Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 27, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Blazers	39%	113	107	110.3	97	92.7
	13	Kings	61%	117	128	132.0	97	101.8

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+17

-10

104

SAC

+11

-20

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.03 51.4%

SAC

1.45 72.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26	37.4	20	59%	1	5	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	3-9	33%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	33.5	6	38%	4	1	4	1	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-8	25%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	32.2	24	86%	9	3	1	0	3	4	2	7	6-7	86%	3-4	75%	4-7	57%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	31.3	22	58%	7	0	0	0	2	2	5	2	6-8	75%	5-10	50%	2-5	40%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	17.5	0	0%	3	1	1	1	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	28.5	17	71%	5	1	1	1	1	3	5	0	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	23.7	6	33%	0	6	0	0	0	2	0	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	18.3	6	38%	2	4	3	0	2	2	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	6.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	5.9	4	50%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	1.9	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	INACTIVE
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	51%	32	23	11	3	10	20	15	17	21-26	81%	19-38	50%	16-50	32%

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21 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26	37.4	20	59%	1	5	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	3-9	33%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	33.5	6	38%	4	1	4	1	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-8	25%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	32.2	24	86%	9	3	1	0	3	4	2	7	6-7	86%	3-4	75%	4-7	57%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	31.3	22	58%	7	0	0	0	2	2	5	2	6-8	75%	5-10	50%	2-5	40%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	17.5	0	0%	3	1	1	1	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	28.5	17	71%	5	1	1	1	1	3	5	0	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	23.7	6	33%	0	6	0	0	0	2	0	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	18.3	6	38%	2	4	3	0	2	2	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	6.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	5.9	4	50%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	1.9	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	INACTIVE
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	51%	32	23	11	3	10	20	15	17	21-26	81%	19-38	50%	16-50	32%

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13 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	37.5	21	75%	2	10	0	0	3	3	0	2	9-11	82%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	37.4	29	76%	2	0	0	0	2	4	1	1	1-2	50%	11-13	85%	2-5	40%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	34.8	22	85%	19	6	1	0	6	2	3	16	3-4	75%	8-9	89%	1-2	50%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	33.5	17	77%	7	1	0	0	0	3	2	5	1-1	100%	5-5	100%	2-6	33%
Keon Ellis #23 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 25	31.2	10	63%	3	2	6	1	3	2	0	3	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	2-6	33%

Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 27	17.3	16	80%	3	2	0	0	3	1	0	3	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	15.9	2	100%	1	1	0	0	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	13.9	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	11.2	6	75%	6	1	1	0	0	2	2	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	1.9	2	100%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Terry Taylor #32 · PF · 6'5" 230 · 26	1.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	73%	46	24	8	3	20	23	9	37	22-27	81%	38-47	81%	10-27	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.03 51.4%

SAC

1.45 72.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

72%

SAC

100%

Midrange

POR

30%

SAC

69%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

24.0

32%

48%

SAC

15.0

37%

56%

Free Throws

POR

81%

SAC

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	24	86%	12.0 / 14
S. Sharpe	22	58%	11.0 / 19
A. Simons	20	59%	10.0 / 17
D. Reath	17	71%	8.5 / 12
T. Camara	6	38%	3.0 / 8
S. Henderson	6	33%	3.0 / 9
M. Thybulle	6	38%	3.0 / 8
D. Banton	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Minaya	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Clingan	0	-	0.0 / 2
K. Murray	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Walker	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. LaVine	29	76%	14.5 / 19
D. Sabonis	22	85%	11.0 / 13
D. DeRozan	21	75%	10.5 / 14
K. Murray	17	77%	8.5 / 11
M. Monk	16	80%	8.0 / 10
K. Ellis	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Valančiūnas	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Lyles	3	50%	1.5 / 3
M. Fultz	2	100%	1.0 / 1
I. Jones	2	100%	1.0 / 1
I. Crawford	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 110.9 7 115.9	POR 110.3 SAC 132.0 +21.6
Pace	16 99.5 19 98.9	POR 92.7 SAC 101.8 +9.1
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.3 15 14.4	POR 15.5 SAC 14.2 −1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 52.1% 15 54.8%	POR 48.9% SAC 71.6% +22.7%
TO %	29 15.1% 6 12.6%	POR 10.8% −8.8% SAC 19.6%
ORB %	2 29.2% 16 25.4%	POR 28.8% SAC 34.6% +5.8%
FTrt	13 24.6 21 23.5	POR 29.5 SAC 36.5 +7.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.7% 22 61.5%	POR 65.7% +15.7% SAC 50.0%
STL %	13 8.2% 23 7.6%	POR 11.3% +3.1% SAC 8.2%
BLK %	9 10.0% 23 8.8%	POR 6.4% SAC 7.9% +1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 54.1% 15 56.8%	POR 51.4% SAC 72.7% +21.3%
Rim FG%	27 60.7% 2 67.6%	POR 72.2% SAC 100.0% +27.8%
Mid FG%	28 39.1% 4 46.0%	POR 30.0% SAC 69.0% +39.0%
3P %	26 34.2% 19 35.7%	POR 32.0% SAC 37.0% +5.0%
FT %	26 76.2% 4 80.6%	POR 80.8% SAC 81.5% +0.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 36.6% 28 26.8%	POR 20.5% SAC 24.3% +3.9%
Mid Att. %	3 21.6% 29 34.1%	POR 22.7% −16.5% SAC 39.2%
3P Att. %	17 41.8% 23 39.1%	POR 56.8% +20.3% SAC 36.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	POR	SAC
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	107	128
Rebounds	32	46
Assists	23	24
Steals	11	8
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	10 (2)	20 (1)
Fouls	20	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (2)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	17 (0)	37 (0)
Field Goals	35-88	48-74
At-the-Rim FG	13-18	18-18
Midrange FG	6-20	20-29
2-Point FG	19-38	38-47
3-Point FG	16-50	10-27
Free Throws	21-26	22-27
Fast Break Pts	13	24
2nd Chance Pts	10	15
Points in Paint	32	60
Pts off Turnovers	21	19
Bench Points	35	29
Biggest Lead	2	23

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg