Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 29, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Pacers	25%	109	111	105.7	105	102.0
	1	Thunder	75%	119	132	126.9	104	107.1

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+11

-11

105

OKC

+11

-9

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.06 52.9%

OKC

1.25 62.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 25	30.1	16	53%	5	7	0	0	1	4	0	5	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	28.7	18	69%	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-9	44%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	27.1	11	42%	9	1	0	1	2	1	2	7	2-4	50%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	22.1	7	44%	4	0	1	1	0	4	2	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	20.1	11	50%	5	1	0	0	3	0	2	3	7-10	70%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%

Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	26.7	10	56%	4	4	1	0	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27	22.1	12	67%	3	5	0	2	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-6	33%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	21.9	10	56%	4	2	0	1	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33	12.9	8	67%	1	3	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	12.3	5	83%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	5.8	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	5.7	1	17%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27	4.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	53%	43	27	6	6	11	16	8	35	19-26	73%	25-45	56%	14-42	33%

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10 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 25	30.1	16	53%	5	7	0	0	1	4	0	5	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	28.7	18	69%	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-9	44%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	27.1	11	42%	9	1	0	1	2	1	2	7	2-4	50%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	22.1	7	44%	4	0	1	1	0	4	2	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	20.1	11	50%	5	1	0	0	3	0	2	3	7-10	70%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%

Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	26.7	10	56%	4	4	1	0	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27	22.1	12	67%	3	5	0	2	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-6	33%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	21.9	10	56%	4	2	0	1	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33	12.9	8	67%	1	3	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	12.3	5	83%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	5.8	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	5.7	1	17%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27	4.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	53%	43	27	6	6	11	16	8	35	19-26	73%	25-45	56%	14-42	33%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	33.1	22	100%	5	0	2	1	1	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	6-7	86%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	31.2	33	59%	7	8	1	0	0	2	3	4	10-12	83%	7-17	41%	3-6	50%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	30.3	14	64%	2	3	2	1	1	0	1	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	29.2	18	56%	2	6	0	0	2	2	0	2	4-5	80%	7-12	58%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	14.3	4	40%	5	1	0	0	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	26.8	19	106%	5	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	5-7	71%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	26.6	10	56%	8	5	1	0	0	3	0	8	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 31	18.5	6	60%	5	2	0	0	2	4	1	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	12.9	2	33%	3	1	2	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	12.6	4	33%	3	0	1	2	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	4.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Tightness
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Strain
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Injury Management
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	62%	47	26	9	4	9	17	8	39	19-23	83%	31-58	53%	17-36	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	IND	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.06 52.9%

OKC

1.25 62.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

61%

OKC

63%

Midrange

IND

47%

OKC

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

21.0

33%

50%

OKC

25.5

47%

71%

Free Throws

IND

73%

OKC

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Haliburton	18	69%	9.0 / 13
A. Nembhard	16	53%	8.0 / 15
O. Toppin	12	67%	6.0 / 9
P. Siakam	11	42%	5.5 / 13
M. Turner	11	50%	5.5 / 11
J. Walker	10	56%	5.0 / 9
B. Sheppard	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. McConnell	8	67%	4.0 / 6
A. Nesmith	7	44%	3.5 / 8
T. Bryant	5	83%	2.5 / 3
T. Bradley	2	100%	1.0 / 1
Q. Jackson	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	33	59%	16.5 / 28
L. Dort	22	100%	11.0 / 11
I. Joe	19	106%	9.5 / 9
J. Williams	18	56%	9.0 / 16
C. Wallace	14	64%	7.0 / 11
K. Williams	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Caruso	6	60%	3.0 / 5
I. Hartenstein	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. Carlson	4	33%	2.0 / 6
D. Jones	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Flagler	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 115.3 3 119.2	IND 105.7 OKC 126.9 +21.2
Pace	6 100.9 5 100.9	IND 102.0 OKC 107.1 +5.1
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 25 13.9	IND 14.1 OKC 13.4 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.2% 7 56.0%	IND 52.9% OKC 60.1% +7.2%
TO %	3 12.0% 1 10.9%	IND 11.7% OKC 8.8% −2.9%
ORB %	29 21.3% 21 24.2%	IND 17.0% OKC 18.6% +1.6%
FTrt	17 24.1 28 22.0	IND 29.9 +5.4 OKC 24.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 67.1% 26 60.2%	IND 69.2% +15.0% OKC 54.2%
STL %	10 8.3% 1 10.2%	IND 5.7% OKC 8.7% +3.0%
BLK %	8 10.2% 2 11.9%	IND 10.3% +1.4% OKC 8.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 57.6% 4 57.9%	IND 52.9% OKC 62.3% +9.4%
Rim FG%	6 66.7% 10 65.7%	IND 60.7% OKC 62.5% +1.8%
Mid FG%	6 45.8% 7 45.7%	IND 47.1% +13.8% OKC 33.3%
3P %	9 36.8% 6 37.4%	IND 33.3% OKC 47.2% +13.9%
FT %	9 78.9% 1 81.9%	IND 73.1% OKC 82.6% +9.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.4% 26 29.5%	IND 32.2% OKC 42.6% +10.4%
Mid Att. %	24 28.6% 25 28.6%	IND 19.5% OKC 19.1% −0.4%
3P Att. %	21 40.0% 16 41.9%	IND 48.3% +10.0% OKC 38.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	OKC
Possessions	105	104
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	111	132
Rebounds	43	47
Assists	27	26
Steals	6	9
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (2)	9 (1)
Fouls	16	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	39 (0)
Field Goals	39-87	48-94
At-the-Rim FG	17-28	25-40
Midrange FG	8-17	6-18
2-Point FG	25-45	31-58
3-Point FG	14-42	17-36
Free Throws	19-26	19-23
Fast Break Pts	7	15
2nd Chance Pts	6	12
Points in Paint	40	58
Pts off Turnovers	7	10
Bench Points	48	41
Biggest Lead	10	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg