Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, April 2, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Kings	73%	122	111	111.0	100	100.5
	28	Wizards	27%	113	116	117.2	99	98.6

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+21

-11

110

WAS

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.01 50.5%

WAS

1.25 62.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	39.6	29	52%	7	8	0	1	1	2	3	4	8-12	67%	9-18	50%	1-5	20%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	35.4	18	60%	16	7	1	0	4	4	6	10	1-1	100%	7-12	58%	1-3	33%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	35.2	18	64%	5	3	2	1	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	4-10	40%
Zach LaVine #8 · PG · 6'5" 200 · 30	35.0	18	56%	2	2	0	0	3	4	0	2	6-7	86%	3-6	50%	2-7	29%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	22.1	2	20%	3	0	3	1	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	34.6	13	43%	3	3	2	0	1	2	0	3	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	2-9	22%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	17.8	1	13%	4	1	1	0	1	1	2	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	12.6	12	86%	6	0	1	0	0	2	2	4	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	7.8	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Bone Contusion
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	51%	48	25	10	3	11	16	17	31	21-28	75%	30-56	54%	10-39	26%

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14 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	39.6	29	52%	7	8	0	1	1	2	3	4	8-12	67%	9-18	50%	1-5	20%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	35.4	18	60%	16	7	1	0	4	4	6	10	1-1	100%	7-12	58%	1-3	33%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	35.2	18	64%	5	3	2	1	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	4-10	40%
Zach LaVine #8 · PG · 6'5" 200 · 30	35.0	18	56%	2	2	0	0	3	4	0	2	6-7	86%	3-6	50%	2-7	29%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	22.1	2	20%	3	0	3	1	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	34.6	13	43%	3	3	2	0	1	2	0	3	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	2-9	22%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	17.8	1	13%	4	1	1	0	1	1	2	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	12.6	12	86%	6	0	1	0	0	2	2	4	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	7.8	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Bone Contusion
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	51%	48	25	10	3	11	16	17	31	21-28	75%	30-56	54%	10-39	26%

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28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	41.2	19	68%	2	7	0	0	3	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	5-11	45%
AJ Johnson #5 · SF · 6'5" 160 · 20	36.5	19	59%	2	6	1	0	3	6	0	2	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	2-6	33%
Justin Champagnie #9 · PF · 6'6" 206 · 24	30.3	8	44%	11	3	2	1	1	2	3	8	0-2	0%	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	25.9	15	83%	4	1	1	1	4	3	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	24.4	23	72%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	5-5	100%	6-7	86%	2-7	29%

Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	31.1	10	50%	5	1	1	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23	26.0	3	75%	7	1	1	0	2	2	1	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	22.1	17	57%	8	3	0	1	1	1	2	6	3-5	60%	4-9	44%	2-4	50%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	2.5	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Contusion
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Khris Middleton #32 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Index Finger; Partial Extensor Hood Tear; Injury Management
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	62%	41	24	6	3	14	21	7	34	13-18	72%	26-41	63%	17-43	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.01 50.5%

WAS

1.25 62.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

67%

WAS

74%

Midrange

SAC

38%

WAS

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

15.0

26%

38%

WAS

25.5

40%

59%

Free Throws

SAC

75%

WAS

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	29	52%	14.5 / 28
D. Sabonis	18	60%	9.0 / 15
K. Murray	18	64%	9.0 / 14
Z. LaVine	18	56%	9.0 / 16
M. Monk	13	43%	6.5 / 15
J. Valančiūnas	12	86%	6.0 / 7
K. Ellis	2	20%	1.0 / 5
T. Lyles	1	13%	0.5 / 4
M. Fultz	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	23	72%	11.5 / 16
B. Carrington	19	68%	9.5 / 14
A. Johnson	19	59%	9.5 / 16
T. Vukcevic	17	57%	8.5 / 15
A. Sarr	15	83%	7.5 / 9
A. Gill	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Champagnie	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Thor	3	75%	1.5 / 2
R. Holmes	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 115.9 30 105.8	SAC 111.0 WAS 117.2 +6.2
Pace	19 98.9 4 101.8	SAC 100.5 +1.9 WAS 98.6
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 23 14.0	SAC 14.3 −0.3 WAS 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 28 51.2%	SAC 47.4% WAS 61.3% +13.9%
TO %	6 12.6% 27 14.6%	SAC 9.3% −3.9% WAS 13.2%
ORB %	16 25.4% 25 22.7%	SAC 33.3% +14.9% WAS 18.4%
FTrt	21 23.5 26 22.9	SAC 29.5 +8.1 WAS 21.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.5% 12 63.7%	SAC 62.5% +6.7% WAS 55.8%
STL %	23 7.6% 25 7.4%	SAC 10.0% +3.9% WAS 6.1%
BLK %	23 8.8% 12 9.6%	SAC 7.3% +1.9% WAS 5.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 29 53.2%	SAC 50.5% WAS 62.4% +11.9%
Rim FG%	2 67.6% 17 63.7%	SAC 66.7% WAS 73.7% +7.0%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 30 38.0%	SAC 38.5% WAS 54.5% +16.0%
3P %	19 35.7% 29 33.5%	SAC 25.6% WAS 39.5% +13.9%
FT %	4 80.6% 16 77.8%	SAC 75.0% +2.8% WAS 72.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 26.8% 21 30.5%	SAC 31.6% +9.0% WAS 22.6%
Mid Att. %	29 34.1% 11 25.9%	SAC 27.4% WAS 26.2% −1.2%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 10 43.6%	SAC 41.1% WAS 51.2% +10.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	SAC	WAS
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	111	116
Rebounds	48	41
Assists	25	24
Steals	10	6
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	16	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (4)	7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (4)	34 (3)
Field Goals	40-95	43-84
At-the-Rim FG	20-30	14-19
Midrange FG	10-26	12-22
2-Point FG	30-56	26-41
3-Point FG	10-39	17-43
Free Throws	21-28	13-18
Fast Break Pts	14	17
2nd Chance Pts	21	12
Points in Paint	46	40
Pts off Turnovers	13	14
Bench Points	26	32
Biggest Lead	5	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg