Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 29, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Kings	49%	108	91	93.8	97	100.2
	17	Magic	51%	109	121	124.7	97	94.0

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+11

-16

ORL

+18

-12

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.99 49.5%

ORL

1.17 58.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	30.0	9	50%	3	0	0	3	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	29.5	14	44%	13	4	1	0	2	3	3	10	6-8	75%	4-11	36%	0-1	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	28.9	21	88%	4	1	0	2	1	4	1	3	5-5	100%	5-8	63%	2-3	67%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	28.7	10	56%	2	3	0	0	5	2	0	2	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Keon Ellis #23 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 25	18.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	4	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	24.6	4	40%	7	1	1	1	1	2	0	7	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	22.7	9	45%	2	2	0	0	6	2	0	2	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	13.6	6	33%	3	4	3	0	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	13.3	8	57%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	11.3	4	50%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	9.7	6	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	6.6	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	0.5	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Bone Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	50%	41	17	6	6	16	21	9	32	16-20	80%	27-53	51%	7-28	25%

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13 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	30.0	9	50%	3	0	0	3	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	29.5	14	44%	13	4	1	0	2	3	3	10	6-8	75%	4-11	36%	0-1	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	28.9	21	88%	4	1	0	2	1	4	1	3	5-5	100%	5-8	63%	2-3	67%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	28.7	10	56%	2	3	0	0	5	2	0	2	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Keon Ellis #23 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 25	18.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	4	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	24.6	4	40%	7	1	1	1	1	2	0	7	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	22.7	9	45%	2	2	0	0	6	2	0	2	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	13.6	6	33%	3	4	3	0	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	13.3	8	57%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	11.3	4	50%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	9.7	6	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	6.6	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	0.5	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Bone Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	50%	41	17	6	6	16	21	9	32	16-20	80%	27-53	51%	7-28	25%

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17 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	29.4	24	50%	6	6	1	0	1	0	2	4	5-11	45%	8-14	57%	1-5	20%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	24.5	8	50%	3	2	2	1	1	1	2	1	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	23.8	21	75%	2	3	0	0	0	2	1	1	3-4	75%	6-6	100%	2-6	33%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	22.6	3	38%	7	6	1	0	1	1	0	7	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	16.9	12	100%	4	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	3-3	100%

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	25.4	8	57%	4	2	2	0	5	4	0	4	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	1-1	100%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	25.3	18	129%	4	2	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	6-7	86%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 27	19.1	2	100%	1	1	2	0	0	2	0	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	17.9	12	55%	10	5	1	1	1	2	5	5	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	12.1	3	30%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	9.1	5	42%	2	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	7.4	2	25%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	6.6	3	75%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Trochlea cartilage tear
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	59%	49	31	10	2	12	18	13	36	15-24	63%	26-50	52%	18-39	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.99 49.5%

ORL

1.17 58.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

59%

ORL

59%

Midrange

SAC

42%

ORL

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

10.5

25%

38%

ORL

27.0

46%

69%

Free Throws

SAC

80%

ORL

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	21	88%	10.5 / 12
D. Sabonis	14	44%	7.0 / 16
Z. LaVine	10	56%	5.0 / 9
K. Murray	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Monk	9	45%	4.5 / 10
D. McDermott	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Fultz	6	33%	3.0 / 9
I. Jones	6	100%	3.0 / 3
T. Lyles	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Valančiūnas	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Ellis	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Crowder	0	-	0.0 / 2
I. Crawford	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	24	50%	12.0 / 24
F. Wagner	21	75%	10.5 / 14
C. Houstan	18	129%	9.0 / 7
W. Carter	12	100%	6.0 / 6
G. Bitadze	12	55%	6.0 / 11
K. Caldwell-Pope	8	50%	4.0 / 8
A. Black	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Queen	5	42%	2.5 / 6
C. Joseph	3	38%	1.5 / 4
T. da Silva	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Howard	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Isaac	2	100%	1.0 / 1
G. Harris	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 115.9 27 109.1	SAC 93.8 ORL 124.7 +30.9
Pace	19 98.9 30 96.4	SAC 100.2 +6.1 ORL 94.0
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 1 15.5	SAC 14.4 −0.9 ORL 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 29 51.0%	SAC 46.3% ORL 59.6% +13.3%
TO %	6 12.6% 18 13.5%	SAC 15.1% ORL 12.3% −2.8%
ORB %	16 25.4% 17 25.3%	SAC 20.0% ORL 28.9% +8.9%
FTrt	21 23.5 2 26.9	SAC 24.7 ORL 27.0 +2.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.5% 25 60.3%	SAC 50.0% ORL 70.5% +20.5%
STL %	23 7.6% 6 9.2%	SAC 6.2% ORL 10.3% +4.1%
BLK %	23 8.8% 1 11.9%	SAC 12.0% +8.2% ORL 3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 28 53.3%	SAC 49.5% ORL 58.7% +9.2%
Rim FG%	2 67.6% 19 63.6%	SAC 58.6% ORL 59.3% +0.7%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 22 41.4%	SAC 41.7% ORL 43.5% +1.8%
3P %	19 35.7% 30 31.8%	SAC 25.0% ORL 46.2% +21.2%
FT %	4 80.6% 19 77.5%	SAC 80.0% +17.5% ORL 62.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 26.8% 15 31.5%	SAC 35.8% +5.5% ORL 30.3%
Mid Att. %	29 34.1% 19 27.4%	SAC 29.6% ORL 25.8% −3.8%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 18 41.1%	SAC 34.6% ORL 43.8% +9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Game Totals	SAC	ORL
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	91	121
Rebounds	41	49
Assists	17	31
Steals	6	10
Blocks	6	2
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	12 (2)
Fouls	21	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (0)	36 (2)
Field Goals	34-81	44-89
At-the-Rim FG	17-29	16-27
Midrange FG	10-24	10-23
2-Point FG	27-53	26-50
3-Point FG	7-28	18-39
Free Throws	16-20	15-24
Fast Break Pts	12	10
2nd Chance Pts	6	12
Points in Paint	44	36
Pts off Turnovers	19	16
Bench Points	37	53
Biggest Lead	0	35

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg