
Midrange FG	5-15	8-23
2-Point FG	28-52	31-56
3-Point FG	11-36	13-35
Free Throws	14-19	21-27
Fast Break Pts	17	21
2nd Chance Pts	18	14
Points in Paint	56	52
Pts off Turnovers	20	26
Bench Points	44	19
Biggest Lead	2	33

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg