Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 29, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Celtics	74%	119	121	127.4	95	85.8
	23	Spurs	26%	109	111	115.6	96	107.5

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+19

-9

105

SAS

+12

-4

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.15 57.6%

SAS

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 31	40.0	13	46%	8	6	0	1	2	1	1	7	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	3-12	25%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 27	35.9	29	58%	10	8	0	1	1	1	1	9	7-7	100%	8-13	62%	2-9	22%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 35	34.9	21	88%	6	6	0	0	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	5-7	71%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 28	29.8	14	70%	2	4	0	0	2	3	0	2	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	1-4	25%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	25.3	11	46%	8	1	0	2	3	5	3	5	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-4	25%

Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	31.2	15	68%	16	4	1	0	0	3	7	9	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 27	23.9	11	42%	2	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-11	27%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	18.9	7	70%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Torrey Craig #12 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Norris #44 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	58%	54	32	2	4	9	18	15	39	14-18	78%	28-43	65%	17-51	33%

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2 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 31	40.0	13	46%	8	6	0	1	2	1	1	7	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	3-12	25%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 27	35.9	29	58%	10	8	0	1	1	1	1	9	7-7	100%	8-13	62%	2-9	22%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 35	34.9	21	88%	6	6	0	0	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	5-7	71%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 28	29.8	14	70%	2	4	0	0	2	3	0	2	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	1-4	25%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	25.3	11	46%	8	1	0	2	3	5	3	5	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-4	25%

Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	31.2	15	68%	16	4	1	0	0	3	7	9	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 27	23.9	11	42%	2	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-11	27%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	18.9	7	70%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Torrey Craig #12 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Norris #44 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	58%	54	32	2	4	9	18	15	39	14-18	78%	28-43	65%	17-51	33%

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23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	37.7	14	58%	5	3	1	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	1-6	17%	4-6	67%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	35.2	12	75%	5	5	0	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-5	40%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · C · 6'8" 230 · 22	31.4	18	50%	8	3	2	0	2	3	4	4	10-12	83%	4-8	50%	0-4	0%
Stephon Castle #5 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	29.5	22	48%	2	8	1	0	0	2	0	2	7-10	70%	6-11	55%	1-7	14%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	24.3	13	59%	3	2	2	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-8	38%

Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	33.6	23	88%	6	3	0	0	1	3	1	5	3-3	100%	7-9	78%	2-3	67%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	16.6	6	50%	2	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	16.1	3	30%	3	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	15.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendon Surgery
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-on-chronic
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	53%	35	25	6	1	4	16	10	25	21-27	78%	24-47	51%	14-40	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.15 57.6%

SAS

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

70%

SAS

58%

Midrange

BOS

56%

SAS

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

25.5

33%

50%

SAS

21.0

35%

53%

Free Throws

BOS

78%

SAS

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Tatum	29	58%	14.5 / 25
J. Holiday	21	88%	10.5 / 12
L. Kornet	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Brown	14	70%	7.0 / 10
D. White	13	46%	6.5 / 14
K. Porziņģis	11	46%	5.5 / 12
S. Hauser	11	42%	5.5 / 13
B. Scheierman	7	70%	3.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Johnson	23	88%	11.5 / 13
S. Castle	22	48%	11.0 / 23
J. Sochan	18	50%	9.0 / 18
D. Vassell	14	58%	7.0 / 12
H. Barnes	13	59%	6.5 / 11
C. Paul	12	75%	6.0 / 8
S. Mamukelashvili	6	50%	3.0 / 6
B. Wesley	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Champagnie	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 119.5 19 113.5	BOS 127.4 +11.7 SAS 115.6
Pace	29 96.6 13 100.1	BOS 85.8 SAS 107.5 +21.8
Avg. Poss. Time	2 15.5 20 14.3	BOS 16.8 SAS 13.4 −3.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.1% 18 54.4%	BOS 56.9% +5.2% SAS 51.7%
TO %	2 11.7% 11 13.2%	BOS 9.7% SAS 4.8% −4.9%
ORB %	15 25.6% 20 24.3%	BOS 37.5% +17.1% SAS 20.4%
FTrt	30 21.2 22 23.4	BOS 19.1 SAS 31.0 +11.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 62.8% 3 68.5%	BOS 71.1% +5.3% SAS 65.8%
STL %	26 7.4% 14 8.2%	BOS 2.1% SAS 6.3% +4.2%
BLK %	4 10.5% 5 10.5%	BOS 8.5% +6.2% SAS 2.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 57.8% 18 56.3%	BOS 57.6% +4.2% SAS 53.4%
Rim FG%	4 67.3% 14 63.9%	BOS 70.4% +12.3% SAS 58.1%
Mid FG%	14 43.9% 20 41.8%	BOS 56.3% +18.8% SAS 37.5%
3P %	10 36.8% 20 35.7%	BOS 33.3% SAS 35.0% +1.7%
FT %	6 79.9% 21 77.4%	BOS 77.8% SAS 77.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 26.2% 8 33.7%	BOS 28.7% SAS 35.6% +6.9%
Mid Att. %	1 20.2% 4 22.2%	BOS 17.0% −1.4% SAS 18.4%
3P Att. %	1 53.6% 8 44.1%	BOS 54.3% +8.3% SAS 46.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.

Game Totals	BOS	SAS
Possessions	95	96
Possession Minutes	26.6	21.4
Points	121	111
Rebounds	54	35
Assists	32	25
Steals	2	6
Blocks	4	1
Turnovers (Team)	9 (2)	4 (1)
Fouls	18	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (4)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (2)	25 (6)
Field Goals	45-94	38-87
At-the-Rim FG	19-27	18-31
Midrange FG	9-16	6-16
2-Point FG	28-43	24-47
3-Point FG	17-51	14-40
Free Throws	14-18	21-27
Fast Break Pts	9	16
2nd Chance Pts	23	6
Points in Paint	38	44
Pts off Turnovers	3	15
Bench Points	33	32
Biggest Lead	17	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg