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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 2, 2025
9:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pistons21%107103
1Thunder79%119119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ausar Thompson
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.2
29.8
28.0
13
49%
8
3
3
2
3
4
3
5
3-3
100%
5-11
5-9
45%
56%
0-1
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.7
21.9
13.5
10
63%
4
2
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
52%
0-1
0%
Jalen Duren
C · 6'11" 250 · 21.4
33.5
25.8
13
45%
13
3
1
1
2
6
6
7
7-10
70%
3-10
5-8
30%
63%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 33.0
37.5
26.2
23
77%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
46%
5-9
56%
Dennis Schröder
G · 6'1" 172 · 31.5
39.7
30.5
15
40%
4
7
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-11
3-6
45%
45%
1-7
14%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 28.3
33.2
32.6
11
37%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
3-10
30%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.7
17.5
8.2
3
38%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Paul Reed
F · 6'9" 210 · 25.8
14.5
8.8
9
78%
9
0
1
1
1
2
2
7
3-4
75%
3-4
1-2
75%
55%
0-0
-
Simone Fontecchio
F · 6'8" 209 · 29.3
12.3
19.3
6
52%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
4-4
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Tolu Smith
F · 6'11" · 24.7
3.1
0
0-1
48%
Bobi Klintman
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.1
2.8
0
0-0
48%
Daniss Jenkins
G · 6'3" 165 · 23.6
2.3
0
0-0
45%
Ron Harper Jr.
F · 6'6" 245 · 25.0
Marcus Sasser
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.5
Isaiah Stewart
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.9
Cade Cunningham
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
Ronald Holland II
F · 6'8" 206 · 19.7
Jaden Ivey
G · 6'4" 195 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 26.0
33.4
27.8
14
64%
7
1
1
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
4-9
44%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 24.0
32.7
25.9
23
59%
5
3
0
1
1
2
0
5
3-6
50%
7-11
5-9
64%
58%
2-6
33%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 22.9
32.9
26.1
22
61%
11
4
2
1
6
2
3
8
8-9
89%
7-9
4-7
78%
62%
0-5
0%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.4
31.9
25.9
13
65%
5
4
3
1
0
1
4
1
0-0
-
5-7
3-4
71%
59%
1-3
33%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 26.7
35.4
29.5
33
53%
6
3
3
1
2
1
2
4
11-12
92%
8-19
8-15
42%
58%
2-7
29%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 26.9
23.3
23.0
5
36%
8
6
2
1
2
1
1
7
1-2
50%
2-5
4-7
40%
63%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 25.8
21.6
23.9
5
43%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
57%
1-5
20%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.3
17.5
21.2
4
33%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
57%
0-2
0%
Dillon Jones
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.4
10.4
9.5
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Branden Carlson
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.8
0.5
8.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
59%
0-0
-
Adam Flagler
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.3
0.5
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Alex Ducas
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
Ajay Mitchell
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.8
Nikola Topić
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.6
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 21.9
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.8
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 26.2
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.