Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Mavericks46%116120
20Bulls54%117119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 26.6
32.1
21.2
19
60%
7
2
0
1
2
2
1
6
2-2
100%
7-10
3-6
70%
54%
1-5
20%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 32.0
30.1
26.7
18
35%
7
5
1
1
2
0
1
6
4-7
57%
7-19
7-13
37%
56%
0-4
0%
Kai Jones
C-F · 6'10" 221 · 24.2
31.4
17.3
15
89%
7
3
4
0
2
0
4
3
1-1
100%
7-8
2-4
88%
66%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 35.1
30.4
23.5
20
70%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
50%
5-10
50%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 32.0
36.0
28.9
14
61%
8
11
0
1
1
1
0
8
0-1
0%
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
2-4
50%
Naji Marshall
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
26.9
34.9
14
50%
7
2
1
1
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
7-12
6-11
58%
58%
0-2
0%
Brandon Williams
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.3
15.9
12
56%
1
3
1
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
Max Christie
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.1
14.5
27.9
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'4" 198 · 22.7
8.9
18.5
6
68%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 33.7
7.6
18.6
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-2
-
68%
0-0
-
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.5
6.2
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'11" 238 · 26.5
Dereck Lively II
C · 7'1" 230 · 21.1
Danté Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 29.7
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.7
Kessler Edwards
F · 6'7" 203 · 24.6
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 33.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 26.6
32.1
34.4
8
40%
3
6
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
57%
1-5
20%
Matas Buzelis
F · 6'10" 209 · 20.5
37.6
23.6
28
75%
9
6
0
0
1
2
0
9
3-4
75%
5-10
3-5
50%
56%
5-7
71%
Nikola Vučević
C · 7'0" 260 · 34.4
30.4
29.0
25
61%
9
5
1
1
0
1
4
5
5-6
83%
7-13
5-8
54%
57%
2-5
40%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 25.1
35.4
35.7
25
63%
11
2
0
1
0
4
1
10
7-9
78%
6-12
5-10
50%
53%
2-4
50%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 22.5
26.7
34.4
8
31%
8
4
0
1
2
4
2
6
2-2
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
54%
0-3
0%
Dalen Terry
F · 6'7" 195 · 22.7
26.2
17.4
8
67%
5
4
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
56%
2-3
67%
Patrick Williams
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
17.6
24.4
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 27.4
17.6
13.5
13
77%
7
2
0
0
0
1
3
4
1-1
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
57%
2-4
50%
Julian Phillips
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.4
16.4
10.9
4
100%
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
Jalen Smith
F-C · 6'10" 215 · 25.0
6.9
0
1-1
64%
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 29.5
3.1
0
0-0
47%
Talen Horton-Tucker
G · 6'4" 235 · 24.3
2.8
0
0-1
51%
E.J. Liddell
F · 6'6" 240 · 24.3
Ayo Dosunmu
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.2
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.2
Emanuel Miller
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
Jahmir Young
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.5
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.