Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 30, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Hawks	43%	115	145	142.2	102	102.2
	14	Bucks	57%	117	124	119.2	104	103.8

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+16

-8

110

MIL

+13

-14

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.32 65.9%

MIL

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	37.1	19	45%	3	19	2	0	2	3	0	3	9-11	82%	2-7	29%	2-9	22%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	34.5	36	75%	6	0	1	0	1	3	4	2	7-9	78%	7-10	70%	5-11	45%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	33.6	22	69%	9	6	5	0	2	4	3	6	2-2	100%	10-12	83%	0-3	0%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	30.5	13	65%	10	3	1	0	1	4	2	8	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	19.2	9	64%	9	1	0	0	0	3	3	6	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%

Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	22.9	9	50%	3	1	0	2	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-6	17%
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	17.5	8	100%	2	1	1	0	0	5	2	0	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	15.8	3	75%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	14.8	17	85%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	4-8	50%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	14.1	9	90%	1	4	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder Surgery
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Medial Femoral Condyle; Fracture
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fourth Metacarpal; Sprain
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; AC Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	145	66%	46	36	10	2	8	29	15	31	28-35	80%	33-46	72%	17-48	35%

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19 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	37.1	19	45%	3	19	2	0	2	3	0	3	9-11	82%	2-7	29%	2-9	22%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	34.5	36	75%	6	0	1	0	1	3	4	2	7-9	78%	7-10	70%	5-11	45%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	33.6	22	69%	9	6	5	0	2	4	3	6	2-2	100%	10-12	83%	0-3	0%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	30.5	13	65%	10	3	1	0	1	4	2	8	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	19.2	9	64%	9	1	0	0	0	3	3	6	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%

Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	22.9	9	50%	3	1	0	2	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-6	17%
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	17.5	8	100%	2	1	1	0	0	5	2	0	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	15.8	3	75%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	14.8	17	85%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	4-8	50%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	14.1	9	90%	1	4	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder Surgery
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Medial Femoral Condyle; Fracture
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fourth Metacarpal; Sprain
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; AC Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	145	66%	46	36	10	2	8	29	15	31	28-35	80%	33-46	72%	17-48	35%

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14 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 30	35.2	25	63%	6	1	0	0	1	3	1	5	5-6	83%	4-8	50%	4-9	44%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	30.4	31	65%	9	5	1	0	5	3	1	8	9-14	64%	11-17	65%	0-1	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	29.9	5	50%	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	27.7	10	71%	4	5	0	0	1	5	0	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Taurean Prince #12 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 31	26.3	7	70%	4	0	1	1	1	3	1	3	1-1	100%	0-0	-	2-5	40%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	28.9	10	45%	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	5-5	100%	1-3	33%	1-6	17%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	22.9	28	93%	4	5	1	0	2	4	1	3	9-9	100%	5-7	71%	3-5	60%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	17.7	6	50%	1	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	11.1	1	17%	3	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	2.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jamaree Bouyea #15 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 26	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	2.4	1	25%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	INACTIVE
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; UCL Sprain
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ac Joint; Sprain
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	60%	36	21	5	2	14	24	6	30	34-43	79%	27-47	57%	12-35	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.32 65.9%

MIL

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

84%

MIL

65%

Midrange

ATL

43%

MIL

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

25.5

35%

53%

MIL

18.0

34%

51%

Free Throws

ATL

80%

MIL

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Risacher	36	75%	18.0 / 24
D. Daniels	22	69%	11.0 / 16
T. Young	19	45%	9.5 / 21
G. Niang	17	85%	8.5 / 10
O. Okongwu	13	65%	6.5 / 10
M. Gueye	9	64%	4.5 / 7
C. LeVert	9	50%	4.5 / 9
T. Mann	9	90%	4.5 / 5
D. Barlow	8	100%	4.0 / 4
V. Krejčí	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	31	65%	15.5 / 24
K. Porter	28	93%	14.0 / 15
K. Kuzma	25	63%	12.5 / 20
R. Rollins	10	71%	5.0 / 7
G. Trent	10	45%	5.0 / 11
T. Prince	7	70%	3.5 / 5
P. Connaughton	6	50%	3.0 / 6
B. Lopez	5	50%	2.5 / 5
A. Jackson	1	17%	0.5 / 3
C. Livingston	1	25%	0.5 / 2
T. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 113.7 10 115.2	ATL 142.2 +22.9 MIL 119.2
Pace	3 103.4 14 99.9	ATL 102.2 MIL 103.8 +1.5
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.3 14 14.6	ATL 14.1 MIL 13.9 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.6% 3 56.8%	ATL 62.2% +7.3% MIL 54.9%
TO %	23 14.1% 7 12.7%	ATL 7.6% −4.6% MIL 12.2%
ORB %	10 26.3% 30 19.3%	ATL 33.3% +17.1% MIL 16.2%
FTrt	8 25.2 3 26.8	ATL 37.2 MIL 52.4 +15.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 68.3% 23 60.7%	ATL 72.0% +18.2% MIL 53.8%
STL %	4 9.4% 27 7.3%	ATL 9.8% +5.0% MIL 4.8%
BLK %	11 9.7% 20 9.1%	ATL 4.3% MIL 4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 3 58.6%	ATL 65.9% +5.7% MIL 60.2%
Rim FG%	20 62.9% 5 66.9%	ATL 84.4% +19.0% MIL 65.4%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 13 44.1%	ATL 42.9% MIL 47.6% +4.7%
3P %	18 35.8% 1 38.7%	ATL 35.4% +1.1% MIL 34.3%
FT %	18 77.5% 28 75.0%	ATL 80.0% +0.9% MIL 79.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 34.1% 24 30.0%	ATL 34.0% +2.3% MIL 31.7%
Mid Att. %	10 24.8% 21 27.5%	ATL 14.9% −10.7% MIL 25.6%
3P Att. %	19 41.0% 15 42.4%	ATL 51.1% +8.4% MIL 42.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MIL
Possessions	102	104
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	145	124
Rebounds	46	36
Assists	36	21
Steals	10	5
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls	29	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (1)	6 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	30 (2)
Field Goals	50-94	39-82
At-the-Rim FG	27-32	17-26
Midrange FG	6-14	10-21
2-Point FG	33-46	27-47
3-Point FG	17-48	12-35
Free Throws	28-35	34-43
Fast Break Pts	22	4
2nd Chance Pts	18	11
Points in Paint	62	46
Pts off Turnovers	28	11
Bench Points	46	46
Biggest Lead	27	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg