FinalWin Prob.pScore
1721%103
124
279%115
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
144.28689.6
BOS logo BOS
119.88682.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.124
100%
103
0%
Q4 - 0:21.7CelticsJordan Walsh turnover (bad pass) (Keshad Johnson steals)124
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.5CelticsBaylor Scheierman offensive rebound124
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.3CelticsJD Davison misses three point jump shot124
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.2CelticsBaylor Scheierman offensive rebound124
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.7CelticsDrew Peterson misses three point pullup jump shot124
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.4HeatJosh Christopher makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)124
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound121
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.6HeatIsaiah Stevens misses three point running pullup jump shot121
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01HeatIsaiah Stevens defensive rebound121
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04CelticsBaylor Scheierman misses three point jump shot121
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19HeatJosh Christopher personal foul (Jordan Walsh draws the foul)121
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19HeatJosh Christopher turnover (lost ball) (Baylor Scheierman steals)121
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24HeatIsaiah Stevens defensive rebound121
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26CelticsBaylor Scheierman misses three point running jump shot121
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31CelticsNeemias Queta defensive rebound121
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot121
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:51CelticsJD Davison turnover (bad pass) (Kel'el Ware steals)121
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2121
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2120
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04CelticsDrew Peterson shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)119
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22CelticsDrew Peterson makes three point jump shot (Neemias Queta assists)119
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)119
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57CelticsNeemias Queta makes two point cutting layup (JD Davison assists)116
99.8%
100
0.2%
Q4 - 3:17HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)116
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 3:41CelticsJD Davison makes two point driving layup113
99.2%
98
0.8%
Q4 - 4:03CelticsJD Davison defensive rebound113
99.5%
96
0.5%
Q4 - 4:04HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot113
99.6%
96
0.4%
Q4 - 4:18HeatHeat defensive rebound113
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 4:18CelticsJordan Walsh misses three point jump shot113
99.6%
96
0.4%
Q4 - 4:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)113
99.5%
96
0.5%
Q4 - 4:49HeatHeat offensive rebound111
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 4:49HeatJD Davison blocks Pelle Larsson's two point running layup111
99.2%
96
0.8%
Q4 - 4:53CelticsJD Davison turnover (bad pass) (Pelle Larsson steals)111
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 5:04HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)111
97.9%
96
2.1%
Q4 - 5:16CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
96.4%
96
3.6%
Q4 - 5:16CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 2108
96.6%
95
3.4%
Q4 - 5:16HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)108
95.6%
95
4.4%
Q4 - 5:32HeatPelle Larsson makes three point running jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)108
96.4%
95
3.6%
Q4 - 5:39CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)105
93.7%
95
6.3%
Q4 - 5:51CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound105
91.3%
95
8.7%
Q4 - 5:51HeatKel'el Ware misses regular free throw 2 of 2105
91.7%
95
8.3%
Q4 - 5:51HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
93.0%
95
7.0%
Q4 - 5:51CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)104
92.3%
95
7.7%
Q4 - 6:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound104
87.5%
95
12.5%
Q4 - 6:12CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot104
86.4%
95
13.6%
Q4 - 6:38HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)104
83.8%
95
16.2%
Q4 - 6:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound102
80.5%
95
19.5%
Q4 - 6:59CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot102
78.9%
95
21.1%
Q4 - 7:13HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)102
69.5%
95
30.5%
Q4 - 7:21HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound100
65.3%
95
34.7%
Q4 - 7:23CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point running pullup jump shot100
63.1%
95
36.9%
Q4 - 7:26CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound100
57.8%
95
42.2%
Q4 - 7:28HeatNeemias Queta blocks Pelle Larsson's two point driving layup100
60.2%
95
39.8%
Q4 - 7:46CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Payton Pritchard assists)100
65.5%
95
34.5%
Q4 - 7:51CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound100
69.8%
93
30.2%
Q4 - 7:53HeatPayton Pritchard blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot100
71.9%
93
28.1%
Q4 - 8:15CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot100
72.8%
93
27.2%
Q4 - 8:24HeatKyle Anderson makes two point driving layup (Davion Mitchell assists)100
76.9%
91
23.1%
Q4 - 8:51CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point putback layup98
73.0%
91
27.0%
Q4 - 8:53CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound98
76.9%
89
23.1%
Q4 - 8:55CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot98
80.1%
89
19.9%
Q4 - 9:10HeatKyle Anderson makes two point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)98
73.8%
89
26.2%
Q4 - 9:23CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving reverse layup (Jaylen Brown assists)96
70.0%
89
30.0%
Q4 - 9:43HeatTyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)96
74.0%
87
26.0%
Q4 - 9:47HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound93
65.1%
87
34.9%
Q4 - 9:49CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot93
63.2%
87
36.8%
Q4 - 9:59HeatKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 2 of 293
58.9%
87
41.1%
Q4 - 9:59HeatKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 1 of 292
57.6%
87
42.4%
Q4 - 9:59CelticsNeemias Queta shooting foul (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)91
56.0%
87
44.0%
Q4 - 10:17CelticsNeemias Queta makes regular free throw 1 of 191
51.9%
87
48.1%
Q4 - 10:17HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Neemias Queta draws the foul)91
53.2%
86
46.8%
Q4 - 10:37CelticsNeemias Queta defensive rebound91
61.8%
84
38.2%
Q4 - 10:38HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot91
63.6%
84
36.4%
Q4 - 11:04CelticsSam Hauser makes three point running pullup jump shot (Derrick White assists)91
65.2%
84
34.8%
Q4 - 11:10CelticsNeemias Queta defensive rebound91
73.7%
81
26.3%
Q4 - 11:11HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot91
74.9%
81
25.1%
Q4 - 11:31CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Davion Mitchell steals)91
77.7%
81
22.3%
Q4 - 11:41CelticsPayton Pritchard offensive rebound91
73.8%
81
26.2%
Q4 - 11:43CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot91
76.5%
81
23.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.91
73.8%
81
26.2%
Q3 - 0:00.2HeatHeat offensive rebound91
74.8%
81
25.2%
Q3 - 0:00.2HeatKyle Anderson misses three point jump shot91
72.2%
81
27.8%
Q3 - 0:00.6HeatHeat defensive rebound91
74.8%
81
25.2%
Q3 - 0:02.6CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot91
73.7%
81
26.3%
Q3 - 0:25.3HeatKyle Anderson makes two point pullup jump shot91
71.2%
81
28.8%
Q3 - 0:47.9CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point putback layup89
67.2%
81
32.8%
Q3 - 0:48.4CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound89
71.3%
79
28.7%
Q3 - 0:49.2CelticsKel'el Ware blocks Jayson Tatum's two point driving layup89
74.0%
79
26.0%
Q3 - 1:07HeatKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 2 of 289
68.1%
79
31.9%
Q3 - 1:07HeatKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 1 of 288
67.2%
79
32.8%
Q3 - 1:07CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)87
66.0%
79
34.0%
Q3 - 1:29CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup87
64.3%
79
35.7%
Q3 - 1:53HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot87
68.4%
77
31.6%
Q3 - 2:03HeatTyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 184
57.6%
77
42.4%
Q3 - 2:03Jayson Tatum rescinded technical foul.83
53.4%
77
46.6%
Q3 - 2:03CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)83
53.4%
77
46.6%
Q3 - 2:18HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving finger roll layup83
48.7%
77
51.3%
Q3 - 2:35HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound81
44.8%
77
55.2%
Q3 - 2:36CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot81
43.4%
77
56.6%
Q3 - 2:47CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound81
40.2%
77
59.8%
Q3 - 2:49HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot81
41.6%
77
58.4%
Q3 - 3:05CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 181
44.2%
77
55.8%
Q3 - 3:05HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)81
45.1%
76
54.9%
Q3 - 3:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)81
51.7%
74
48.3%
Q3 - 3:38HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound79
48.3%
74
51.7%
Q3 - 3:40CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot79
46.8%
74
53.2%
Q3 - 3:43CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound79
43.4%
74
56.6%
Q3 - 3:45CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot79
46.8%
74
53.2%
Q3 - 4:10HeatAlec Burks makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)79
42.0%
74
58.0%
Q3 - 4:28CelticsBaylor Scheierman makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)77
38.6%
74
61.4%
Q3 - 4:40HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)77
46.1%
71
53.9%
Q3 - 4:43CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound77
46.1%
71
53.9%
Q3 - 4:44HeatAlec Burks misses three point pullup jump shot77
47.4%
71
52.6%
Q3 - 5:03CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point stepback jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)77
49.0%
71
51.0%
Q3 - 5:17CelticsCeltics defensive rebound77
52.6%
69
47.4%
Q3 - 5:19HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot77
53.8%
69
46.2%
Q3 - 5:41CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point running pullup jump shot77
56.7%
69
43.3%
Q3 - 5:47CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound77
63.8%
66
36.2%
Q3 - 5:49HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot77
65.0%
66
35.0%
Q3 - 6:01CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot77
65.3%
66
34.7%
Q3 - 6:14HeatPelle Larsson turnover (out of bounds step)77
71.4%
63
28.6%
Q3 - 6:23HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound77
74.7%
63
25.3%
Q3 - 6:24CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot77
73.8%
63
26.2%
Q3 - 6:27CelticsPayton Pritchard offensive rebound77
71.5%
63
28.5%
Q3 - 6:29CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot77
73.8%
63
26.2%
Q3 - 6:48CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound77
71.6%
63
28.4%
Q3 - 6:49HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot77
72.6%
63
27.4%
Q3 - 7:07CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point cutting layup (Jayson Tatum assists)77
72.5%
63
27.5%
Q3 - 7:22CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound77
75.0%
61
25.0%
Q3 - 7:22HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 277
75.4%
61
24.6%
Q3 - 7:22HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 277
77.3%
61
22.7%
Q3 - 7:22CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)76
77.0%
61
23.0%
Q3 - 7:23HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound76
75.3%
61
24.7%
Q3 - 7:24HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot76
73.2%
61
26.8%
Q3 - 7:36CelticsDerrick White makes three point pullup jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)76
75.4%
61
24.6%
Q3 - 7:43CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound76
80.0%
58
20.0%
Q3 - 7:45CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot76
81.7%
58
18.3%
Q3 - 7:54CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound76
80.0%
58
20.0%
Q3 - 7:55HeatKel'el Ware misses two point jump shot76
80.8%
58
19.2%
Q3 - 8:04CelticsSam Hauser personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)76
80.9%
58
19.1%
Q3 - 8:05HeatPelle Larsson offensive rebound76
80.9%
58
19.1%
Q3 - 8:07HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot76
79.0%
58
21.0%
Q3 - 8:21CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)76
81.0%
58
19.0%
Q3 - 8:33HeatPelle Larsson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)76
84.5%
55
15.5%
Q3 - 8:49CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)73
81.0%
55
19.0%
Q3 - 9:13HeatKel'el Ware makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)73
83.0%
52
17.0%
Q3 - 9:27CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)71
81.5%
52
18.5%
Q3 - 9:42HeatPelle Larsson makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)71
84.9%
49
15.1%
Q3 - 10:03CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup69
81.9%
49
18.1%
Q3 - 10:25HeatPelle Larsson makes two point driving dunk69
83.4%
47
16.6%
Q3 - 10:35CelticsTorrey Craig personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)67
82.0%
47
18.0%
Q3 - 10:35HeatHeat defensive rebound67
82.0%
47
18.0%
Q3 - 10:37CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot67
81.2%
47
18.8%
Q3 - 10:56HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 167
79.5%
47
20.5%
Q3 - 10:56CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)66
79.2%
47
20.8%
Q3 - 11:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound64
73.7%
47
26.3%
Q3 - 11:04CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving finger roll layup64
72.8%
47
27.2%
Q3 - 11:12HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)64
70.9%
47
29.1%
Q3 - 11:24CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jayson Tatum assists)61
65.8%
47
34.2%
Q3 - 11:39HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 261
68.3%
45
31.7%
Q3 - 11:39HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 260
67.6%
45
32.4%
Q3 - 11:39CelticsSam Hauser shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)59
66.7%
45
33.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.59
65.8%
45
34.2%
Q2 - 0:01.3HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point running jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)59
60.9%
45
39.1%
Q2 - 0:07.7HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound56
54.8%
45
45.2%
Q2 - 0:09.7CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup56
53.9%
45
46.1%
Q2 - 0:29.1HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup56
51.9%
45
48.1%
Q2 - 0:38.1CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 254
48.7%
45
51.3%
Q2 - 0:38.1CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 254
49.2%
44
50.8%
Q2 - 0:38.1HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)54
49.7%
43
50.3%
Q2 - 0:51.6CelticsCeltics defensive rebound54
52.0%
43
48.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0HeatDerrick White blocks Pelle Larsson's two point driving layup54
52.9%
43
47.1%
Q2 - 1:01CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 254
53.6%
43
46.4%
Q2 - 1:01CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 254
54.0%
42
46.0%
Q2 - 1:01HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Loose ball) (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)54
54.5%
41
45.5%
Q2 - 1:01CelticsCeltics defensive rebound54
56.8%
41
43.2%
Q2 - 1:02HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot54
57.6%
41
42.4%
Q2 - 1:19CelticsSam Hauser personal foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)54
59.6%
41
40.4%
Q2 - 1:24CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)54
59.6%
41
40.4%
Q2 - 1:40HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving floating jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)54
56.9%
41
43.1%
Q2 - 1:50CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 252
53.7%
41
46.3%
Q2 - 1:50CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 252
54.0%
40
46.0%
Q2 - 1:50HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)52
54.5%
39
45.5%
Q2 - 1:51HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)52
56.9%
39
43.1%
Q2 - 2:06HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup52
54.7%
39
45.3%
Q2 - 2:24HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound50
52.4%
39
47.6%
Q2 - 2:25CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot50
51.4%
39
48.6%
Q2 - 2:38CelticsTorrey Craig defensive rebound50
49.1%
39
50.9%
Q2 - 2:39HeatKyle Anderson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot50
50.1%
39
49.9%
Q2 - 2:55HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound50
52.4%
39
47.6%
Q2 - 2:57CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot50
51.4%
39
48.6%
Q2 - 3:07CelticsCeltics defensive rebound50
47.2%
39
52.8%
Q2 - 3:07HeatTyler Herro misses two point running alley-oop layup50
48.3%
39
51.7%
Q2 - 3:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound50
50.7%
39
49.3%
Q2 - 3:14CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving finger roll layup50
49.6%
39
50.4%
Q2 - 3:29HeatKyle Anderson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)50
47.3%
39
52.7%
Q2 - 3:36HeatHeat offensive rebound48
45.2%
39
54.8%
Q2 - 3:37HeatKyle Anderson misses two point driving floating jump shot48
42.8%
39
57.2%
Q2 - 4:00CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 3 of 348
45.2%
39
54.8%
Q2 - 4:00CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 348
45.5%
38
54.5%
Q2 - 4:00CelticsDerrick White misses regular free throw 1 of 348
45.9%
37
54.1%
Q2 - 4:00CelticsJayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 148
47.3%
37
52.7%
Q2 - 4:00Davion Mitchell rescinded technical foul.48
50.2%
36
49.8%
Q2 - 4:00HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)48
46.3%
36
53.7%
Q2 - 4:20CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound48
48.7%
36
51.3%
Q2 - 4:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving reverse layup48
49.6%
36
50.4%
Q2 - 4:45CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)48
51.9%
36
48.1%
Q2 - 4:54CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound48
56.9%
33
43.1%
Q2 - 4:56HeatDerrick White blocks Bam Adebayo's two point running dunk48
57.9%
33
42.1%
Q2 - 5:00CelticsDerrick White turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Anderson steals)48
60.0%
33
40.0%
Q2 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 148
55.3%
33
44.7%
Q2 - 5:11CelticsLuke Kornet shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)47
54.8%
33
45.2%
Q2 - 5:21CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)45
50.7%
33
49.3%
Q2 - 5:34CelticsDerrick White makes two point fadeaway jump shot45
50.7%
33
49.3%
Q2 - 5:42HeatTyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 145
52.8%
31
47.2%
Q2 - 5:42CelticsJoe Mazzulla technical foul44
52.1%
31
47.9%
Q2 - 5:52HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup44
50.1%
31
49.9%
Q2 - 5:56CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)42
48.0%
31
52.0%
Q2 - 6:00CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound42
44.7%
31
55.3%
Q2 - 6:01CelticsLuke Kornet misses two point cutting layup42
45.8%
31
54.2%
Q2 - 6:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point stepback jump shot42
43.6%
31
56.4%
Q2 - 6:48CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point tip layup40
41.7%
31
58.3%
Q2 - 6:48CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound40
43.7%
29
56.3%
Q2 - 6:49CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup40
45.9%
29
54.1%
Q2 - 7:00CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound40
43.7%
29
56.3%
Q2 - 7:02HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot40
43.7%
29
56.3%
Q2 - 7:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound40
45.6%
29
54.4%
Q2 - 7:22CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 240
45.3%
29
54.7%
Q2 - 7:22CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 240
43.7%
29
56.3%
Q2 - 7:22HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)40
44.3%
28
55.7%
Q2 - 7:31CelticsCeltics offensive rebound40
45.4%
28
54.6%
Q2 - 7:34CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot40
47.4%
28
52.6%
Q2 - 7:48HeatKyle Anderson makes two point putback layup40
45.4%
28
54.6%
Q2 - 7:50HeatKyle Anderson offensive rebound38
43.2%
28
56.8%
Q2 - 7:54HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot38
41.2%
28
58.8%
Q2 - 8:10CelticsDerrick White makes two point jump shot38
42.5%
28
57.5%
Q2 - 8:11CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound38
44.7%
26
55.3%
Q2 - 8:12CelticsDerrick White misses two point driving floating jump shot38
46.7%
26
53.3%
Q2 - 8:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)38
44.7%
26
55.3%
Q2 - 8:35HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound36
42.5%
26
57.5%
Q2 - 8:36CelticsDerrick White misses three point stepback jump shot36
41.7%
26
58.3%
Q2 - 8:58HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot36
39.8%
26
60.2%
Q2 - 9:11CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds bad pass)34
37.4%
26
62.6%
Q2 - 9:32HeatKyle Anderson turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)34
35.0%
26
65.0%
Q2 - 9:45CelticsNeemias Queta makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jaylen Brown assists)34
37.4%
26
62.6%
Q2 - 10:12HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)34
38.9%
24
61.1%
Q2 - 10:22HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound31
34.6%
24
65.4%
Q2 - 10:26CelticsDerrick White misses three point running pullup jump shot31
33.9%
24
66.1%
Q2 - 10:30CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound31
32.3%
24
67.7%
Q2 - 10:32HeatKel'el Ware misses two point driving floating jump shot31
33.0%
24
67.0%
Q2 - 10:35HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound31
34.6%
24
65.4%
Q2 - 10:36HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot31
33.0%
24
67.0%
