Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 27, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Hawks	45%	112	112	114.3	98	108.7
	15	Heat	55%	114	122	125.8	97	88.3

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

-15

MIA

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.22 60.9%

MIA

1.33 66.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	35.6	29	66%	2	12	2	0	5	1	0	2	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	6-12	50%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	35.1	9	45%	8	3	2	1	2	0	2	6	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	34.4	15	58%	9	0	2	0	2	1	2	7	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PF · 6'8" 195 · 25	26.0	14	88%	6	4	0	1	2	3	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-6	67%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	25.6	5	42%	0	4	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%

Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	28.2	17	61%	5	3	1	0	1	1	1	4	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	27.2	14	88%	1	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	2-4	50%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	14.2	5	63%	3	0	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	13.6	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Medial Femoral Condyle; Fracture
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; AC Sprain
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fourth Metacarpal; Ligament Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	61%	36	27	10	2	15	11	6	30	8-11	73%	25-42	60%	18-41	44%

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18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	35.6	29	66%	2	12	2	0	5	1	0	2	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	6-12	50%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	35.1	9	45%	8	3	2	1	2	0	2	6	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	34.4	15	58%	9	0	2	0	2	1	2	7	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PF · 6'8" 195 · 25	26.0	14	88%	6	4	0	1	2	3	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-6	67%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	25.6	5	42%	0	4	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%

Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	28.2	17	61%	5	3	1	0	1	1	1	4	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	27.2	14	88%	1	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	2-4	50%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	14.2	5	63%	3	0	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	13.6	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Medial Femoral Condyle; Fracture
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; AC Sprain
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fourth Metacarpal; Ligament Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	61%	36	27	10	2	15	11	6	30	8-11	73%	25-42	60%	18-41	44%

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15 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · PF · 6'9" 260 · 28	37.6	12	60%	10	4	3	0	3	0	0	10	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Tyler Herro #14 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	37.5	36	90%	3	4	2	0	4	1	1	2	6-7	86%	9-11	82%	4-6	67%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 30	32.5	16	50%	5	3	1	0	3	1	1	4	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	2-6	33%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 21	21.4	7	44%	12	0	0	1	0	1	4	8	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 34	15.5	11	69%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	3-6	50%

Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	35.9	16	67%	2	6	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	4-5	80%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28	34.5	11	69%	2	2	2	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Kyle Anderson #20 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	17.9	10	83%	2	4	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	7.2	3	75%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Broken
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Pain
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	NWT – Personal
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Stevens #4 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Christopher #8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	66%	37	26	10	1	13	10	7	30	16-20	80%	26-49	53%	18-33	55%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.22 60.9%

MIA

1.33 66.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

68%

MIA

58%

Midrange

ATL

47%

MIA

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

27.0

44%

66%

MIA

27.0

55%

82%

Free Throws

ATL

73%

MIA

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	29	66%	14.5 / 22
C. LeVert	17	61%	8.5 / 14
O. Okongwu	15	58%	7.5 / 13
V. Krejčí	14	88%	7.0 / 8
T. Mann	14	88%	7.0 / 8
D. Daniels	9	45%	4.5 / 10
Z. Risacher	5	42%	2.5 / 6
G. Niang	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Barlow	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	36	90%	18.0 / 20
A. Wiggins	16	50%	8.0 / 16
D. Mitchell	16	67%	8.0 / 12
B. Adebayo	12	60%	6.0 / 10
A. Burks	11	69%	5.5 / 8
H. Highsmith	11	69%	5.5 / 8
K. Anderson	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Ware	7	44%	3.5 / 8
P. Larsson	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 113.7 21 112.4	ATL 114.3 MIA 125.8 +11.5
Pace	3 103.4 27 97.2	ATL 108.7 +20.4 MIA 88.3
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.3 9 14.9	ATL 13.2 −3.1 MIA 16.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.6% 19 54.4%	ATL 62.7% MIA 64.6% +1.9%
TO %	23 14.1% 8 12.8%	ATL 15.4% MIA 13.4% −2.0%
ORB %	10 26.3% 27 22.3%	ATL 16.7% MIA 18.9% +2.2%
FTrt	8 25.2 24 23.2	ATL 13.3 MIA 24.4 +11.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 68.3% 10 65.3%	ATL 62.8% +3.7% MIA 59.1%
STL %	4 9.4% 12 8.3%	ATL 10.2% MIA 10.3% +0.1%
BLK %	11 9.7% 30 7.6%	ATL 4.1% +1.7% MIA 2.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 19 56.0%	ATL 60.9% MIA 66.3% +5.4%
Rim FG%	20 62.9% 22 62.5%	ATL 68.0% +10.1% MIA 57.9%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 12 44.4%	ATL 47.1% MIA 50.0% +2.9%
3P %	18 35.8% 11 36.7%	ATL 43.9% MIA 54.5% +10.6%
FT %	18 77.5% 8 79.1%	ATL 72.7% MIA 80.0% +7.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 34.1% 25 29.6%	ATL 30.1% +6.9% MIA 23.2%
Mid Att. %	10 24.8% 20 27.5%	ATL 20.5% −16.1% MIA 36.6%
3P Att. %	19 41.0% 12 42.9%	ATL 49.4% +9.2% MIA 40.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MIA
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	21.6	26.4
Points	112	122
Rebounds	36	37
Assists	27	26
Steals	10	10
Blocks	2	1
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	13 (1)
Fouls	11	10
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	30 (2)
Field Goals	43-83	44-82
At-the-Rim FG	17-25	11-19
Midrange FG	8-17	15-30
2-Point FG	25-42	26-49
3-Point FG	18-41	18-33
Free Throws	8-11	16-20
Fast Break Pts	24	7
2nd Chance Pts	5	6
Points in Paint	42	42
Pts off Turnovers	17	20
Bench Points	40	40
Biggest Lead	14	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg