Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Kings39%115109
10Pacers61%119111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 35.6
42.3
31.7
31
57%
3
8
1
1
1
0
0
3
5-7
71%
10-18
6-11
56%
52%
2-6
33%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.6
35.7
31.4
12
55%
7
0
1
1
2
0
0
7
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
57%
2-5
40%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 28.9
39.9
29.3
25
58%
16
0
1
1
0
1
4
12
3-6
50%
11-19
5-8
58%
61%
0-0
-
Keon Ellis
G · 6'6" 175 · 25.2
27.1
25.9
9
92%
3
4
1
2
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
59%
2-3
67%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.1
37.8
31.4
20
63%
5
2
1
1
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
55%
4-8
50%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.2
28.6
25.5
5
18%
7
7
0
1
0
5
1
6
0-0
-
1-11
4-7
9%
54%
1-3
33%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 29.4
15.3
17.8
3
75%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
1-2
50%
Jonas Valančiūnas
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.9
8.2
12.9
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
58%
0-0
-
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.8
5.2
12.2
2
100%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 33.2
7.4
0
0-0
52%
Isaac Jones
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.7
6.2
0
1-2
58%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 34.7
5.1
0
0-0
52%
Mason Jones
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.7
3.5
0
0-1
52%
Isaiah Crawford
F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
3.0
0
0-0
52%
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.4
Devin Carter
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
34.8
22.1
24
60%
6
0
1
1
2
1
0
6
9-9
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
59%
1-8
13%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 31.0
31.5
27.5
11
35%
3
6
0
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
3-11
5-9
27%
57%
1-4
25%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 27.7
21.9
11.3
7
50%
7
1
0
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
66%
1-3
33%
Andrew Nembhard
G-F · 6'5" 191 · 25.2
31.4
28.6
5
31%
7
2
1
1
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
57%
1-5
20%
Tyrese Haliburton
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.1
33.4
28.0
18
65%
2
11
0
1
0
5
1
1
2-2
100%
5-9
4-6
56%
59%
2-4
50%
Jarace Walker
F · 6'8" 235 · 21.6
21.8
18.2
15
75%
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
55%
3-7
43%
Obi Toppin
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.1
21.7
20.0
19
86%
7
0
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
3-4
67%
69%
5-8
63%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 33.0
21.3
15.0
8
67%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
56%
0-0
-
Ben Sheppard
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.7
14.4
16.2
0
0%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
60%
0-2
0%
Tony Bradley
C · 6'10" 248 · 27.2
7.8
5.2
4
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
64%
0-0
-
Quenton Jackson
G · 6'5" 173 · 26.5
6.0
0
1-1
54%
Johnny Furphy
G · 6'9" 200 · 20.3
5.3
0
0-0
55%
RayJ Dennis
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.0
2.9
0
0-0
52%
Enrique Freeman
F · 6'7" 206 · 24.7
2.6
0
0-0
57%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 38.1
1.6
0
0-0
54%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.0
Isaiah Jackson
F · 6'10" 205 · 23.2
Bennedict Mathurin
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.