Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 30, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Warriors	69%	119	148	141.0	105	104.3
	23	Spurs	31%	112	106	101.0	105	105.7

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+14

-12

107

SAS

-21

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.38 69.2%

SAS

1.14 57.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	26.9	27	90%	6	5	1	0	2	0	1	5	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	7-9	78%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	25.8	13	59%	3	6	1	1	0	2	0	3	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 23	24.6	20	77%	3	3	3	1	2	2	0	3	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	3-6	50%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	23.5	13	93%	3	8	4	0	4	0	1	2	4-4	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 35	21.3	14	78%	5	2	1	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-4	50%

Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	24.6	19	79%	5	4	3	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	5-6	83%	3-6	50%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	23.6	4	33%	4	6	2	0	0	2	3	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Quinten Post #21 · PF · 7'0" 238 · 25	17.7	7	39%	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 29	13.1	8	80%	7	1	0	1	0	1	1	6	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Kevin Knox II #31 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	12.9	6	75%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	10.2	5	83%	0	4	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	9.3	8	50%	3	2	0	0	1	1	3	0	0-3	0%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22	6.6	4	67%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	INACTIVE
Braxton Key #12 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	INACTIVE
Taran Armstrong #1 · NA · 6'5" 190 · 23	INACTIVE
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb Ligament; Partial Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	148	69%	44	42	17	3	12	15	10	34	15-19	79%	35-53	66%	21-44	48%

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5 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	26.9	27	90%	6	5	1	0	2	0	1	5	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	7-9	78%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	25.8	13	59%	3	6	1	1	0	2	0	3	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 23	24.6	20	77%	3	3	3	1	2	2	0	3	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	3-6	50%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	23.5	13	93%	3	8	4	0	4	0	1	2	4-4	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 35	21.3	14	78%	5	2	1	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-4	50%

Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	24.6	19	79%	5	4	3	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	5-6	83%	3-6	50%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	23.6	4	33%	4	6	2	0	0	2	3	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Quinten Post #21 · PF · 7'0" 238 · 25	17.7	7	39%	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 29	13.1	8	80%	7	1	0	1	0	1	1	6	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Kevin Knox II #31 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	12.9	6	75%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	10.2	5	83%	0	4	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	9.3	8	50%	3	2	0	0	1	1	3	0	0-3	0%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22	6.6	4	67%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	INACTIVE
Braxton Key #12 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	INACTIVE
Taran Armstrong #1 · NA · 6'5" 190 · 23	INACTIVE
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb Ligament; Partial Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	148	69%	44	42	17	3	12	15	10	34	15-19	79%	35-53	66%	21-44	48%

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23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephon Castle #5 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	22.4	9	38%	3	2	0	0	4	2	1	2	2-3	67%	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	20.5	12	60%	3	3	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · C · 6'8" 230 · 22	18.2	2	25%	2	1	0	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	17.6	6	100%	1	4	1	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	17.5	6	50%	1	3	0	0	2	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	26.9	5	36%	2	2	2	0	2	2	1	1	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	26.7	11	55%	5	2	0	1	2	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	25.1	14	64%	11	4	0	1	2	3	2	9	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	1-4	25%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	21.4	19	73%	3	2	1	0	2	1	2	1	1-1	100%	6-8	75%	2-5	40%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	20.9	9	113%	1	4	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	12.9	13	65%	1	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	9.9	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendon Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	57%	34	30	4	3	21	20	7	27	10-16	63%	24-42	57%	16-42	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.38 69.2%

SAS

1.14 57.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

76%

SAS

66%

Midrange

GSW

44%

SAS

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

31.5

48%

72%

SAS

24.0

38%

57%

Free Throws

GSW

79%

SAS

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Podziemski	27	90%	13.5 / 15
M. Moody	20	77%	10.0 / 13
B. Hield	19	79%	9.5 / 12
D. Green	14	78%	7.0 / 9
S. Curry	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Butler	13	93%	6.5 / 7
K. Looney	8	80%	4.0 / 5
T. Jackson-Davis	8	50%	4.0 / 8
Q. Post	7	39%	3.5 / 9
K. Knox	6	75%	3.0 / 4
P. Spencer	5	83%	2.5 / 3
G. Santos	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Kuminga	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Johnson	19	73%	9.5 / 13
S. Mamukelashvili	14	64%	7.0 / 11
M. Branham	13	65%	6.5 / 10
D. Vassell	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Champagnie	11	55%	5.5 / 10
S. Castle	9	38%	4.5 / 12
J. McLaughlin	9	113%	4.5 / 4
C. Paul	6	100%	3.0 / 3
H. Barnes	6	50%	3.0 / 6
B. Wesley	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Sochan	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.2 19 113.5	GSW 141.0 +40.0 SAS 101.0
Pace	17 99.4 13 100.1	GSW 104.3 SAS 105.7 +1.5
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.3 20 14.3	GSW 13.8 SAS 13.6 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 18 54.4%	GSW 68.6% +11.5% SAS 57.1%
TO %	13 13.2% 11 13.2%	GSW 11.0% −7.7% SAS 18.7%
ORB %	5 27.3% 20 24.3%	GSW 27.0% +9.9% SAS 17.1%
FTrt	14 24.4 22 23.4	GSW 19.6 +0.6 SAS 19.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 71.4% 3 68.5%	GSW 75.0% SAS 75.0%
STL %	3 9.4% 14 8.2%	GSW 16.2% +12.4% SAS 3.8%
BLK %	13 9.5% 5 10.5%	GSW 7.1% +1.4% SAS 5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.3% 18 56.3%	GSW 69.2% +12.2% SAS 57.0%
Rim FG%	21 62.7% 14 63.9%	GSW 75.7% +10.2% SAS 65.5%
Mid FG%	25 39.9% 20 41.8%	GSW 43.8% +5.3% SAS 38.5%
3P %	16 36.4% 20 35.7%	GSW 47.7% +9.6% SAS 38.1%
FT %	25 76.3% 21 77.4%	GSW 78.9% +16.4% SAS 62.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.1% 8 33.7%	GSW 38.1% +3.6% SAS 34.5%
Mid Att. %	7 23.1% 4 22.2%	GSW 16.5% SAS 15.5% −1.0%
3P Att. %	2 46.9% 8 44.1%	GSW 45.4% SAS 50.0% +4.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	SAS
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	148	106
Rebounds	44	34
Assists	42	30
Steals	17	4
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	21 (0)
Fouls	15	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (5)	27 (3)
Field Goals	56-97	40-84
At-the-Rim FG	28-37	19-29
Midrange FG	7-16	5-13
2-Point FG	35-53	24-42
3-Point FG	21-44	16-42
Free Throws	15-19	10-16
Fast Break Pts	34	10
2nd Chance Pts	21	6
Points in Paint	64	44
Pts off Turnovers	34	15
Bench Points	61	71
Biggest Lead	47	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg