Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat69%114120
25Wizards31%10794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
29.8
15.9
15
54%
7
5
1
1
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
7-9
1-2
78%
55%
0-4
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.7
30.9
31.4
28
63%
12
5
1
1
1
1
3
9
4-7
57%
9-14
6-11
64%
57%
2-5
40%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.9
22.2
26.5
6
50%
11
0
0
1
0
4
1
10
0-0
-
3-6
4-6
50%
65%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.7
17.9
17.0
3
30%
3
2
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-5
20%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.2
32.6
34.0
27
59%
5
5
3
1
0
2
0
5
9-9
100%
9-13
6-10
69%
55%
0-6
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.0
32.7
6.3
15
61%
5
6
1
0
0
0
0
5
2-3
67%
2-4
1-1
50%
52%
3-7
43%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 24.1
23.9
6.4
14
78%
7
2
3
0
0
3
4
3
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
56%
2-2
100%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 31.5
23.9
16.8
10
73%
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
1-1
100%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
20.5
30.6
2
23%
7
1
1
1
0
1
3
4
0-1
0%
1-2
2-3
50%
59%
0-2
0%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.8
1.9
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
57%
0-0
-
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.3
1.9
2.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
1.9
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 30.1
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.6
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.8
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.2
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
AJ Johnson
G · 6'5" 160 · 20.3
36.8
31.2
8
40%
3
1
1
1
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-4
0%
Justin Champagnie
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.8
29.1
21.7
5
43%
5
1
3
1
1
1
2
3
0-2
0%
1-1
2-4
100%
58%
1-4
25%
Alex Sarr
C · 7'0" 205 · 19.9
30.7
25.9
8
23%
3
3
1
1
2
2
0
3
1-1
100%
2-10
4-8
20%
49%
1-7
14%
Jordan Poole
G · 6'5" 191 · 25.8
29.0
21.8
35
83%
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
8-9
89%
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
7-13
54%
Bub Carrington
G · 6'6" 190 · 19.7
38.5
25.3
8
36%
8
9
3
1
0
3
0
8
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
50%
2-6
33%
Tristan Vukcevic
F · 6'10" 220 · 22.1
22.4
19.5
14
54%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
56%
2-6
33%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.1
20.2
12.3
4
30%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Jaylen Martin
G · 6'6" 216 · 21.2
17.9
22.6
4
50%
4
1
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 31.5
15.4
7.7
8
80%
8
0
1
0
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
62%
0-0
-
Anthony Gill
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.5
Saddiq Bey
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.0
Bilal Coulibaly
G · 6'6" 195 · 20.7
Colby Jones
G · 6'6" 207 · 22.8
Corey Kispert
F · 6'6" 224 · 26.1
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 32.3
JT Thor
F · 6'9" 203 · 22.6
Kyshawn George
F · 6'8" 200 · 21.3
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 33.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.