Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 27, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Spurs	19%	111	116	113.7	102	104.0
	4	Cavaliers	81%	124	124	120.4	103	101.1

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+21

-10

113

CLE

+21

-13

111

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.03 51.3%

CLE

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	36.7	22	65%	3	4	1	0	2	5	0	3	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	4-10	40%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	33.1	5	25%	4	5	2	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-4	25%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	31.9	22	44%	11	8	1	0	3	4	7	4	2-6	33%	7-18	39%	2-5	40%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	27.2	10	63%	2	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	15.2	8	80%	6	1	1	2	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-

Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	27.4	17	50%	10	0	2	0	1	4	4	6	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	1-5	20%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	24.4	16	62%	7	1	0	0	1	0	2	5	5-5	100%	1-4	25%	3-9	33%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	22.8	13	50%	5	2	0	1	1	3	1	4	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	14.2	3	150%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	7.0	0	0%	2	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendon Surgery
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-on-chronic
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	51%	50	27	10	3	10	20	19	31	16-21	76%	29-63	46%	14-43	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	36.7	22	65%	3	4	1	0	2	5	0	3	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	4-10	40%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	33.1	5	25%	4	5	2	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-4	25%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	31.9	22	44%	11	8	1	0	3	4	7	4	2-6	33%	7-18	39%	2-5	40%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	27.2	10	63%	2	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	15.2	8	80%	6	1	1	2	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-

Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	27.4	17	50%	10	0	2	0	1	4	4	6	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	1-5	20%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	24.4	16	62%	7	1	0	0	1	0	2	5	5-5	100%	1-4	25%	3-9	33%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	22.8	13	50%	5	2	0	1	1	3	1	4	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	14.2	3	150%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	7.0	0	0%	2	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendon Surgery
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-on-chronic
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	51%	50	27	10	3	10	20	19	31	16-21	76%	29-63	46%	14-43	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	35.3	25	63%	8	14	1	1	1	1	3	5	5-5	100%	4-9	44%	4-9	44%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 27	30.0	29	91%	15	0	1	1	2	1	3	12	9-11	82%	10-11	91%	0-0	-
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 25	30.0	10	33%	4	9	2	0	4	1	2	2	0-0	-	2-8	25%	2-7	29%
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	28.7	18	90%	4	4	0	0	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	4-7	57%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 28	24.6	3	30%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%

De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	31.1	14	44%	7	2	2	1	3	3	0	7	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-7	14%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	24.2	13	50%	2	2	0	1	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-9	33%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	19.3	9	64%	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Javonte Green #8 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	8.6	3	38%	5	1	1	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Tristan Thompson #13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 34	8.2	0	0%	4	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #30 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylon Tyson #24 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	56%	56	33	7	5	13	14	14	42	15-18	83%	29-51	57%	17-48	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	CLE

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.03 51.3%

CLE

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

52%

CLE

64%

Midrange

SAS

33%

CLE

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

21.0

33%

49%

CLE

25.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

SAS

76%

CLE

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Vassell	22	65%	11.0 / 17
S. Castle	22	44%	11.0 / 25
K. Johnson	17	50%	8.5 / 17
J. Champagnie	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Sochan	13	50%	6.5 / 13
H. Barnes	10	63%	5.0 / 8
B. Biyombo	8	80%	4.0 / 5
C. Paul	5	25%	2.5 / 10
B. Wesley	3	150%	1.5 / 1
S. Mamukelashvili	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Allen	29	91%	14.5 / 16
D. Mitchell	25	63%	12.5 / 20
M. Strus	18	90%	9.0 / 10
D. Hunter	14	44%	7.0 / 16
S. Merrill	13	50%	6.5 / 13
D. Garland	10	33%	5.0 / 15
I. Okoro	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Wade	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Green	3	38%	1.5 / 4
T. Thompson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 113.5 1 120.9	SAS 113.7 CLE 120.4 +6.7
Pace	13 100.1 10 100.4	SAS 104.0 +2.9 CLE 101.1
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 26 13.8	SAS 13.9 −0.4 CLE 14.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.4% 1 57.8%	SAS 47.2% CLE 55.1% +7.9%
TO %	11 13.2% 5 12.4%	SAS 8.0% −3.6% CLE 11.6%
ORB %	20 24.3% 13 25.9%	SAS 31.1% CLE 31.1%
FTrt	22 23.4 18 24.1	SAS 19.8 +1.6 CLE 18.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 68.5% 19 63.1%	SAS 62.8% CLE 71.7% +8.9%
STL %	14 8.2% 15 8.1%	SAS 9.8% +3.0% CLE 6.8%
BLK %	5 10.5% 28 7.9%	SAS 5.9% CLE 7.9% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.3% 1 59.2%	SAS 51.3% CLE 55.9% +4.6%
Rim FG%	14 63.9% 9 66.0%	SAS 52.4% CLE 63.9% +11.5%
Mid FG%	20 41.8% 2 47.9%	SAS 33.3% CLE 40.0% +6.7%
3P %	20 35.7% 2 38.3%	SAS 32.6% CLE 35.4% +2.8%
FT %	21 77.4% 17 77.6%	SAS 76.2% CLE 83.3% +7.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 33.7% 20 30.6%	SAS 39.6% +3.3% CLE 36.4%
Mid Att. %	4 22.2% 9 23.7%	SAS 19.8% CLE 15.2% −4.7%
3P Att. %	8 44.1% 5 45.7%	SAS 40.6% CLE 48.5% +7.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	CLE
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	116	124
Rebounds	50	56
Assists	27	33
Steals	10	7
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	20	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (2)	14 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	42 (3)
Field Goals	43-106	46-99
At-the-Rim FG	22-42	23-36
Midrange FG	7-21	6-15
2-Point FG	29-63	29-51
3-Point FG	14-43	17-48
Free Throws	16-21	15-18
Fast Break Pts	18	21
2nd Chance Pts	18	14
Points in Paint	52	56
Pts off Turnovers	13	12
Bench Points	49	39
Biggest Lead	8	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg