Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 28, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Warriors	85%	119	111	116.8	95	94.8
	30	Pelicans	15%	104	95	100.0	95	95.2

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+23

-10

108

NOP

+17

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.03 51.4%

NOP

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	34.7	18	56%	10	4	1	0	2	0	7	3	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	1-6	17%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	33.9	23	50%	4	6	3	0	1	2	0	4	4-5	80%	2-5	40%	5-16	31%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	31.4	10	42%	6	2	1	0	0	3	0	6	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-7	14%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 35	25.6	6	43%	5	6	2	1	2	6	1	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 23	20.1	7	50%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%

Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22	23.0	16	62%	8	3	1	0	1	3	1	7	6-8	75%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	22.9	11	69%	3	3	1	0	1	2	1	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Quinten Post #21 · PF · 7'0" 238 · 25	17.6	15	63%	6	2	0	0	1	2	3	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	3-9	33%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	15.6	5	42%	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 29	13.7	0	0%	6	1	0	0	0	3	4	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kevin Knox II #31 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #12 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	INACTIVE
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	INACTIVE
Taran Armstrong #1 · NA · 6'5" 190 · 23	INACTIVE
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb Ligament; Partial Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	51%	50	29	10	1	10	22	18	32	22-29	76%	25-37	68%	13-55	24%

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6 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	34.7	18	56%	10	4	1	0	2	0	7	3	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	1-6	17%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	33.9	23	50%	4	6	3	0	1	2	0	4	4-5	80%	2-5	40%	5-16	31%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	31.4	10	42%	6	2	1	0	0	3	0	6	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-7	14%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 35	25.6	6	43%	5	6	2	1	2	6	1	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 23	20.1	7	50%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%

Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22	23.0	16	62%	8	3	1	0	1	3	1	7	6-8	75%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	22.9	11	69%	3	3	1	0	1	2	1	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Quinten Post #21 · PF · 7'0" 238 · 25	17.6	15	63%	6	2	0	0	1	2	3	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	3-9	33%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	15.6	5	42%	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 29	13.7	0	0%	6	1	0	0	0	3	4	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kevin Knox II #31 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #12 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	INACTIVE
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	INACTIVE
Taran Armstrong #1 · NA · 6'5" 190 · 23	INACTIVE
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb Ligament; Partial Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	51%	50	29	10	1	10	22	18	32	22-29	76%	25-37	68%	13-55	24%

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30 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Brown #00 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 29	32.4	18	69%	7	1	2	2	1	4	2	5	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	2-4	50%
Kelly Olynyk #13 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 34	28.7	6	30%	6	2	2	0	2	6	2	4	6-6	100%	0-5	0%	0-2	0%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	27.8	12	55%	10	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	6-8	75%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	27.4	10	38%	3	4	0	1	2	1	1	2	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	0-3	0%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	27.4	8	36%	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	2-7	29%

Elfrid Payton #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	23.4	4	29%	5	10	0	0	4	2	2	3	0-1	0%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 24	20.2	10	71%	3	2	1	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	19.1	11	61%	2	2	1	0	2	2	2	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	19.0	5	50%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 25	14.7	11	69%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	2-2	100%
Lester Quinones #22 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Contusion
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Contusion
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Labrum
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Rotator Cuff
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	49%	46	24	6	5	15	23	14	32	22-28	79%	26-58	45%	7-23	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	NOP

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.03 51.4%

NOP

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

80%

NOP

67%

Midrange

GSW

59%

NOP

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

19.5

24%

35%

NOP

10.5

30%

46%

Free Throws

GSW

76%

NOP

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	23	50%	11.5 / 23
J. Butler	18	56%	9.0 / 16
J. Kuminga	16	62%	8.0 / 13
Q. Post	15	63%	7.5 / 12
B. Hield	11	69%	5.5 / 8
B. Podziemski	10	42%	5.0 / 12
M. Moody	7	50%	3.5 / 7
D. Green	6	43%	3.0 / 7
G. Santos	5	42%	2.5 / 6
K. Looney	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Brown	18	69%	9.0 / 13
Y. Missi	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Robinson-Earl	11	61%	5.5 / 9
K. Brooks Jr.	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Alvarado	10	38%	5.0 / 13
K. Matković	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Hawkins	8	36%	4.0 / 11
K. Olynyk	6	30%	3.0 / 10
A. Reeves	5	50%	2.5 / 5
E. Payton	4	29%	2.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.2 25 109.6	GSW 116.8 +16.8 NOP 100.0
Pace	17 99.4 15 99.8	GSW 94.8 NOP 95.2 +0.3
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.3 17 14.4	GSW 15.2 NOP 15.1 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 26 51.9%	GSW 48.4% +3.3% NOP 45.1%
TO %	13 13.2% 20 13.9%	GSW 9.5% −5.1% NOP 14.6%
ORB %	5 27.3% 9 26.3%	GSW 36.0% +5.6% NOP 30.4%
FTrt	14 24.4 15 24.4	GSW 31.5 NOP 34.6 +3.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 71.4% 13 63.6%	GSW 76.3% +3.6% NOP 72.7%
STL %	3 9.4% 8 8.5%	GSW 10.5% +4.2% NOP 6.3%
BLK %	13 9.5% 7 10.4%	GSW 1.7% NOP 13.5% +11.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.3% 26 53.8%	GSW 51.4% +2.4% NOP 49.0%
Rim FG%	21 62.7% 26 61.0%	GSW 80.0% +13.3% NOP 66.7%
Mid FG%	25 39.9% 23 40.7%	GSW 59.1% +21.9% NOP 37.2%
3P %	16 36.4% 24 34.7%	GSW 23.6% NOP 30.4% +6.8%
FT %	25 76.3% 27 75.4%	GSW 75.9% NOP 78.6% +2.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.1% 9 33.6%	GSW 16.3% NOP 18.5% +2.2%
Mid Att. %	7 23.1% 22 27.9%	GSW 23.9% −29.2% NOP 53.1%
3P Att. %	2 46.9% 26 38.6%	GSW 59.8% +31.4% NOP 28.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	NOP
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	111	95
Rebounds	50	46
Assists	29	24
Steals	10	6
Blocks	1	5
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	15 (1)
Fouls	22	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (5)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	32 (4)
Field Goals	38-92	33-81
At-the-Rim FG	12-15	10-15
Midrange FG	13-22	16-43
2-Point FG	25-37	26-58
3-Point FG	13-55	7-23
Free Throws	22-29	22-28
Fast Break Pts	17	16
2nd Chance Pts	36	16
Points in Paint	46	46
Pts off Turnovers	23	10
Bench Points	47	41
Biggest Lead	16	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg