Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 24, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Raptors	45%	110	112	105.7	106	108.3
	27	Wizards	55%	112	104	97.2	107	104.8

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+20

-12

114

WAS

+15

-17

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

0.98 49.1%

WAS

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	30.0	9	41%	4	3	0	0	2	4	1	3	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	27.5	13	36%	10	8	3	2	1	3	3	7	3-4	75%	5-11	45%	0-5	0%
Jamison Battle #77 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	26.6	11	61%	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	25.8	21	75%	11	1	2	3	2	1	3	8	1-2	50%	10-13	77%	0-0	-
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	25.7	21	55%	4	7	1	1	2	1	2	2	8-8	100%	2-7	29%	3-9	33%

Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	24.3	8	44%	11	2	2	0	1	3	3	8	2-4	50%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	22.9	8	50%	2	2	2	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	19.9	14	58%	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	3-5	60%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Orlando Robinson #21 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	18.8	2	14%	7	1	0	0	2	6	4	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-1	0%
Colin Castleton #11 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	18.5	5	42%	6	1	0	0	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 25	DND – Rest
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial Proximal MCL Tear
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team Return To Competition Reconditioning \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	49%	60	28	11	6	12	23	17	43	20-27	74%	31-65	48%	10-36	28%

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26 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	30.0	9	41%	4	3	0	0	2	4	1	3	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	27.5	13	36%	10	8	3	2	1	3	3	7	3-4	75%	5-11	45%	0-5	0%
Jamison Battle #77 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	26.6	11	61%	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	25.8	21	75%	11	1	2	3	2	1	3	8	1-2	50%	10-13	77%	0-0	-
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	25.7	21	55%	4	7	1	1	2	1	2	2	8-8	100%	2-7	29%	3-9	33%

Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	24.3	8	44%	11	2	2	0	1	3	3	8	2-4	50%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	22.9	8	50%	2	2	2	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	19.9	14	58%	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	3-5	60%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Orlando Robinson #21 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	18.8	2	14%	7	1	0	0	2	6	4	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-1	0%
Colin Castleton #11 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	18.5	5	42%	6	1	0	0	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 25	DND – Rest
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial Proximal MCL Tear
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team Return To Competition Reconditioning \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	49%	60	28	11	6	12	23	17	43	20-27	74%	31-65	48%	10-36	28%

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27 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	31.8	16	35%	5	2	1	3	2	1	1	4	3-9	33%	5-12	42%	1-7	14%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	30.9	15	47%	11	6	2	0	3	4	2	9	2-3	67%	5-9	56%	1-6	17%
Khris Middleton #32 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	21.6	9	50%	2	5	1	0	1	2	0	2	5-5	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	21.6	23	82%	1	1	1	1	5	3	0	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	5-9	56%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	1.9	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-

AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	28.4	17	71%	6	3	1	0	1	3	1	5	6-6	100%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	26.6	2	20%	4	2	0	2	2	2	1	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	23.6	11	55%	4	1	0	1	1	1	1	3	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	21.0	0	0%	5	2	0	1	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23	16.1	5	42%	3	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	12.5	6	60%	2	1	2	0	2	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	4.0	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	50%	48	24	8	9	17	19	9	39	23-34	68%	24-50	48%	11-37	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

TOR

0.98 49.1%

WAS

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

60%

WAS

67%

Midrange

TOR

40%

WAS

26%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

15.0

28%

42%

WAS

16.5

30%

45%

Free Throws

TOR

74%

WAS

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poeltl	21	75%	10.5 / 14
I. Quickley	21	55%	10.5 / 19
J. Shead	14	58%	7.0 / 12
S. Barnes	13	36%	6.5 / 18
J. Battle	11	61%	5.5 / 9
O. Agbaji	9	41%	4.5 / 11
J. Mogbo	8	44%	4.0 / 9
A. Lawson	8	50%	4.0 / 8
C. Castleton	5	42%	2.5 / 6
O. Robinson	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	23	82%	11.5 / 14
A. Johnson	17	71%	8.5 / 12
A. Sarr	16	35%	8.0 / 23
B. Carrington	15	47%	7.5 / 16
T. Vukcevic	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Middleton	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Smart	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Thor	5	42%	2.5 / 6
C. Jones	2	20%	1.0 / 5
K. George	0	-	0.0 / 0
J. Champagnie	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Martin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.5 30 105.8	TOR 105.7 +8.5 WAS 97.2
Pace	9 100.6 4 101.8	TOR 108.3 +3.5 WAS 104.8
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 23 14.0	TOR 13.3 −0.4 WAS 13.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 52.2% 28 51.2%	TOR 45.5% WAS 46.6% +1.1%
TO %	26 14.5% 27 14.6%	TOR 9.6% −4.7% WAS 14.3%
ORB %	4 27.3% 25 22.7%	TOR 30.4% +13.1% WAS 17.3%
FTrt	25 23.2 26 22.9	TOR 26.7 WAS 39.1 +12.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 68.5% 12 63.7%	TOR 68.3% WAS 68.6% +0.3%
STL %	18 8.0% 25 7.4%	TOR 10.4% +2.9% WAS 7.5%
BLK %	27 8.4% 12 9.6%	TOR 12.0% WAS 13.8% +1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 53.8% 29 53.2%	TOR 49.1% WAS 49.5% +0.4%
Rim FG%	28 60.2% 17 63.7%	TOR 60.0% WAS 66.7% +6.7%
Mid FG%	21 41.5% 30 38.0%	TOR 40.0% +13.9% WAS 26.1%
3P %	23 34.8% 29 33.5%	TOR 27.8% WAS 29.7% +1.9%
FT %	29 74.8% 16 77.8%	TOR 74.1% +6.5% WAS 67.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.2% 21 30.5%	TOR 24.8% WAS 31.0% +6.3%
Mid Att. %	17 26.5% 11 25.9%	TOR 39.6% WAS 26.4% −13.2%
3P Att. %	29 37.3% 10 43.6%	TOR 35.6% WAS 42.5% +6.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	WAS
Possessions	106	107
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	112	104
Rebounds	60	48
Assists	28	24
Steals	11	8
Blocks	6	9
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls	23	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (3)	9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	43 (2)	39 (4)
Field Goals	41-101	35-87
At-the-Rim FG	15-25	18-27
Midrange FG	16-40	6-23
2-Point FG	31-65	24-50
3-Point FG	10-36	11-37
Free Throws	20-27	23-34
Fast Break Pts	27	17
2nd Chance Pts	20	12
Points in Paint	50	42
Pts off Turnovers	25	15
Bench Points	37	41
Biggest Lead	12	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg