Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, April 2, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Hornets	23%	107	105	110.5	95	98.1
	9	Pacers	77%	118	119	125.3	95	92.1

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+11

-18

IND

+12

-6

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.19 59.7%

IND

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	32.3	16	73%	12	1	0	0	4	0	3	9	4-6	67%	6-7	86%	0-1	0%
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	30.6	9	45%	5	4	0	1	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	29.9	16	114%	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-2	100%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	24.4	18	82%	4	5	0	1	1	0	1	3	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	2-3	67%
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	8.1	3	38%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%

Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	27.0	7	44%	5	2	0	0	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 28	23.9	8	57%	2	1	0	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Jusuf Nurkić #11 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	20.4	13	72%	5	1	0	0	2	3	1	4	3-6	50%	5-5	100%	0-1	0%
Damion Baugh #7 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	17.4	2	11%	2	3	0	0	2	2	2	0	0-0	-	1-8	13%	0-1	0%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 23	13.3	8	100%	3	0	1	0	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	12.8	5	42%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Repair
Wendell Moore Jr. #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	INACTIVE
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Herniation
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Impingement
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	60%	44	20	3	2	18	15	9	35	13-18	72%	31-54	57%	10-24	42%

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24 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	32.3	16	73%	12	1	0	0	4	0	3	9	4-6	67%	6-7	86%	0-1	0%
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	30.6	9	45%	5	4	0	1	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	29.9	16	114%	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-2	100%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	24.4	18	82%	4	5	0	1	1	0	1	3	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	2-3	67%
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	8.1	3	38%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%

Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	27.0	7	44%	5	2	0	0	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 28	23.9	8	57%	2	1	0	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Jusuf Nurkić #11 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	20.4	13	72%	5	1	0	0	2	3	1	4	3-6	50%	5-5	100%	0-1	0%
Damion Baugh #7 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	17.4	2	11%	2	3	0	0	2	2	2	0	0-0	-	1-8	13%	0-1	0%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 23	13.3	8	100%	3	0	1	0	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	12.8	5	42%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Repair
Wendell Moore Jr. #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	INACTIVE
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Herniation
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Impingement
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	60%	44	20	3	2	18	15	9	35	13-18	72%	31-54	57%	10-24	42%

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9 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	33.8	22	73%	1	10	2	2	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	5-9	56%	4-6	67%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 25	28.7	9	56%	2	2	2	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	28.5	15	75%	9	2	0	2	2	4	3	6	0-0	-	3-3	100%	3-7	43%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	28.3	15	44%	6	1	2	0	1	2	1	5	2-4	50%	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	26.3	16	67%	3	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	3-9	33%

Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	22.0	10	56%	6	2	0	0	0	1	0	6	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	3-5	60%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	19.5	13	81%	3	1	1	0	0	2	3	0	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33	19.3	8	40%	4	7	1	1	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27	18.2	8	50%	4	1	0	1	1	2	0	4	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	13.9	3	75%	0	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	59%	38	29	10	6	6	16	11	27	7-10	70%	29-51	57%	18-44	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	IND
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.19 59.7%

IND

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

63%

IND

61%

Midrange

CHA

50%

IND

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

15.0

42%

63%

IND

27.0

41%

61%

Free Throws

CHA

72%

IND

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bridges	18	82%	9.0 / 11
M. Williams	16	73%	8.0 / 11
S. Curry	16	114%	8.0 / 7
J. Nurkić	13	72%	6.5 / 9
K. Simpson	9	45%	4.5 / 10
D. Jeffries	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Diabaté	8	100%	4.0 / 4
T. Salaün	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Okogie	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Green	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Baugh	2	11%	1.0 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Haliburton	22	73%	11.0 / 15
A. Nesmith	16	67%	8.0 / 12
M. Turner	15	75%	7.5 / 10
P. Siakam	15	44%	7.5 / 17
T. Bryant	13	81%	6.5 / 8
J. Walker	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Nembhard	9	56%	4.5 / 8
T. McConnell	8	40%	4.0 / 10
O. Toppin	8	50%	4.0 / 8
B. Sheppard	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 106.7 9 115.3	CHA 110.5 IND 125.3 +14.7
Pace	23 98.2 6 100.9	CHA 98.1 +6.1 IND 92.1
Avg. Poss. Time	8 14.9 24 14.0	CHA 14.7 −1.0 IND 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 4 56.2%	CHA 59.0% +0.1% IND 58.9%
TO %	28 15.1% 3 12.0%	CHA 17.3% IND 5.7% −11.6%
ORB %	8 26.5% 29 21.3%	CHA 25.0% +1.1% IND 23.9%
FTrt	27 22.2 17 24.1	CHA 23.1 +12.6 IND 10.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 63.5% 8 67.1%	CHA 48.8% IND 61.7% +12.9%
STL %	24 7.5% 10 8.3%	CHA 3.2% IND 10.5% +7.3%
BLK %	18 9.2% 8 10.2%	CHA 3.9% IND 11.1% +7.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.5% 7 57.6%	CHA 59.7% +0.8% IND 58.9%
Rim FG%	30 59.7% 6 66.7%	CHA 62.5% +1.6% IND 60.9%
Mid FG%	29 38.5% 6 45.8%	CHA 50.0% IND 53.6% +3.6%
3P %	28 33.9% 9 36.8%	CHA 41.7% +0.8% IND 40.9%
FT %	14 78.3% 9 78.9%	CHA 72.2% +2.2% IND 70.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 30.7% 17 31.4%	CHA 41.0% +16.8% IND 24.2%
Mid Att. %	16 26.3% 24 28.6%	CHA 28.2% −1.3% IND 29.5%
3P Att. %	11 43.0% 21 40.0%	CHA 30.8% IND 46.3% +15.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	IND
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	105	119
Rebounds	44	38
Assists	20	29
Steals	3	10
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	6 (0)
Fouls	15	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (2)	27 (1)
Field Goals	41-78	47-95
At-the-Rim FG	20-32	14-23
Midrange FG	11-22	15-28
2-Point FG	31-54	29-51
3-Point FG	10-24	18-44
Free Throws	13-18	7-10
Fast Break Pts	7	16
2nd Chance Pts	15	18
Points in Paint	54	44
Pts off Turnovers	4	29
Bench Points	43	42
Biggest Lead	2	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg