Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Lakers53%105106
16Magic47%104118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Dončić
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 26.1
38.1
32.0
32
57%
7
7
1
1
0
3
0
7
10-11
91%
5-13
5-9
38%
55%
4-10
40%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 40.2
37.7
32.2
24
57%
6
7
0
1
0
2
3
3
6-7
86%
9-15
7-12
60%
57%
0-3
0%
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 26.8
35.6
34.0
18
51%
6
4
0
1
0
3
0
6
3-4
75%
6-10
4-8
60%
57%
1-6
17%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.9
35.5
20.8
14
100%
7
0
2
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
4-6
67%
Jaxson Hayes
C-F · 7'0" 220 · 24.8
18.5
23.2
4
50%
4
0
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
69%
0-0
-
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.1
24.0
23.9
5
51%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
56%
0-2
0%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.8
20.1
22.0
4
33%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-4
0%
Jordan Goodwin
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.4
13.3
22.8
1
57%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'8" 214 · 26.0
12.1
12.6
1
27%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
59%
0-0
-
Dalton Knecht
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
4.6
18.6
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
57%
1-1
100%
Trey Jemison III
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.3
0.6
14.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
55%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 35.6
11.3
0
1-2
48%
Shake Milton
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
10.8
0
1-2
50%
Cam Reddish
F-G · 6'8" 208 · 25.6
10.6
0
1-1
49%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 31.8
8.6
0
1-1
56%
Bronny James
G · 6'3" 210 · 20.5
Christian Koloko
C · 7'0" 225 · 24.8
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paolo Banchero
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.4
39.6
32.9
30
67%
7
1
0
1
1
4
0
7
10-12
83%
7-11
7-13
64%
52%
2-6
33%
Franz Wagner
F · 6'10" 220 · 23.6
38.3
29.8
32
59%
5
9
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-3
100%
10-16
7-12
63%
56%
3-10
30%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 204 · 32.1
33.9
27.1
9
75%
4
3
0
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
53%
3-6
50%
Wendell Carter Jr.
C-F · 6'10" 270 · 25.9
31.5
26.6
12
51%
8
0
0
1
0
0
3
5
3-4
75%
3-7
3-5
43%
60%
1-3
33%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'2" 200 · 33.6
17.2
22.1
5
63%
4
5
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Anthony Black
G · 6'7" 200 · 21.2
30.3
22.4
17
85%
5
6
1
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
50%
3-5
60%
Caleb Houstan
G · 6'8" 205 · 22.2
17.3
14.9
8
57%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
2-6
33%
Jonathan Isaac
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.5
9.3
9.1
2
35%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
55%
0-1
0%
Goga Bitadze
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 25.7
8.7
11.4
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
65%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.5
7.1
12.7
1
57%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Tristan da Silva
F · 6'8" 217 · 23.9
6.9
16.8
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jett Howard
G · 6'6" 215 · 21.5
6.8
0
0-1
53%
Ethan Thompson
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.9
Mac McClung
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.2
Jalen Suggs
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.8
Trevelin Queen
G · 6'5" 190 · 28.1
Cole Anthony
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.9
Moritz Wagner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.