Q2 - 10:52CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point cutting layup (Derrick White assists)31
34.6%
24
65.4%
Q2 - 11:05HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 231
35.6%
22
64.4%
Q2 - 11:05HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 230
35.3%
22
64.7%
Q2 - 11:05CelticsTorrey Craig shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)29
35.1%
22
64.9%
Q2 - 11:13HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound29
33.6%
22
66.4%
Q2 - 11:14CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot29
32.9%
22
67.1%
Q2 - 11:19CelticsNeemias Queta offensive rebound29
31.4%
22
68.6%
Q2 - 11:21CelticsTorrey Craig misses three point jump shot29
32.9%
22
67.1%
Q2 - 11:36HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)29
31.4%
22
68.6%
Q2 - 11:36HeatHeat offensive rebound29
33.6%
22
66.4%
Q2 - 11:37HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot29
32.1%
22
67.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.29
33.7%
22
66.3%
Q1 - 0:00.1CelticsCeltics offensive rebound29
30.6%
22
69.4%
Q1 - 0:00.3CelticsHaywood Highsmith blocks Payton Pritchard's three point stepback jump shot29
32.0%
22
68.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 229
30.6%
22
69.4%
Q1 - 0:07.0HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 228
30.4%
22
69.6%
Q1 - 0:07.0CelticsNeemias Queta shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)27
30.2%
22
69.8%
Q1 - 0:28.2HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound27
28.8%
22
71.2%
Q1 - 0:29.2CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot27
28.2%
22
71.8%
Q1 - 0:40.1HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point tip layup27
26.9%
22
73.1%
Q1 - 0:40.1HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound25
25.1%
22
74.9%
Q1 - 0:41.2HeatKel'el Ware misses two point floating jump shot25
23.9%
22
76.1%
Q1 - 0:42.5HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound25
25.1%
22
74.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot25
23.9%
22
76.1%
Q1 - 0:46.8HeatDavion Mitchell offensive rebound25
25.1%
22
74.9%
Q1 - 0:47.6HeatTorrey Craig blocks Kyle Anderson's two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot25
23.9%
22
76.1%
Q1 - 1:10CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point stepback jump shot (Neemias Queta assists)25
24.8%
22
75.2%
Q1 - 1:13CelticsNeemias Queta offensive rebound25
28.5%
19
71.5%
Q1 - 1:15CelticsTorrey Craig misses three point jump shot25
29.7%
19
70.3%
Q1 - 1:24CelticsNeemias Queta defensive rebound25
28.5%
19
71.5%
Q1 - 1:25HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot25
29.0%
19
71.0%
Q1 - 1:35CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (lost ball) (Davion Mitchell steals)25
30.3%
19
69.7%
Q1 - 1:44CelticsBaylor Scheierman defensive rebound25
28.5%
19
71.5%
Q1 - 1:46HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot25
29.0%
19
71.0%
Q1 - 2:04CelticsTorrey Craig makes two point cutting dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)25
29.9%
19
70.1%
Q1 - 2:20HeatKyle Anderson makes two point driving bank jump shot25
31.5%
17
68.5%
Q1 - 2:36CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)23
29.9%
17
70.1%
Q1 - 2:39HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)23
27.8%
17
72.2%
Q1 - 2:45HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound23
29.9%
17
70.1%
Q1 - 2:46CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot23
29.3%
17
70.7%
Q1 - 3:03HeatKyle Anderson makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)23
27.5%
17
72.5%
Q1 - 3:14HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound20
24.5%
17
75.5%
Q1 - 3:15CelticsTorrey Craig misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot20
23.9%
17
76.1%
Q1 - 3:45HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point running jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)20
22.6%
17
77.4%
Q1 - 3:52HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound17
20.0%
17
80.0%
Q1 - 3:53CelticsTorrey Craig misses three point jump shot17
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 4:09CelticsNeemias Queta defensive rebound17
18.3%
17
81.7%
Q1 - 4:11HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving layup17
18.7%
17
81.3%
Q1 - 4:27HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound17
19.7%
17
80.3%
Q1 - 4:27HeatPelle Larsson misses regular free throw 2 of 217
18.5%
17
81.5%
Q1 - 4:27HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 217
19.2%
17
80.8%
Q1 - 4:27CelticsLuke Kornet shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)16
18.9%
17
81.1%
Q1 - 4:28HeatPelle Larsson offensive rebound16
18.5%
17
81.5%
Q1 - 4:29HeatPelle Larsson misses two point tip layup16
17.6%
17
82.4%
Q1 - 4:29HeatPelle Larsson offensive rebound16
18.5%
17
81.5%
Q1 - 4:30HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point stepback jump shot16
17.6%
17
82.4%
Q1 - 4:56CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point tip layup16
18.6%
17
81.4%
Q1 - 4:56CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound16
19.5%
15
80.5%
Q1 - 5:00CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point pullup jump shot16
20.5%
15
79.5%
Q1 - 5:12CelticsTorrey Craig offensive rebound16
19.3%
15
80.7%
Q1 - 5:13CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot16
20.2%
15
79.8%
Q1 - 5:24CelticsTorrey Craig offensive rebound16
19.3%
15
80.7%
Q1 - 5:26CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot16
20.2%
15
79.8%
Q1 - 5:37HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)16
19.4%
15
80.6%
Q1 - 5:47CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound16
19.4%
15
80.6%
Q1 - 5:49CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot16
20.2%
15
79.8%
Q1 - 6:01HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 3 of 316
19.2%
15
80.8%
Q1 - 6:01HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 315
18.9%
15
81.1%
Q1 - 6:01HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 314
18.6%
15
81.4%
Q1 - 6:01CelticsLuke Kornet shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)13
18.3%
15
81.7%
Q1 - 6:15CelticsDerrick White turnover (traveling)13
17.3%
15
82.7%
Q1 - 6:39CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound13
16.5%
15
83.5%
Q1 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot13
16.8%
15
83.2%
Q1 - 7:01CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point alley-oop dunk (Derrick White assists)13
17.4%
15
82.6%
Q1 - 7:08HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Luke Kornet draws the foul)13
18.1%
13
81.9%
Q1 - 7:08CelticsCeltics offensive rebound13
18.1%
13
81.9%
Q1 - 7:09CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot13
18.9%
13
81.1%
Q1 - 7:26HeatAlec Burks makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)13
18.2%
13
81.8%
Q1 - 7:43CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)11
17.6%
13
82.4%
Q1 - 7:56CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound11
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 7:57HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot11
19.5%
10
80.5%
Q1 - 8:11CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup11
20.1%
10
79.9%
Q1 - 8:26HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)11
20.8%
8
79.2%
Q1 - 8:41CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point alley-oop layup (Jayson Tatum assists)8
19.4%
8
80.6%
Q1 - 8:56HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot8
20.0%
6
80.0%
Q1 - 9:17CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround jump shot6
19.5%
6
80.5%
Q1 - 9:29CelticsSam Hauser offensive rebound6
20.1%
4
79.9%
Q1 - 9:31CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot6
20.6%
4
79.4%
Q1 - 9:43HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 26
20.1%
4
79.9%
Q1 - 9:43HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 25
20.0%
4
80.0%
Q1 - 9:43CelticsSam Hauser shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)4
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 10:02CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point putback layup4
19.6%
4
80.4%
Q1 - 10:03CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound4
20.0%
2
80.0%
Q1 - 10:04CelticsLuke Kornet misses two point alley-oop layup4
20.5%
2
79.5%
Q1 - 10:21HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)4
20.1%
2
79.9%
Q1 - 10:31HeatHeat defensive rebound2
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 10:34CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot2
19.8%
2
80.2%
Q1 - 10:44CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound2
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 10:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot2
19.7%
2
80.3%
Q1 - 11:12CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point cutting layup (Jayson Tatum assists)2
20.2%
2
79.8%
Q1 - 11:26HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot2
20.5%
0
79.5%
Q1 - 11:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 11:42CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 12:00Kel'el Ware vs. Luke Kornet (Derrick White gains possession)0
20.9%
0
79.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.28 63.9%
BOS
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
22
64%
BOS
20
27
74%
Midrange
MIA
15
31
48%
BOS
7
17
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
14
21.0
30
47%
70%
BOS
12
18.0
43
28%
42%
Free Throws
MIA
24
27
89%
BOS
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2557%12.5 / 22
B. Adebayo2170%10.5 / 15
K. Anderson1973%9.5 / 13
P. Larsson1667%8.0 / 12
D. Mitchell1365%6.5 / 10
A. Burks10100%5.0 / 5
H. Highsmith1063%5.0 / 8
K. Ware750%3.5 / 7
J. Christopher3150%1.5 / 1
I. Stevens0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brown2457%12.0 / 21
J. Tatum1640%8.0 / 20
D. White1662%8.0 / 13
L. Kornet1478%7.0 / 9
P. Pritchard1056%5.0 / 9
N. Queta7117%3.5 / 3
S. Hauser660%3.0 / 5
B. Scheierman350%1.5 / 3
D. Peterson375%1.5 / 2
T. Craig220%1.0 / 5
J. Davison250%1.0 / 2
J. Walsh0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+15
-4
97
BOS
73
+22
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.28 63.9%
BOS
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
119.5
MIA 144.2 +24.4
BOS 119.8
Pace
97.2
96.6
MIA 89.6 +6.9
BOS 82.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.5
MIA 16.1 +1.3
BOS 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
56.1%
MIA 60.2% +8.5%
BOS 51.7%
TO %
12.8%
11.7%
MIA 5.0% +7.1%
BOS 12.1%
ORB %
22.3%
25.6%
MIA 31.4%
BOS 45.2% +13.8%
FTrt
23.2
21.2
MIA 32.5 +14.1
BOS 18.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
62.8%
MIA 65.1% +3.6%
BOS 61.5%
STL %
8.3%
7.4%
MIA 10.5% +7.0%
BOS 3.5%
BLK %
7.6%
10.5%
MIA 4.5%
BOS 11.3% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
57.8%
MIA 63.9% +9.7%
BOS 54.2%
Rim FG%
62.5%
67.3%
MIA 63.6%
BOS 74.1% +10.5%
Mid FG%
44.4%
43.9%
MIA 48.4% +7.2%
BOS 41.2%
3P %
36.7%
36.8%
MIA 46.7% +18.8%
BOS 27.9%
FT %
79.1%
79.9%
MIA 88.9% +7.6%
BOS 81.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
26.2%
MIA 26.5%
BOS 31.0% +4.5%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
20.2%
MIA 37.3%
BOS 19.5% +17.8%
3P Att. %
42.9%
53.6%
MIA 36.1%
BOS 49.4% +13.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points124103
Rebounds3443
Assists2824
Steals93
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)4 (1)13 (0)
Fouls1317
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)19 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (4)24 (4)
Field Goals43-8339-87
At-the-Rim FG14-2220-27
Midrange FG15-317-17
2-Point FG29-5327-44
3-Point FG14-3012-43
Free Throws24-2713-16
Fast Break Pts146
2nd Chance Pts1323
Points in Paint4450
Pts off Turnovers173
Bench Points4527
Biggest Lead222

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#14 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 25
38.0
25
57%
6
9
2
0
0
1
1
5
9-10
90%
5-12
42%
2-6
33%
#7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 21
32.0
7
50%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
#13 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 28
30.7
21
70%
5
6
0
0
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
7-12
58%
2-3
67%
#9 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24
30.2
16
67%
4
4
1
0
1
2
3
1
6-7
86%
2-6
33%
2-3
67%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 34
19.2
10
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
#45 · PG · 6'0" 202 · 27
33.6
13
65%
4
7
3
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28
25.8
10
63%
4
0
0
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
#20 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 32
23.8
19
73%
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
4-4
100%
6-9
67%
1-2
50%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 24
1.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#16 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
1.7
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23
1.7
3
150%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#4 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24
1.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand; Broken
#12 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles; Surgery
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Sacroiliac Joint; Dysfunction
#22 · SF · 6'7" 197 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring; Tendinopathy
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 37
Inactive – Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
124
64%
34
28
9
2
4
13
11
23
24-27
89%
29-53
55%
14-30
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.