Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 27, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Grizzlies	23%	110	104	100.0	104	103.9
	1	Thunder	77%	121	125	120.2	104	104.1

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

-18

OKC

+13

-12

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.12 55.9%

OKC

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	31.8	3	13%	2	6	1	0	3	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-9	11%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	31.4	17	71%	10	7	5	0	7	3	1	9	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	30.7	27	59%	2	4	0	2	0	4	1	1	4-4	100%	4-14	29%	5-7	71%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	28.2	13	81%	5	0	0	0	1	4	0	5	5-5	100%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	26.1	10	45%	5	5	1	0	0	1	0	5	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%

Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	26.5	9	90%	5	1	0	0	5	1	1	4	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	18.3	7	50%	0	3	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	17.9	8	80%	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	17.0	8	100%	4	1	0	1	0	2	1	3	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	7.5	0	0%	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Lamar Stevens #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	2.4	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Sprain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellar; Tendon Surgery Recovery
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	56%	36	28	9	4	18	20	5	31	22-23	96%	17-37	46%	16-42	38%

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11 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	31.8	3	13%	2	6	1	0	3	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-9	11%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	31.4	17	71%	10	7	5	0	7	3	1	9	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	30.7	27	59%	2	4	0	2	0	4	1	1	4-4	100%	4-14	29%	5-7	71%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	28.2	13	81%	5	0	0	0	1	4	0	5	5-5	100%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	26.1	10	45%	5	5	1	0	0	1	0	5	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%

Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	26.5	9	90%	5	1	0	0	5	1	1	4	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	18.3	7	50%	0	3	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	17.9	8	80%	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	17.0	8	100%	4	1	0	1	0	2	1	3	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	7.5	0	0%	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Lamar Stevens #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	2.4	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Sprain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellar; Tendon Surgery Recovery
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	56%	36	28	9	4	18	20	5	31	22-23	96%	17-37	46%	16-42	38%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	33.6	37	64%	3	6	3	0	0	0	0	3	7-9	78%	15-23	65%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	29.5	18	69%	11	4	2	2	2	4	3	8	8-8	100%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	29.2	20	63%	5	4	0	0	4	3	0	5	7-8	88%	5-11	45%	1-1	100%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 26	29.1	9	56%	1	5	3	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	24.9	4	22%	9	2	0	0	4	3	0	9	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-4	0%

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	27.6	10	83%	3	2	1	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	21.5	7	50%	4	2	0	0	0	0	1	3	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	20.1	8	80%	2	1	0	1	0	4	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 31	10.2	6	60%	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	7.7	3	75%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	2.2	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	2.2	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	2.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Strain
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	60%	45	28	9	4	12	17	7	38	24-28	86%	31-59	53%	13-31	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.12 55.9%

OKC

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

50%

OKC

63%

Midrange

MEM

43%

OKC

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

24.0

38%

57%

OKC

19.5

42%

63%

Free Throws

MEM

96%

OKC

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	27	59%	13.5 / 23
S. Pippen	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Wells	13	81%	6.5 / 8
S. Aldama	10	45%	5.0 / 11
L. Kennard	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Huff	8	80%	4.0 / 5
Z. Edey	8	100%	4.0 / 4
V. Williams	7	50%	3.5 / 7
D. Bane	3	13%	1.5 / 12
L. Stevens	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Konchar	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	37	64%	18.5 / 29
J. Williams	20	63%	10.0 / 16
I. Hartenstein	18	69%	9.0 / 13
C. Wallace	10	83%	5.0 / 6
L. Dort	9	56%	4.5 / 8
K. Williams	8	80%	4.0 / 5
I. Joe	7	50%	3.5 / 7
A. Caruso	6	60%	3.0 / 5
C. Holmgren	4	22%	2.0 / 9
J. Williams	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Carlson	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Flagler	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.2 3 119.2	MEM 100.0 OKC 120.2 +20.2
Pace	1 103.7 5 100.9	MEM 103.9 OKC 104.1 +0.2
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.4 25 13.9	MEM 13.9 OKC 13.8 −0.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.4% 7 56.0%	MEM 51.9% OKC 56.1% +4.2%
TO %	25 14.4% 1 10.9%	MEM 17.6% OKC 10.5% −7.1%
ORB %	3 28.7% 21 24.2%	MEM 11.6% OKC 18.4% +6.8%
FTrt	10 24.9 28 22.0	MEM 29.1 OKC 31.1 +2.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.5% 26 60.2%	MEM 84.8% +21.2% OKC 63.6%
STL %	7 8.5% 1 10.2%	MEM 8.7% OKC 8.7%
BLK %	3 10.8% 2 11.9%	MEM 6.8% OKC 10.8% +4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.4% 4 57.9%	MEM 55.9% OKC 59.5% +3.6%
Rim FG%	11 65.3% 10 65.7%	MEM 50.0% OKC 63.0% +13.0%
Mid FG%	9 45.4% 7 45.7%	MEM 42.9% OKC 43.8% +0.9%
3P %	12 36.7% 6 37.4%	MEM 38.1% OKC 41.9% +3.8%
FT %	12 78.6% 1 81.9%	MEM 95.7% +10.0% OKC 85.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.5% 26 29.5%	MEM 20.3% OKC 30.0% +9.7%
Mid Att. %	26 29.0% 25 28.6%	MEM 26.6% −9.0% OKC 35.6%
3P Att. %	20 40.6% 16 41.9%	MEM 53.2% +18.7% OKC 34.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	OKC
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	104	125
Rebounds	36	45
Assists	28	28
Steals	9	9
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls	20	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (2)	7 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	38 (2)
Field Goals	33-79	44-90
At-the-Rim FG	8-16	17-27
Midrange FG	9-21	14-32
2-Point FG	17-37	31-59
3-Point FG	16-42	13-31
Free Throws	22-23	24-28
Fast Break Pts	8	20
2nd Chance Pts	6	17
Points in Paint	26	48
Pts off Turnovers	9	29
Bench Points	34	37
Biggest Lead	5	23

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg