Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Timberwolves	54%	112	140	122.8	114	90.5
	11	Nuggets	46%	111	139	121.9	114	98.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	50.5	34	61%	10	8	1	0	5	4	1	9	5-7	71%	7-10	70%	5-15	33%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	49.5	26	59%	9	7	1	0	4	5	2	7	0-0	-	7-14	50%	4-8	50%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	43.7	12	33%	6	0	0	0	2	5	4	2	2-2	100%	5-13	38%	0-4	0%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	39.6	19	63%	12	1	1	0	0	6	6	6	5-9	56%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	36.5	9	56%	1	8	1	0	1	4	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	45.0	26	72%	8	8	0	2	1	4	3	5	5-7	71%	3-5	60%	5-11	45%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	12.1	10	83%	4	1	0	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	9.2	2	25%	2	2	0	0	1	4	2	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	4.0	2	50%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #77 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	DNP - League Suspension
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	DNP - League Suspension
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	INACTIVE
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	INACTIVE
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	140	56%	52	35	5	2	14	34	21	31	17-25	68%	33-61	54%	19-50	38%

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5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	50.5	34	61%	10	8	1	0	5	4	1	9	5-7	71%	7-10	70%	5-15	33%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	49.5	26	59%	9	7	1	0	4	5	2	7	0-0	-	7-14	50%	4-8	50%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	43.7	12	33%	6	0	0	0	2	5	4	2	2-2	100%	5-13	38%	0-4	0%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	39.6	19	63%	12	1	1	0	0	6	6	6	5-9	56%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	36.5	9	56%	1	8	1	0	1	4	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	45.0	26	72%	8	8	0	2	1	4	3	5	5-7	71%	3-5	60%	5-11	45%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	12.1	10	83%	4	1	0	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	9.2	2	25%	2	2	0	0	1	4	2	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	4.0	2	50%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #77 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	DNP - League Suspension
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	DNP - League Suspension
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	INACTIVE
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	INACTIVE
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	140	56%	52	35	5	2	14	34	21	31	17-25	68%	33-61	54%	19-50	38%

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11 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	53.2	18	64%	12	4	3	0	2	1	4	8	1-1	100%	7-8	88%	1-6	17%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	52.6	61	78%	10	10	2	0	4	5	2	8	19-24	79%	12-18	67%	6-11	55%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	46.6	30	75%	8	5	0	1	2	3	1	7	8-10	80%	5-7	71%	4-8	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	45.3	7	35%	3	0	0	4	1	3	0	3	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · PG · 6'2" 202 · 25	32.0	9	75%	4	5	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-3	33%

Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	38.1	12	43%	6	7	1	2	5	5	0	6	4-7	57%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	11.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	5.4	2	50%	2	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	5.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tightness
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	139	64%	45	33	7	7	16	22	8	37	33-44	75%	35-52	67%	12-34	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.12 56.0%

DEN

1.28 63.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

22

36

61%

DEN

22

31

71%

Midrange

MIN

11

25

44%

DEN

13

21

62%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

19

28.5

50

38%

57%

DEN

12

18.0

34

35%

53%

Free Throws

MIN

17

25

68%

DEN

33

44

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	34	61%	17.0 / 28
J. Randle	26	59%	13.0 / 22
N. Alexander-Walker	26	72%	13.0 / 18
R. Gobert	19	63%	9.5 / 15
J. McDaniels	12	33%	6.0 / 18
J. Minott	10	83%	5.0 / 6
M. Conley	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Clark	2	25%	1.0 / 4
R. Dillingham	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	61	78%	30.5 / 39
A. Gordon	30	75%	15.0 / 20
C. Braun	18	64%	9.0 / 14
R. Westbrook	12	43%	6.0 / 14
J. Pickett	9	75%	4.5 / 6
P. Watson	7	35%	3.5 / 10
D. Jordan	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 115.7 4 118.9	MIN 122.8 +0.9 DEN 121.9
Pace	25 98.1 8 100.6	MIN 90.5 DEN 98.6 +8.1
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 22 14.2	MIN 15.9 DEN 14.6 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 2 57.3%	MIN 55.4% DEN 61.6% +6.2%
TO %	19 13.9% 15 13.3%	MIN 10.3% −4.3% DEN 14.6%
ORB %	14 25.7% 7 26.7%	MIN 36.2% +15.7% DEN 20.5%
FTrt	11 24.9 5 25.9	MIN 22.5 DEN 51.2 +28.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 63.7% 4 68.3%	MIN 67.3% DEN 70.2% +2.9%
STL %	16 8.1% 19 7.9%	MIN 4.4% DEN 6.1% +1.7%
BLK %	14 9.5% 21 9.0%	MIN 3.8% DEN 11.5% +7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.3% 2 58.8%	MIN 56.0% DEN 63.8% +7.8%
Rim FG%	12 64.8% 7 66.2%	MIN 61.1% DEN 71.0% +9.9%
Mid FG%	27 39.5% 8 45.5%	MIN 44.0% DEN 61.9% +17.9%
3P %	4 37.7% 5 37.6%	MIN 38.0% +2.7% DEN 35.3%
FT %	10 78.9% 23 77.0%	MIN 68.0% DEN 75.0% +7.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.2% 1 38.3%	MIN 32.4% DEN 36.0% +3.6%
Mid Att. %	6 22.3% 13 26.1%	MIN 22.5% −1.9% DEN 24.4%
3P Att. %	6 45.5% 30 35.6%	MIN 45.0% +5.5% DEN 39.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	MIN	DEN
Possessions	114	114
Possession Minutes	30.2	27.8
Points	140	139
Rebounds	52	45
Assists	35	33
Steals	5	7
Blocks	2	7
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	16 (2)
Fouls	34	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	21 (4)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	37 (1)
Field Goals	52-111	47-86
At-the-Rim FG	22-36	22-31
Midrange FG	11-25	13-21
2-Point FG	33-61	35-52
3-Point FG	19-50	12-34
Free Throws	17-25	33-44
Fast Break Pts	20	36
2nd Chance Pts	22	11
Points in Paint	60	64
Pts off Turnovers	20	16
Bench Points	40	14
Biggest Lead	8	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg